Compendium › Nina Micro › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Nina Micro's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 13 trades in period

+0.03%
Last Month Return
$6,748.46
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$6,746.75
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:37:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

18
+1.1%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,746.75
Current Value
$6,748.46
Period P&L
$1.69
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$176,975.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$1.69
Gross Return
+0.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,746.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $34.86 193 $6,727.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:00am ET $34.59 193 $6,675.87 $6,694.66 $-52.11
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:05am ET $34.34 194 $6,661.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $34.06 194 $6,608.61 $6,641.33 $-53.33
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $33.64 197 $6,627.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $34.17 197 $6,731.49 $6,745.72 +$104.39
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:45pm ET $34.73 194 $6,737.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $35.40 194 $6,866.63 $6,874.75 +$129.03
(+1.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $35.31 194 $6,850.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $35.03 194 $6,794.85 $6,819.46 $-55.29
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET $34.47 197 $6,789.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $34.17 197 $6,730.51 $6,760.36 $-59.10
(-0.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $34.25 197 $6,747.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $34.38 197 $6,772.86 $6,785.42 +$25.06
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $35.23 192 $6,764.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $35.92 192 $6,896.62 $6,917.86 +$132.44
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $35.06 197 $6,906.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $35.84 197 $7,060.48 $7,071.52 +$153.66
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $36.10 195 $7,039.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $35.79 195 $6,979.05 $7,011.07 $-60.45
(-0.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 198 $6,986.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $34.58 198 $6,847.83 $6,872.47 $-138.60
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $33.63 204 $6,861.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.37 204 $6,807.46 $6,818.39 $-54.08
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET $34.27 198 $6,786.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $33.92 198 $6,716.16 $6,748.46 $-69.93
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,748.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,251.54
Total Return: -32.52%
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