Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
7.9/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 19.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.2 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,727.16
Current Value
$10,662.53
Period P&L
$-64.67
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+1.61%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,455.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-64.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-64.67
Gross Return
-0.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,727.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET $710.17 15 $10,652.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $721.02 15 $10,815.30 $10,889.92 +$162.72
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $714.53 15 $10,717.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $707.57 15 $10,613.55 $10,785.52 $-104.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $706.14 15 $10,592.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $717.48 15 $10,762.20 $10,955.62 +$170.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $717.23 15 $10,758.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $720.84 15 $10,812.58 $11,009.75 +$54.13
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $716.26 15 $10,743.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.65 15 $10,614.75 $10,880.60 $-129.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $714.17 15 $10,712.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $703.57 15 $10,553.48 $10,721.53 $-159.07
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $708.65 15 $10,629.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $702.57 15 $10,538.55 $10,630.33 $-91.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $716.80 14 $10,035.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $728.25 14 $10,195.50 $10,790.63 +$160.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $744.12 14 $10,417.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $734.97 14 $10,289.58 $10,662.53 $-128.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,662.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$662.53
Total Return: +6.63%
Back to Nina Micro