Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 47.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 47.6

30-Day Momentum

45
+6.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.8 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,275.10
Current Value
$24,007.54
Period P&L
$1,732.45
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-1.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$687,051.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,732.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,732.45
Gross Return
+7.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $22,275.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $176.70 126 $22,264.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:45am ET $179.80 126 $22,654.80 $22,696.56 +$390.60
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $174.06 130 $22,627.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $177.12 130 $23,024.95 $23,093.71 +$397.15
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $185.58 124 $23,011.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $185.00 124 $22,940.00 $23,021.79 $-71.92
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $182.74 125 $22,842.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET $185.57 125 $23,196.25 $23,375.54 +$353.75
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $174.01 134 $23,317.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET $172.49 134 $23,112.99 $23,171.19 $-204.35
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $182.91 126 $23,047.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $180.84 126 $22,785.21 $22,909.11 $-262.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $173.32 132 $22,878.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:00am ET $171.82 132 $22,680.24 $22,710.87 $-198.24
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET $169.23 134 $22,676.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET $171.80 134 $23,021.19 $23,055.32 +$344.45
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:45am ET $167.58 137 $22,958.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $166.23 137 $22,772.83 $22,869.69 $-185.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $172.81 132 $22,810.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 132 $22,457.16 $22,515.93 $-353.76
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $169.59 132 $22,385.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $172.29 132 $22,741.62 $22,871.67 +$355.74
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:35am ET $176.55 129 $22,774.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $175.07 129 $22,584.03 $22,680.84 $-190.83
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $175.45 129 $22,633.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 129 $23,078.74 $23,126.54 +$445.70
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $182.30 126 $22,969.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $186.32 126 $23,476.32 $23,633.06 +$506.52
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $189.32 124 $23,475.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET $192.34 124 $23,850.16 $24,007.54 +$374.48
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,007.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,007.54
Total Return: +140.08%
Back to Nina Micro