Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,903.34
Current Value
$10,670.75
Period P&L
$767.40
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
14 / 23
Best Trade
+11.29%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$758,517.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$767.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$767.40
Gross Return
+7.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,903.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $227.79 43 $9,794.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $226.06 43 $9,720.58 $9,828.96 $-74.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $242.40 40 $9,695.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $240.15 40 $9,605.80 $9,738.96 $-90.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $238.61 40 $9,544.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $236.17 40 $9,446.80 $9,641.36 $-97.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $242.18 39 $9,444.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:25am ET $245.82 39 $9,586.98 $9,783.52 +$142.16
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $244.76 39 $9,545.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $248.57 39 $9,694.23 $9,932.11 +$148.59
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $242.54 40 $9,701.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $239.76 40 $9,590.40 $9,820.71 $-111.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET $245.25 40 $9,810.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:40am ET $246.57 40 $9,862.80 $9,873.51 +$52.80
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $244.72 40 $9,788.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $248.45 40 $9,938.00 $10,022.71 +$149.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:50am ET $255.60 39 $9,968.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $253.63 39 $9,891.57 $9,945.90 $-76.81
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $247.55 40 $9,902.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:30am ET $251.32 40 $10,052.80 $10,096.70 +$150.80
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $247.25 40 $9,890.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $244.69 40 $9,787.58 $9,994.28 $-102.42
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $236.20 42 $9,920.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:20am ET $234.31 42 $9,841.02 $9,915.11 $-79.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:25am ET $231.59 42 $9,726.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $235.58 42 $9,894.36 $10,082.69 +$167.58
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $230.92 43 $9,929.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET $228.79 43 $9,837.97 $9,991.10 $-91.59
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET $227.79 43 $9,794.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $231.93 43 $9,972.99 $10,169.12 +$178.02
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $237.32 42 $9,967.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $264.11 42 $11,092.62 $11,294.51 +$1,125.39
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $284.52 39 $11,096.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $276.73 39 $10,792.47 $10,990.89 $-303.62
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $277.57 39 $10,825.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $275.30 39 $10,736.89 $10,902.75 $-88.14
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $273.25 39 $10,656.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $271.17 39 $10,575.63 $10,821.63 $-81.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $274.60 39 $10,709.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $278.81 39 $10,873.59 $10,985.82 +$164.19
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $273.10 40 $10,924.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $270.82 40 $10,832.80 $10,894.62 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET $267.49 40 $10,699.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $265.13 40 $10,605.20 $10,800.22 $-94.40
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $263.22 41 $10,792.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $260.89 41 $10,696.69 $10,704.89 $-95.33
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:35am ET $259.88 41 $10,654.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $264.30 41 $10,836.30 $10,886.31 +$181.42
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $261.46 41 $10,719.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $258.25 41 $10,588.25 $10,754.70 $-131.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $262.40 40 $10,496.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:25am ET $260.36 40 $10,414.40 $10,673.02 $-81.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $258.79 41 $10,610.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $256.09 41 $10,499.69 $10,562.52 $-110.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $265.74 39 $10,363.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $261.97 39 $10,216.83 $10,415.49 $-147.03
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $255.22 40 $10,208.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $259.07 40 $10,362.80 $10,569.49 +$154.00
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $257.37 41 $10,552.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.89 41 $10,532.69 $10,550.01 $-19.48
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $253.12 41 $10,377.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $250.94 41 $10,288.54 $10,460.63 $-89.38
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $251.91 41 $10,328.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $256.11 41 $10,500.51 $10,632.83 +$172.20
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $252.83 42 $10,618.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $250.81 42 $10,534.02 $10,547.99 $-84.84
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET $247.49 42 $10,394.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $245.15 42 $10,296.09 $10,449.50 $-98.49
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $251.10 41 $10,295.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:05am ET $255.09 41 $10,458.69 $10,613.09 +$163.59
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $254.69 41 $10,442.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $258.56 41 $10,600.96 $10,771.76 +$158.67
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $254.38 42 $10,683.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $251.97 42 $10,582.74 $10,670.75 $-101.01
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,670.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$670.75
Total Return: +6.71%
Back to Nina Micro