AXP Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period
-13.19%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,177.41
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$15,180.34
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
27.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-7.5%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,180.34
Current Value
$13,177.41
Period P&L
$-2,002.94
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
7 /
23
Best Trade
+1.78%
Worst Trade
-4.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$848,039.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,002.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,002.94
Gross Return
-13.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $15,180.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $346.54 | 43 | $14,901.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $343.84 | 43 | $14,785.12 | $15,064.25 |
$-116.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $342.19 | 44 | $15,056.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $339.48 | 44 | $14,937.34 | $14,945.23 |
$-119.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $341.04 | 43 | $14,664.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $337.77 | 43 | $14,524.11 | $14,804.83 |
$-140.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $348.82 | 42 | $14,650.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.06 | 42 | $14,870.52 | $15,024.91 |
+$220.08 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $355.55 | 42 | $14,932.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $351.30 | 42 | $14,754.81 | $14,846.83 |
$-178.08 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $339.47 | 43 | $14,597.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $336.70 | 43 | $14,478.31 | $14,727.93 |
$-118.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $345.69 | 42 | $14,518.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.83 | 42 | $14,777.07 | $14,986.02 |
+$258.09 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $355.37 | 42 | $14,925.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $360.80 | 42 | $15,153.81 | $15,214.29 |
+$228.27 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $360.17 | 42 | $15,127.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.98 | 42 | $14,951.37 | $15,038.52 |
$-175.77 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $353.16 | 42 | $14,832.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $349.82 | 42 | $14,692.44 | $14,898.24 |
$-140.28 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $348.49 | 42 | $14,636.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $345.88 | 42 | $14,526.96 | $14,788.41 |
$-109.83 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $340.13 | 43 | $14,625.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.17 | 43 | $14,025.31 | $14,188.13 |
$-600.28 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $333.48 | 42 | $14,006.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $330.60 | 42 | $13,885.21 | $14,067.18 |
$-120.95 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET | $336.61 | 41 | $13,801.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $342.59 | 41 | $14,046.19 | $14,312.36 |
+$245.18 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $347.22 | 41 | $14,236.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $344.58 | 41 | $14,127.78 | $14,204.12 |
$-108.24 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $340.23 | 41 | $13,949.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $337.49 | 41 | $13,837.09 | $14,091.78 |
$-112.34 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $341.95 | 41 | $14,019.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $338.86 | 41 | $13,893.46 | $13,965.50 |
$-126.28 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $342.21 | 40 | $13,688.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.20 | 40 | $13,608.00 | $13,885.10 |
$-80.40 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $337.92 | 41 | $13,854.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $343.08 | 41 | $14,066.48 | $14,096.86 |
+$211.76 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $333.48 | 42 | $14,006.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.19 | 42 | $14,161.98 | $14,252.47 |
+$155.61 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $334.51 | 42 | $14,049.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $331.99 | 42 | $13,943.58 | $14,146.63 |
$-105.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.29 | 42 | $13,956.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.68 | 42 | $13,720.56 | $13,911.01 |
$-235.62 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $329.53 | 42 | $13,840.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $326.95 | 42 | $13,731.90 | $13,802.65 |
$-108.36 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $327.08 | 42 | $13,737.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.50 | 42 | $13,545.00 | $13,610.50 |
$-192.15 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.43 | 42 | $13,458.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $325.34 | 42 | $13,664.28 | $13,816.72 |
+$206.22 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $325.86 | 42 | $13,686.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $323.35 | 42 | $13,580.49 | $13,711.09 |
$-105.63 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $317.77 | 43 | $13,664.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $313.46 | 43 | $13,478.99 | $13,525.76 |
$-185.33 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $312.95 | 43 | $13,456.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.90 | 43 | $13,325.91 | $13,395.04 |
$-130.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $312.08 | 42 | $13,107.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $309.41 | 42 | $12,995.22 | $13,282.76 |
$-112.28 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $303.12 | 43 | $13,034.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $300.67 | 43 | $12,928.81 | $13,177.41 |
$-105.35 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,177.41
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,177.41
Total Return:
+31.77%