Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:07:27

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

33
+3.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,708.35
Current Value
$12,404.10
Period P&L
$695.75
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+2.29%
Worst Trade
-2.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$317,955.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$695.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$695.75
Gross Return
+5.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,708.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.17 155 $11,651.35
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.86 155 $11,913.32 $11,970.31 +$261.97
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.51 152 $11,934.28
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $77.81 152 $11,826.36 $11,862.39 $-107.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $81.00 146 $11,826.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $82.57 146 $12,054.49 $12,090.88 +$228.49
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $83.69 144 $12,052.08
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $84.86 144 $12,219.84 $12,258.64 +$167.76
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.81 141 $12,240.20
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $85.70 141 $12,083.60 $12,102.05 $-156.59
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $83.29 145 $12,076.41
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $84.78 145 $12,293.14 $12,318.78 +$216.73
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:15am ET $78.96 156 $12,316.98
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $78.21 156 $12,201.54 $12,203.34 $-115.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.39 157 $12,149.45
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.73 157 $12,046.61 $12,100.51 $-102.83
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $71.50 169 $12,083.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $73.14 169 $12,360.74 $12,377.75 +$277.24
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET $70.22 176 $12,358.72
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET $71.39 176 $12,564.75 $12,583.78 +$206.03
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $75.89 165 $12,521.85
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.40 165 $12,771.00 $12,832.93 +$249.15
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $84.54 151 $12,764.79
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $83.66 151 $12,632.66 $12,700.81 $-132.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:50am ET $80.60 157 $12,654.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 157 $12,357.47 $12,404.10 $-296.71
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,404.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,404.10
Total Return: +24.04%
Back to Nina Micro