Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.0%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,866.06
Current Value
$9,278.23
Period P&L
$-587.91
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+3.21%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,171.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-587.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-587.91
Gross Return
-5.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,866.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.20 209 $9,864.80
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $46.83 209 $9,787.47 $9,788.81 $-77.33
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $55.20 177 $9,770.40
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $54.73 177 $9,687.21 $9,705.62 $-83.19
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.13 166 $9,650.21
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.81 166 $9,098.46 $9,153.87 $-551.75
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.74 158 $9,122.92
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $57.28 158 $9,051.03 $9,081.98 $-71.89
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $56.74 160 $9,077.60
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.51 160 $8,881.60 $8,885.98 $-196.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $55.61 159 $8,841.99
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 159 $9,125.81 $9,169.79 +$283.81
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $55.53 165 $9,162.45
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.60 165 $9,339.00 $9,346.34 +$176.55
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $54.60 171 $9,337.45
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $54.16 171 $9,261.36 $9,270.25 $-76.09
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.54 163 $9,216.83
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $55.94 163 $9,119.03 $9,172.45 $-97.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $51.25 178 $9,122.50
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $52.09 178 $9,272.02 $9,321.97 +$149.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.59 170 $9,280.30
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $54.08 170 $9,193.60 $9,235.27 $-86.70
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $52.94 174 $9,211.56
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 174 $9,141.09 $9,164.80 $-70.47
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.40 189 $9,147.60
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $48.03 189 $9,077.67 $9,094.87 $-69.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $47.26 192 $9,072.96
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $48.21 192 $9,256.32 $9,278.23 +$183.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,278.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-721.77
Total Return: -7.22%
Back to Nina Micro