Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 23.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-4.3%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,061.99
Current Value
$12,837.08
Period P&L
$-224.91
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$368,837.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-224.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-224.91
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,061.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $71.08 188 $13,363.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $69.86 188 $13,133.68 $13,201.11 $-229.62
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $69.75 189 $13,183.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $70.89 189 $13,397.27 $13,414.68 +$213.57
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $72.18 185 $13,354.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET $73.68 185 $13,629.88 $13,690.33 +$275.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $71.06 192 $13,643.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $69.14 192 $13,274.88 $13,321.71 $-368.62
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $68.71 193 $13,261.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $70.20 193 $13,548.60 $13,609.28 +$287.57
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:45am ET $72.17 188 $13,567.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 188 $13,708.02 $13,750.28 +$141.00
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $71.50 192 $13,728.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $70.95 192 $13,622.40 $13,644.68 $-105.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $69.73 195 $13,597.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.19 195 $13,492.05 $13,539.38 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.06 190 $13,500.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $67.60 190 $12,844.00 $12,882.93 $-656.45
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $69.05 186 $12,843.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:25am ET $68.43 186 $12,728.91 $12,768.54 $-114.39
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $69.52 183 $12,722.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $68.66 183 $12,564.76 $12,610.96 $-157.58
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $71.14 177 $12,591.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $72.35 177 $12,805.07 $12,824.25 +$213.29
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $79.79 160 $12,767.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $78.64 160 $12,581.98 $12,639.03 $-185.22
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:10am ET $77.25 163 $12,592.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $78.47 163 $12,790.61 $12,837.08 +$198.05
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,837.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,837.08
Total Return: +28.37%
Back to Nina Micro