Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:07:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.5%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,478.57
Current Value
$4,327.95
Period P&L
$-150.61
Max Drawdown
-44.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
19 / 24
Best Trade
+3.05%
Worst Trade
-6.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$376,552.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-150.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-150.61
Gross Return
-3.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $4,478.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $198.46 22 $4,366.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $202.20 22 $4,448.40 $4,567.11 +$82.28
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET $194.15 23 $4,465.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.13 23 $4,579.99 $4,681.65 +$114.54
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $206.89 22 $4,551.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $205.13 22 $4,512.86 $4,642.93 $-38.72
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $201.47 23 $4,633.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $204.67 23 $4,707.41 $4,716.53 +$73.60
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $210.95 22 $4,640.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $217.38 22 $4,782.47 $4,858.10 +$141.57
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $215.46 22 $4,740.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:20am ET $213.10 22 $4,688.31 $4,806.40 $-51.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $227.97 21 $4,787.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $225.65 21 $4,738.75 $4,757.78 $-48.62
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $220.66 21 $4,633.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $214.09 21 $4,495.89 $4,619.81 $-137.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET $224.14 20 $4,482.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $227.74 20 $4,554.80 $4,691.81 +$72.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $221.16 21 $4,644.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $219.02 21 $4,599.42 $4,646.87 $-44.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 11:10am ET $226.62 20 $4,532.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $224.85 20 $4,497.00 $4,611.47 $-35.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $233.76 19 $4,441.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $237.60 19 $4,514.40 $4,684.33 +$72.86
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $235.58 19 $4,476.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $222.84 19 $4,233.96 $4,442.27 $-242.06
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $225.00 19 $4,275.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:20am ET $222.67 19 $4,230.73 $4,398.00 $-44.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:20am ET $215.76 20 $4,315.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $213.94 20 $4,278.80 $4,361.55 $-36.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $222.70 19 $4,231.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $226.49 19 $4,303.31 $4,433.57 +$72.02
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $240.37 18 $4,326.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $238.40 18 $4,291.20 $4,398.11 $-35.46
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $248.42 17 $4,223.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $252.59 17 $4,293.98 $4,468.95 +$70.84
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $249.64 17 $4,243.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $247.57 17 $4,208.69 $4,433.76 $-35.19
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $244.13 18 $4,394.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $248.23 18 $4,468.14 $4,507.65 +$73.89
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $253.69 17 $4,312.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $250.63 17 $4,260.71 $4,455.63 $-52.02
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $257.20 17 $4,372.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.79 17 $4,280.43 $4,363.66 $-91.97
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:35am ET $265.46 16 $4,247.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET $270.08 16 $4,321.36 $4,437.59 +$73.93
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $267.74 16 $4,283.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:50am ET $265.66 16 $4,250.56 $4,404.31 $-33.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $255.86 17 $4,349.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $260.60 17 $4,430.20 $4,484.89 +$80.58
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET $264.14 16 $4,226.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:55am ET $262.09 16 $4,193.44 $4,452.17 $-32.72
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET $256.13 17 $4,354.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:15am ET $253.73 17 $4,313.41 $4,411.45 $-40.72
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $263.66 16 $4,218.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $267.86 16 $4,285.76 $4,478.65 +$67.20
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $270.86 16 $4,333.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET $275.92 16 $4,414.72 $4,559.53 +$80.88
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $275.56 16 $4,408.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $271.05 16 $4,336.72 $4,487.29 $-72.24
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 16 $4,248.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $270.37 16 $4,325.92 $4,564.89 +$77.60
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $287.06 15 $4,305.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $291.70 15 $4,375.43 $4,634.42 +$69.53
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $288.95 16 $4,623.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $293.54 16 $4,696.64 $4,707.94 +$73.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $286.80 16 $4,588.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $283.01 16 $4,528.08 $4,647.30 $-60.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $286.23 16 $4,579.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 16 $4,267.20 $4,334.82 $-312.48
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 16 $4,110.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $254.84 16 $4,077.44 $4,301.86 $-32.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 17 $4,105.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $245.35 17 $4,170.95 $4,366.94 +$65.08
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $264.16 16 $4,226.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.70 16 $4,187.20 $4,327.58 $-39.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $254.30 17 $4,323.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $251.98 17 $4,283.66 $4,288.06 $-39.52
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $248.21 17 $4,219.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $251.95 17 $4,283.07 $4,351.56 +$63.50
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $248.93 17 $4,231.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $245.62 17 $4,175.46 $4,295.21 $-56.35
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $247.28 17 $4,203.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $245.33 17 $4,170.61 $4,262.06 $-33.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $239.68 17 $4,074.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $243.56 17 $4,140.45 $4,327.95 +$65.89
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,327.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,672.05
Total Return: -56.72%
Back to Nina Micro