Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.8

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.7 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,284.09
Current Value
$15,082.02
Period P&L
$-1,202.05
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
14 / 27
Best Trade
+3.31%
Worst Trade
-3.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,255,725.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,202.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,202.05
Gross Return
-7.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $16,284.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $380.34 42 $15,974.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $370.34 42 $15,554.28 $15,864.07 $-420.00
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:20am ET $363.05 43 $15,611.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $368.54 43 $15,847.22 $16,100.29 +$236.22
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $375.28 42 $15,761.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $371.54 42 $15,604.68 $15,943.21 $-157.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $365.65 43 $15,723.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $371.15 43 $15,959.45 $16,179.49 +$236.28
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:05am ET $375.25 43 $16,135.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.46 43 $15,757.78 $15,801.52 $-377.97
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:50am ET $384.79 41 $15,776.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $390.87 41 $16,025.67 $16,050.80 +$249.28
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $404.77 39 $15,786.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $401.19 39 $15,646.41 $15,911.18 $-139.62
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $392.37 40 $15,694.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $389.36 40 $15,574.30 $15,790.68 $-120.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $393.14 40 $15,725.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $389.90 40 $15,596.20 $15,661.48 $-129.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $384.08 40 $15,363.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $379.44 40 $15,177.60 $15,475.88 $-185.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $358.47 43 $15,414.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $365.61 43 $15,721.02 $15,782.69 +$306.81
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $380.79 41 $15,612.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $377.92 41 $15,494.72 $15,665.02 $-117.67
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $380.54 41 $15,602.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET $386.58 41 $15,849.78 $15,912.66 +$247.64
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $391.31 40 $15,652.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:30am ET $387.70 40 $15,508.00 $15,768.26 $-144.40
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $384.48 41 $15,763.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $381.16 41 $15,627.56 $15,632.34 $-135.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $378.92 41 $15,535.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $374.23 41 $15,343.63 $15,440.46 $-191.88
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $377.75 40 $15,110.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $374.46 40 $14,978.40 $15,308.86 $-131.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $383.42 39 $14,953.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $394.44 39 $15,383.16 $15,738.64 +$429.78
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.37 40 $15,414.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $377.94 40 $15,117.60 $15,441.44 $-297.20
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $420.30 36 $15,130.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $414.42 36 $14,919.12 $15,229.94 $-211.50
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $423.39 35 $14,818.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $432.39 35 $15,133.48 $15,544.59 +$314.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:10am ET $420.71 36 $15,145.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $417.29 36 $15,022.44 $15,421.47 $-123.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $417.50 36 $15,030.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $423.98 36 $15,263.46 $15,654.89 +$233.42
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $399.80 39 $15,592.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET $396.64 39 $15,468.96 $15,531.57 $-123.32
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $396.14 39 $15,449.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $392.95 39 $15,325.05 $15,407.16 $-124.41
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $379.35 40 $15,174.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $372.07 40 $14,882.96 $15,116.12 $-291.04
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $363.88 41 $14,919.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $370.67 41 $15,197.47 $15,394.51 +$278.39
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $365.00 42 $15,330.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $361.44 42 $15,180.48 $15,244.99 $-149.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $357.63 42 $15,020.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $354.58 42 $14,892.36 $15,117.10 $-127.89
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $368.36 41 $15,102.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $375.82 41 $15,408.62 $15,422.96 +$305.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $368.09 41 $15,091.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $364.50 41 $14,944.50 $15,275.77 $-147.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.18 41 $14,972.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $370.70 41 $15,198.70 $15,502.09 +$226.32
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $353.93 43 $15,218.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $359.46 43 $15,456.78 $15,739.88 +$237.79
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $369.45 42 $15,516.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $366.42 42 $15,389.64 $15,612.62 $-127.26
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $363.67 42 $15,274.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $360.20 42 $15,128.61 $15,467.09 $-145.53
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $363.54 42 $15,268.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 42 $14,667.24 $14,865.65 $-601.44
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $345.15 43 $14,841.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET $342.26 43 $14,717.18 $14,741.38 $-124.27
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $342.07 43 $14,709.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $338.73 43 $14,565.39 $14,597.66 $-143.72
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $348.10 41 $14,272.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 41 $14,744.63 $15,070.18 +$472.52
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $359.40 41 $14,735.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $365.15 41 $14,971.35 $15,306.27 +$236.09
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $354.42 43 $15,240.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $349.20 43 $15,015.81 $15,082.02 $-224.25
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,082.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,082.02
Total Return: +50.82%
Back to Nina Micro