Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:21:01

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,994.69
Current Value
$10,845.24
Period P&L
$-149.43
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+2.51%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
15.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$279,757.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.43
Gross Return
-1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,994.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $246.52 44 $10,846.93
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $241.46 44 $10,624.24 $10,624.76 $-222.69
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $259.72 40 $10,388.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $258.46 40 $10,338.60 $10,574.56 $-50.20
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $245.42 43 $10,553.15
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $249.63 43 $10,734.09 $10,755.50 +$180.94
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $257.74 41 $10,567.34
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $264.20 41 $10,832.20 $11,020.36 +$264.86
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $292.79 37 $10,833.23
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $298.36 37 $11,039.50 $11,226.63 +$206.27
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $285.74 39 $11,143.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 39 $10,881.39 $10,964.16 $-262.47
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 40 $10,906.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $277.50 40 $11,100.00 $11,158.16 +$194.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $274.82 40 $10,992.80
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $272.43 40 $10,897.20 $11,062.56 $-95.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $266.59 41 $10,930.19
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 41 $10,698.95 $10,831.32 $-231.24
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $262.98 41 $10,782.18
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $259.99 41 $10,659.59 $10,708.73 $-122.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $273.18 39 $10,654.02
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $277.64 39 $10,828.15 $10,882.86 +$174.13
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:45am ET $282.03 38 $10,717.14
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $276.27 38 $10,498.45 $10,664.17 $-218.69
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $278.00 38 $10,564.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $282.77 38 $10,745.07 $10,845.24 +$181.07
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,845.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$845.24
Total Return: +8.45%
Back to Nina Micro