Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,250.25
Current Value
$7,338.18
Period P&L
$87.92
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+4.27%
Worst Trade
-2.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
14.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,817.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$87.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$87.92
Gross Return
+1.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,250.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $352.20 20 $7,044.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $343.60 20 $6,872.00 $7,078.26 $-172.00
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $351.11 20 $7,022.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $356.43 20 $7,128.60 $7,184.61 +$106.35
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.80 19 $6,950.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $361.63 19 $6,870.97 $7,105.38 $-79.23
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $351.62 20 $7,032.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $366.65 20 $7,333.00 $7,405.98 +$300.60
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $362.78 20 $7,255.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $359.52 20 $7,190.40 $7,340.78 $-65.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $367.22 19 $6,977.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $374.22 19 $7,110.18 $7,473.78 +$133.00
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:45am ET $366.88 20 $7,337.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $364.00 20 $7,280.00 $7,416.26 $-57.52
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $359.79 20 $7,195.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $365.54 20 $7,310.70 $7,531.16 +$114.90
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $357.50 21 $7,507.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $354.60 21 $7,446.50 $7,470.16 $-61.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $366.55 20 $7,331.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET $362.91 20 $7,258.20 $7,397.36 $-72.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:50am ET $379.55 19 $7,211.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $376.43 19 $7,152.26 $7,338.18 $-59.18
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,338.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,661.82
Total Return: -26.62%
Back to Nina Micro