Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:32:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.2/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 33.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+2.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,981.82
Current Value
$13,158.16
Period P&L
$176.35
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-2.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$291,367.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$176.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$176.35
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,981.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:15am ET $179.12 72 $12,896.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $181.91 72 $13,097.52 $13,182.69 +$200.88
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.21 72 $13,047.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $186.42 72 $13,422.24 $13,557.81 +$375.12
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $187.11 72 $13,471.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $185.70 72 $13,370.40 $13,456.29 $-101.52
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.59 72 $13,362.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.78 72 $13,232.16 $13,325.97 $-130.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $182.94 72 $13,171.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:55am ET $185.71 72 $13,371.12 $13,525.41 +$199.44
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $186.94 72 $13,459.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $188.90 72 $13,600.80 $13,666.53 +$141.12
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $187.79 72 $13,520.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $185.39 72 $13,348.08 $13,493.73 $-172.80
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $187.82 71 $13,335.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $182.89 71 $12,985.19 $13,143.70 $-350.03
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $184.57 71 $13,104.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $183.13 71 $13,002.23 $13,041.11 $-102.59
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $187.81 69 $12,958.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $191.64 69 $13,223.16 $13,305.38 +$264.27
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET $195.09 68 $13,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 68 $13,118.90 $13,158.16 $-147.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,158.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,158.16
Total Return: +31.58%
Back to Nina Micro