ARKK Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
-9.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,657.95
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$10,719.23
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.5%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,719.23
Current Value
$9,657.95
Period P&L
$-1,061.28
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
10 /
27
Best Trade
+2.40%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
22.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$744,260.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,061.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,061.28
Gross Return
-9.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,719.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.63 | 138 | $10,712.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $77.03 | 138 | $10,630.15 | $10,636.43 |
$-82.79 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $76.61 | 138 | $10,572.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.74 | 138 | $10,452.12 | $10,516.37 |
$-120.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.12 | 131 | $10,495.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $81.40 | 131 | $10,664.05 | $10,684.70 |
+$168.33 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $82.34 | 129 | $10,621.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $81.64 | 129 | $10,531.56 | $10,594.40 |
$-90.30 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $83.93 | 126 | $10,575.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $83.26 | 126 | $10,491.39 | $10,509.98 |
$-84.42 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $81.99 | 128 | $10,494.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $81.25 | 128 | $10,400.00 | $10,415.90 |
$-94.08 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $81.62 | 127 | $10,365.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $80.76 | 127 | $10,256.52 | $10,306.68 |
$-109.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $79.02 | 130 | $10,272.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $78.30 | 130 | $10,179.00 | $10,213.08 |
$-93.60 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $79.44 | 128 | $10,168.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $78.74 | 128 | $10,078.72 | $10,123.48 |
$-89.60 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $77.18 | 131 | $10,110.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $76.60 | 131 | $10,034.60 | $10,047.50 |
$-75.98 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $75.39 | 133 | $10,026.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $74.76 | 133 | $9,943.08 | $9,964.38 |
$-83.13 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $77.54 | 128 | $9,925.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $76.93 | 128 | $9,846.53 | $9,885.79 |
$-78.59 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $74.81 | 132 | $9,874.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $74.08 | 132 | $9,779.22 | $9,790.09 |
$-95.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $71.95 | 136 | $9,785.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.15 | 136 | $9,948.40 | $9,953.29 |
+$163.20 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.41 | 139 | $9,925.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.68 | 139 | $9,824.52 | $9,851.82 |
$-101.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $71.82 | 137 | $9,839.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $71.17 | 137 | $9,750.29 | $9,762.77 |
$-89.05 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $71.88 | 135 | $9,703.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $71.29 | 135 | $9,624.82 | $9,683.80 |
$-78.97 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $73.14 | 132 | $9,654.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.78 | 132 | $9,870.96 | $9,900.28 |
+$216.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.61 | 129 | $9,882.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.09 | 129 | $9,686.61 | $9,704.20 |
$-196.08 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $78.50 | 123 | $9,656.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.72 | 123 | $9,806.17 | $9,854.26 |
+$150.06 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.98 | 123 | $9,837.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.90 | 123 | $10,073.70 | $10,090.42 |
+$236.16 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $82.05 | 122 | $10,010.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $81.40 | 122 | $9,930.80 | $10,011.12 |
$-79.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $81.07 | 123 | $9,971.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $81.75 | 123 | $10,055.25 | $10,094.76 |
+$83.64 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $79.25 | 127 | $10,064.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.04 | 127 | $10,292.08 | $10,322.09 |
+$227.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $82.62 | 124 | $10,244.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $83.88 | 124 | $10,401.12 | $10,478.33 |
+$156.24 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $85.97 | 121 | $10,402.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $84.72 | 121 | $10,251.12 | $10,327.08 |
$-151.25 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $86.51 | 119 | $10,294.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.43 | 119 | $10,166.76 | $10,199.15 |
$-127.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $87.49 | 116 | $10,148.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.52 | 116 | $10,036.32 | $10,086.63 |
$-112.52 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.75 | 120 | $10,050.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET | $85.03 | 120 | $10,203.60 | $10,239.63 |
+$153.00 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $83.54 | 122 | $10,191.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $82.87 | 122 | $10,110.14 | $10,157.89 |
$-81.74 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $86.83 | 116 | $10,072.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.84 | 116 | $9,957.44 | $10,043.05 |
$-114.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $85.67 | 117 | $10,023.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $84.80 | 117 | $9,921.61 | $9,941.27 |
$-101.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $83.68 | 118 | $9,874.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.70 | 118 | $9,758.60 | $9,825.63 |
$-115.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.90 | 117 | $9,816.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $83.08 | 117 | $9,720.94 | $9,729.69 |
$-95.94 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $83.88 | 116 | $9,729.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $82.66 | 116 | $9,588.56 | $9,588.75 |
$-140.94 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $86.89 | 110 | $9,557.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $88.20 | 110 | $9,702.00 | $9,732.85 |
+$144.10 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.71 | 107 | $9,705.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $90.01 | 107 | $9,631.07 | $9,657.95 |
$-74.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,657.95
Net Profit/Loss:
$-342.05
Total Return:
-3.42%