Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 11.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,711.99
Current Value
$10,655.91
Period P&L
$943.94
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
16 / 17
Best Trade
+3.17%
Worst Trade
-2.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$673,013.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$943.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$943.94
Gross Return
+9.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,711.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:45am ET $103.13 93 $9,591.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $102.25 93 $9,509.25 $9,542.71 $-81.84
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $99.37 96 $9,539.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $98.61 96 $9,466.08 $9,469.27 $-73.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $98.56 96 $9,461.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $98.74 96 $9,479.04 $9,486.55 +$17.28
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.37 98 $9,444.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $97.87 98 $9,591.26 $9,633.54 +$146.99
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $97.57 98 $9,561.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:10am ET $96.77 98 $9,483.46 $9,555.14 $-78.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET $95.28 100 $9,528.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $96.88 100 $9,688.00 $9,715.14 +$160.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:25am ET $97.14 100 $9,714.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $96.38 100 $9,638.00 $9,639.14 $-76.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $96.47 99 $9,550.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $97.92 99 $9,694.08 $9,782.69 +$143.55
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $98.68 99 $9,768.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:20am ET $97.92 99 $9,693.91 $9,707.78 $-74.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $96.53 100 $9,653.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $95.69 100 $9,569.00 $9,623.78 $-84.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $92.79 103 $9,557.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $94.29 103 $9,711.87 $9,778.59 +$154.81
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $96.84 100 $9,683.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET $98.47 100 $9,847.50 $9,942.18 +$163.59
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:45am ET $98.86 100 $9,886.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $98.09 100 $9,809.00 $9,864.68 $-77.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $95.73 103 $9,860.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $98.76 103 $10,172.28 $10,176.77 +$312.09
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $97.80 104 $10,171.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $100.78 104 $10,480.60 $10,486.17 +$309.40
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $102.90 101 $10,393.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $104.46 101 $10,550.96 $10,643.73 +$157.56
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $104.85 101 $10,589.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $103.39 101 $10,442.39 $10,496.27 $-147.46
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $103.27 101 $10,430.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET $102.19 101 $10,321.69 $10,387.68 $-108.59
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET $104.21 99 $10,316.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $105.93 99 $10,487.07 $10,557.96 +$170.28
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $105.85 99 $10,479.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:20am ET $104.88 99 $10,383.12 $10,461.93 $-96.03
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET $104.59 100 $10,459.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $106.41 100 $10,641.00 $10,643.93 +$182.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:40am ET $107.23 99 $10,615.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $109.42 99 $10,832.13 $10,860.29 +$216.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $111.27 97 $10,793.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $110.40 97 $10,709.28 $10,776.58 $-83.71
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $108.04 99 $10,695.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.21 99 $10,613.79 $10,694.41 $-82.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.44 99 $10,636.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.50 99 $10,642.99 $10,700.84 +$6.43
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $106.90 100 $10,689.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:40am ET $108.69 100 $10,869.00 $10,880.21 +$179.37
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET $107.58 101 $10,865.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $106.50 101 $10,756.50 $10,771.13 $-109.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $104.30 103 $10,742.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $103.25 103 $10,635.26 $10,663.49 $-107.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $104.27 102 $10,635.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $106.74 102 $10,887.48 $10,915.43 +$251.94
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $108.71 100 $10,871.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $107.35 100 $10,734.50 $10,778.93 $-136.50
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $107.64 100 $10,764.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $106.72 100 $10,672.00 $10,686.93 $-92.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $105.84 100 $10,584.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $103.69 100 $10,369.00 $10,471.93 $-215.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET $103.53 101 $10,456.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $105.36 101 $10,640.86 $10,655.91 +$183.98
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,655.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$655.91
Total Return: +6.56%
Back to Nina Micro