Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:11:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.5%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,502.46
Current Value
$9,525.21
Period P&L
$22.67
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,628.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.67
Gross Return
+0.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,502.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.97 243 $9,468.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $38.65 243 $9,391.95 $9,426.00 $-76.54
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $38.79 242 $9,387.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $38.32 242 $9,273.44 $9,311.73 $-114.27
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $37.88 245 $9,279.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.44 245 $9,419.02 $9,451.38 +$139.65
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.53 245 $9,438.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $38.07 245 $9,327.15 $9,339.90 $-111.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $39.87 234 $9,329.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:35am ET $40.47 234 $9,470.21 $9,480.53 +$140.63
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:05am ET $40.08 236 $9,458.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $39.67 236 $9,360.94 $9,382.59 $-97.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $41.65 225 $9,371.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $42.41 225 $9,542.25 $9,553.59 +$171.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $45.32 210 $9,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.93 210 $9,435.30 $9,471.69 $-81.90
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.69 211 $9,429.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $45.37 211 $9,573.77 $9,615.87 +$144.18
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $45.94 209 $9,600.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $45.54 209 $9,518.90 $9,534.36 $-81.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.38 189 $9,521.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $49.93 189 $9,436.77 $9,449.31 $-85.05
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:40am ET $47.65 198 $9,435.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.86 198 $9,278.28 $9,291.90 $-157.41
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $50.87 182 $9,257.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.84 182 $9,434.88 $9,469.35 +$177.45
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 190 $9,457.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $49.31 190 $9,367.95 $9,380.05 $-89.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:05am ET $48.95 191 $9,349.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.71 191 $9,494.61 $9,525.21 +$145.16
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,525.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-474.79
Total Return: -4.75%
Back to Nina Micro