Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-3.0%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,596.16
Current Value
$12,410.07
Period P&L
$-186.16
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-2.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$373,468.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-186.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-186.16
Gross Return
-1.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,596.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $16.69 754 $12,584.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $16.45 754 $12,403.30 $12,414.89 $-181.34
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $16.62 746 $12,401.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.89 746 $12,596.21 $12,609.15 +$194.26
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $16.16 780 $12,604.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.03 780 $12,507.30 $12,511.57 $-97.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.49 807 $12,504.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $15.74 807 $12,702.18 $12,709.28 +$197.71
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET $15.72 808 $12,701.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:10am ET $15.96 808 $12,895.68 $12,903.20 +$193.92
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:10am ET $15.70 821 $12,893.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $15.57 821 $12,787.07 $12,796.47 $-106.73
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.11 794 $12,795.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $15.95 794 $12,664.38 $12,665.54 $-130.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:05am ET $16.24 780 $12,663.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.04 780 $12,511.12 $12,513.36 $-152.18
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $15.71 796 $12,505.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $15.38 796 $12,241.13 $12,249.33 $-264.03
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $15.52 789 $12,241.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $15.27 789 $12,048.03 $12,056.03 $-193.30
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:35am ET $15.86 759 $12,041.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.74 759 $11,946.74 $11,961.23 $-94.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.03 795 $11,952.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $15.60 795 $12,403.03 $12,411.44 +$450.21
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $15.35 808 $12,406.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $15.23 808 $12,309.88 $12,314.48 $-96.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $14.94 824 $12,310.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $14.82 824 $12,215.80 $12,219.72 $-94.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET $15.09 810 $12,218.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.32 810 $12,409.20 $12,410.07 +$190.35
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,410.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,410.07
Total Return: +24.10%
Back to Nina Micro