Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.7%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,975.06
Current Value
$6,855.33
Period P&L
$-119.74
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+3.81%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,223.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-119.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-119.74
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,975.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $39.40 177 $6,973.80
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET $39.08 177 $6,917.16 $6,918.43 $-56.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $38.61 179 $6,911.19
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $38.29 179 $6,853.91 $6,861.15 $-57.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $37.19 184 $6,843.88
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $36.90 184 $6,790.52 $6,807.79 $-53.36
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $36.86 184 $6,782.24
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET $36.57 184 $6,728.47 $6,754.02 $-53.77
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $36.82 183 $6,738.06
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:30am ET $36.51 183 $6,681.33 $6,697.29 $-56.73
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:50am ET $37.14 180 $6,685.20
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.85 180 $6,633.90 $6,645.99 $-51.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $37.77 175 $6,609.75
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.49 175 $6,559.88 $6,596.12 $-49.87
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $36.60 180 $6,588.90
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $36.33 180 $6,539.40 $6,546.62 $-49.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $36.56 179 $6,543.77
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $36.05 179 $6,452.95 $6,455.80 $-90.82
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET $36.13 178 $6,430.25
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $36.67 178 $6,527.26 $6,552.81 +$97.01
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $37.17 176 $6,541.92
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $37.75 176 $6,643.98 $6,654.87 +$102.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $37.01 179 $6,625.68
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $38.42 179 $6,878.07 $6,907.26 +$252.39
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $38.53 179 $6,896.87
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET $38.24 179 $6,844.94 $6,855.33 $-51.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,855.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,144.67
Total Return: -31.45%
Back to Nina Micro