Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:01:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.2

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.1%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,172.08
Current Value
$12,894.34
Period P&L
$-277.78
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-1.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$362,301.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-277.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-277.78
Gross Return
-2.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,172.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $389.90 33 $12,866.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $397.76 33 $13,126.08 $13,174.76 +$259.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $396.18 33 $13,073.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $404.75 33 $13,356.75 $13,457.57 +$282.81
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $397.57 33 $13,119.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $394.42 33 $13,015.70 $13,353.41 $-104.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $393.86 33 $12,997.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $390.62 33 $12,890.46 $13,246.49 $-106.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $394.74 33 $13,026.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $400.76 33 $13,224.99 $13,445.06 +$198.57
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $403.86 33 $13,327.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $400.69 33 $13,222.77 $13,340.45 $-104.61
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $396.56 33 $13,086.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $392.55 33 $12,954.31 $13,208.28 $-132.17
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $391.42 33 $12,917.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 33 $12,734.86 $13,026.12 $-182.16
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET $389.84 33 $12,864.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $385.91 33 $12,735.03 $12,896.43 $-129.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $383.36 33 $12,651.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $378.32 33 $12,484.40 $12,729.78 $-166.65
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 34 $12,726.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $380.08 34 $12,922.55 $12,925.96 +$196.18
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:25am ET $376.97 34 $12,816.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $373.10 34 $12,685.23 $12,794.21 $-131.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $374.42 34 $12,730.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $380.52 34 $12,937.51 $13,001.44 +$207.23
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $370.19 35 $12,956.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $367.13 35 $12,849.55 $12,894.34 $-107.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,894.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,894.34
Total Return: +28.94%
Back to Nina Micro