Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-8.2%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,715.06
Current Value
$10,449.47
Period P&L
$-1,265.66
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
3 / 12
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.74%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,123.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,265.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,265.66
Gross Return
-10.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,715.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $21.24 551 $11,700.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $20.83 551 $11,477.33 $11,491.97 $-223.16
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $21.15 543 $11,481.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $20.91 543 $11,354.13 $11,364.36 $-127.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $19.22 591 $11,359.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $19.01 591 $11,237.86 $11,243.21 $-121.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $18.63 603 $11,230.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $18.95 603 $11,429.86 $11,442.20 +$198.99
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.90 639 $11,438.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.51 639 $11,188.89 $11,192.99 $-249.21
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $20.81 537 $11,172.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $21.17 537 $11,370.97 $11,391.68 +$198.69
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $22.58 504 $11,377.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $22.39 504 $11,282.04 $11,295.92 $-95.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $21.95 514 $11,282.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $21.17 514 $10,881.38 $10,895.00 $-400.92
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $21.73 501 $10,884.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $21.54 501 $10,793.74 $10,804.52 $-90.48
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $20.99 514 $10,788.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $20.55 514 $10,562.70 $10,578.36 $-226.16
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $20.62 513 $10,578.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $20.39 513 $10,457.51 $10,457.80 $-120.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $21.67 482 $10,447.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.62 482 $10,902.84 $10,913.29 +$455.49
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET $24.59 443 $10,895.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $24.41 443 $10,813.63 $10,831.34 $-81.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.76 437 $10,822.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $24.58 437 $10,740.59 $10,749.62 $-81.72
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $24.68 435 $10,735.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $23.99 435 $10,435.65 $10,449.47 $-300.15
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,449.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$449.47
Total Return: +4.49%
Back to Nina Micro