Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:20:39

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,878.99
Current Value
$5,421.41
Period P&L
$-457.56
Max Drawdown
-49.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
4 / 11
Best Trade
+3.14%
Worst Trade
-4.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$170,508.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-457.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-457.56
Gross Return
-7.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $5,878.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $33.32 176 $5,864.30
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:15am ET $32.95 176 $5,799.20 $5,812.97 $-65.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $34.89 166 $5,791.74
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $35.44 166 $5,883.27 $5,904.50 +$91.53
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $37.26 158 $5,887.87
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $36.93 158 $5,834.94 $5,851.57 $-52.93
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $42.15 138 $5,817.39
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $41.65 138 $5,747.70 $5,781.88 $-69.69
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $45.65 126 $5,752.53
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $46.66 126 $5,879.16 $5,908.51 +$126.63
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $49.88 118 $5,885.25
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $49.45 118 $5,835.10 $5,858.36 $-50.15
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $45.76 128 $5,857.28
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $46.53 128 $5,955.84 $5,956.92 +$98.56
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $47.23 126 $5,950.98
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $44.97 126 $5,666.47 $5,672.41 $-284.51
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $44.11 128 $5,646.08
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $43.72 128 $5,595.52 $5,621.85 $-50.56
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $35.63 157 $5,593.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $34.62 157 $5,435.32 $5,463.26 $-158.59
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $29.35 186 $5,459.10
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $29.12 186 $5,416.32 $5,420.48 $-42.78
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET $29.61 183 $5,418.63
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $30.54 183 $5,588.82 $5,590.67 +$170.19
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $31.20 179 $5,585.69
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $30.96 179 $5,541.84 $5,546.81 $-43.86
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $30.00 184 $5,520.92
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $29.64 184 $5,453.78 $5,479.67 $-67.14
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $28.54 191 $5,451.14
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.24 191 $5,392.89 $5,421.41 $-58.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,421.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,578.59
Total Return: -45.79%
Back to Nina Micro