Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 20.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.3%
30d Return
47%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,987.09
Current Value
$12,044.47
Period P&L
$57.40
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+2.30%
Worst Trade
-2.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
15.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,713.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$57.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$57.40
Gross Return
+0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,987.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $356.82 33 $11,775.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $352.61 33 $11,636.13 $11,894.01 $-138.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $349.14 34 $11,870.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $344.40 34 $11,709.60 $11,733.02 $-160.99
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $339.88 34 $11,555.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $336.77 34 $11,450.18 $11,627.28 $-105.74
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.71 30 $11,511.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $376.93 30 $11,307.90 $11,423.88 $-203.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $375.18 30 $11,255.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $381.20 30 $11,436.15 $11,604.63 +$180.75
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $359.45 32 $11,502.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $350.00 32 $11,200.00 $11,302.39 $-302.24
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $328.43 34 $11,166.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $335.82 34 $11,417.88 $11,553.65 +$251.26
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $329.95 35 $11,548.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $326.83 35 $11,439.05 $11,444.45 $-109.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:50am ET $335.10 34 $11,393.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $330.63 34 $11,241.25 $11,292.30 $-152.15
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $333.82 33 $11,016.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $340.37 33 $11,232.21 $11,508.45 +$216.15
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $375.42 30 $11,262.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $368.28 30 $11,048.40 $11,294.40 $-214.05
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $369.97 30 $11,099.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $378.49 30 $11,354.70 $11,550.00 +$255.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:35am ET $376.89 30 $11,306.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $373.74 30 $11,212.35 $11,455.65 $-94.35
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $361.32 31 $11,200.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $368.27 31 $11,416.52 $11,671.25 +$215.60
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $364.85 31 $11,310.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $370.42 31 $11,483.02 $11,843.92 +$172.67
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $385.89 30 $11,576.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $392.58 30 $11,777.25 $12,044.47 +$200.55
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,044.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,044.47
Total Return: +20.44%
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