Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.1

30-Day Momentum

20
+2.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.7 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,631.80
Current Value
$13,818.71
Period P&L
$-2,813.10
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
11 / 32
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
10.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,218,522.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,813.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,813.10
Gross Return
-16.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $16,631.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $524.01 31 $16,244.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $519.64 31 $16,108.84 $16,496.49 $-135.31
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $508.64 32 $16,276.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $499.75 32 $15,992.00 $16,212.01 $-284.48
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $557.30 29 $16,161.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $549.87 29 $15,946.23 $15,996.54 $-215.47
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $529.37 30 $15,881.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $541.43 30 $16,243.05 $16,358.49 +$361.95
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $560.94 29 $16,267.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:30am ET $569.66 29 $16,520.14 $16,611.36 +$252.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $518.96 32 $16,606.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $513.31 32 $16,425.92 $16,430.45 $-180.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $553.37 29 $16,047.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $547.61 29 $15,880.69 $16,263.41 $-167.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $556.17 29 $16,128.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $539.49 29 $15,645.21 $15,779.69 $-483.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $553.60 28 $15,500.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $548.16 28 $15,348.34 $15,627.23 $-152.46
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $527.47 29 $15,296.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $516.07 29 $14,966.03 $15,296.48 $-330.75
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $476.62 32 $15,251.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $463.01 32 $14,816.31 $14,860.95 $-435.53
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:40am ET $512.34 29 $14,857.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $508.43 29 $14,744.61 $14,747.85 $-113.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $540.47 27 $14,592.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $527.34 27 $14,238.18 $14,393.48 $-354.38
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $546.55 26 $14,210.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET $539.87 26 $14,036.62 $14,219.92 $-173.56
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $533.75 26 $13,877.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $529.04 26 $13,755.04 $14,097.46 $-122.46
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $465.65 30 $13,969.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $458.03 30 $13,740.90 $13,868.86 $-228.60
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $447.00 31 $13,857.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $442.13 31 $13,706.03 $13,717.89 $-150.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $482.76 28 $13,517.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $490.40 28 $13,731.34 $13,931.95 +$214.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $486.06 28 $13,609.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.26 28 $13,475.28 $13,797.55 $-134.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $483.42 28 $13,535.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 28 $14,112.00 $14,373.77 +$576.22
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $484.67 29 $14,055.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $493.74 29 $14,318.60 $14,636.94 +$263.17
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $482.05 30 $14,461.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $477.26 30 $14,317.68 $14,493.12 $-143.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET $485.57 29 $14,081.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $480.48 29 $13,933.92 $14,345.51 $-147.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:15am ET $476.23 30 $14,286.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $471.65 30 $14,149.50 $14,208.07 $-137.44
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:35am ET $487.86 29 $14,147.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $483.60 29 $14,024.34 $14,084.47 $-123.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $487.06 28 $13,637.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $482.44 28 $13,508.32 $13,955.11 $-129.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:55am ET $510.80 27 $13,791.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $505.21 27 $13,640.67 $13,804.18 $-150.93
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $475.50 29 $13,789.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $468.69 29 $13,592.01 $13,606.69 $-197.49
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $464.55 29 $13,471.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:35am ET $460.88 29 $13,365.38 $13,500.12 $-106.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $465.79 28 $13,042.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $458.86 28 $12,848.22 $13,306.22 $-193.90
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $476.24 27 $12,858.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $483.83 27 $13,063.54 $13,511.29 +$205.07
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $473.70 28 $13,263.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $469.61 28 $13,149.22 $13,396.91 $-114.38
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $466.38 28 $13,058.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 28 $12,798.66 $13,136.93 $-259.98
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $453.34 28 $12,693.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $460.85 28 $12,903.80 $13,347.11 +$210.18
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $457.66 29 $13,272.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $468.24 29 $13,579.02 $13,653.99 +$306.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $506.94 26 $13,180.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $515.40 26 $13,400.40 $13,873.95 +$219.96
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $511.41 27 $13,808.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET $506.61 27 $13,678.34 $13,744.22 $-129.73
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $512.04 26 $13,313.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 26 $12,630.41 $13,061.48 $-682.74
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $505.67 25 $12,641.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $501.75 25 $12,543.75 $12,963.53 $-97.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $523.32 24 $12,559.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $517.34 24 $12,416.10 $12,819.94 $-143.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $544.97 23 $12,534.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 23 $13,429.24 $13,714.98 +$895.04
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $615.00 22 $13,530.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $608.61 22 $13,389.42 $13,574.40 $-140.58
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $613.50 22 $13,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $624.60 22 $13,741.31 $13,818.71 +$244.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,818.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,818.71
Total Return: +38.19%
Back to Nina Micro