Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:57

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

27
+3.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.9 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,869.85
Current Value
$6,077.28
Period P&L
$207.43
Max Drawdown
-56.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+2.65%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,139.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$207.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$207.43
Gross Return
+3.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $5,869.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.30 341 $5,899.30
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 341 $5,810.64 $5,813.59 $-88.66
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:55am ET $17.81 326 $5,805.83
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.10 326 $5,900.63 $5,908.39 +$94.80
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.06 327 $5,903.99
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.90 327 $5,852.12 $5,856.53 $-51.86
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.49 316 $5,842.81
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $18.98 316 $5,997.68 $6,011.40 +$154.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:05am ET $18.70 321 $6,002.67
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET $18.99 321 $6,095.79 $6,104.52 +$93.12
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.10 337 $6,099.70
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $17.96 337 $6,052.52 $6,057.34 $-47.18
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:45am ET $18.11 334 $6,050.41
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.44 334 $6,158.63 $6,165.56 +$108.22
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.82 327 $6,153.39
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $18.67 327 $6,105.09 $6,117.26 $-48.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.15 337 $6,116.72
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $18.55 337 $6,249.67 $6,250.21 +$132.95
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $18.30 341 $6,238.60
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $18.14 341 $6,184.04 $6,195.65 $-54.56
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $17.67 350 $6,186.25
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $17.52 350 $6,131.96 $6,141.37 $-54.28
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.33 354 $6,133.05
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $17.18 354 $6,083.49 $6,091.81 $-49.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.34 351 $6,086.37
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.18 351 $6,031.93 $6,037.37 $-54.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $16.87 357 $6,022.59
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $16.64 357 $5,941.19 $5,955.97 $-81.40
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET $16.41 362 $5,940.38
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET $16.75 362 $6,061.69 $6,077.28 +$121.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,077.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,922.72
Total Return: -39.23%
Back to Nina Micro