Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:21:02

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.2%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,724.47
Current Value
$11,704.12
Period P&L
$-20.30
Max Drawdown
-23.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
17 / 27
Best Trade
+2.61%
Worst Trade
-2.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
8.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,033,195.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20.30
Gross Return
-0.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,724.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.11 486 $11,719.89
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $23.92 486 $11,625.12 $11,629.65 $-94.77
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $23.17 501 $11,607.67
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $22.89 501 $11,465.39 $11,487.37 $-142.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $21.37 537 $11,475.69
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $21.16 537 $11,360.24 $11,371.91 $-115.46
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $20.73 548 $11,360.04
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $21.06 548 $11,540.88 $11,552.75 +$180.84
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:15pm ET $21.24 544 $11,551.84
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $21.58 544 $11,739.52 $11,740.43 +$187.68
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $22.34 525 $11,728.50
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.83 525 $11,460.75 $11,472.68 $-267.75
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET $22.75 504 $11,466.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $23.09 504 $11,639.88 $11,646.56 +$173.88
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $23.58 493 $11,624.94
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.93 493 $11,799.95 $11,821.57 +$175.01
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.68 521 $11,816.28
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $22.50 521 $11,722.50 $11,727.79 $-93.78
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $21.78 538 $11,720.33
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $22.14 538 $11,911.32 $11,918.78 +$190.99
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $23.22 513 $11,909.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $23.03 513 $11,816.95 $11,826.44 $-92.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $23.67 499 $11,813.82
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $23.36 499 $11,659.13 $11,671.75 $-154.69
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $23.70 492 $11,662.86
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $23.44 492 $11,534.94 $11,543.83 $-127.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $22.89 504 $11,536.56
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $23.24 504 $11,712.96 $11,720.23 +$176.40
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $22.79 514 $11,714.06
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET $22.58 514 $11,603.55 $11,609.72 $-110.51
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET $22.23 522 $11,604.06
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.05 522 $11,507.49 $11,513.15 $-96.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.60 509 $11,503.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.19 509 $11,803.71 $11,813.46 +$300.31
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $23.54 501 $11,793.09
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $23.29 501 $11,668.29 $11,688.66 $-124.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $22.94 509 $11,676.46
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $23.29 509 $11,854.61 $11,866.81 +$178.15
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $23.10 513 $11,852.35
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $22.91 513 $11,750.27 $11,764.72 $-102.09
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
21 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $23.28 505 $11,756.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $23.63 505 $11,933.15 $11,941.47 +$176.75
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:45am ET $24.19 493 $11,928.13
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $24.60 493 $12,127.80 $12,141.14 +$199.67
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
23 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $24.75 490 $12,129.95
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $25.18 490 $12,338.20 $12,349.39 +$208.25
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 492 $12,336.90
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $24.88 492 $12,240.96 $12,253.45 $-95.94
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
25 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.26 485 $12,251.10
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $25.07 485 $12,156.53 $12,158.88 $-94.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
26 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $25.27 481 $12,157.27
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $25.03 481 $12,041.83 $12,043.44 $-115.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $24.97 482 $12,035.54
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $24.71 482 $11,910.22 $11,918.12 $-125.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
28 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:15am ET $25.55 466 $11,906.30
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $25.95 466 $12,095.03 $12,106.85 +$188.73
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:50pm ET $25.70 470 $12,081.35
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.50 470 $11,982.65 $12,008.15 $-98.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.12 478 $12,007.36
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $24.78 478 $11,844.84 $11,845.63 $-162.52
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
31 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:15am ET $25.94 456 $11,828.64
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:55am ET $25.65 456 $11,696.40 $11,713.39 $-132.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
32 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.39 480 $11,704.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.19 480 $11,613.60 $11,622.19 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
33 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $24.68 470 $11,599.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $25.09 470 $11,792.30 $11,814.89 +$192.70
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
34 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $23.76 497 $11,808.72
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:10am ET $24.31 497 $12,079.59 $12,085.76 +$270.87
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $26.56 455 $12,084.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 455 $11,779.95 $11,780.91 $-304.85
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.00 471 $11,775.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $24.79 471 $11,676.09 $11,682.00 $-98.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.60 456 $11,673.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $25.38 456 $11,571.00 $11,579.40 $-102.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $24.92 464 $11,560.56
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 464 $11,460.80 $11,479.64 $-99.76
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:10am ET $26.95 425 $11,453.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $26.68 425 $11,339.00 $11,364.89 $-114.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $29.14 390 $11,362.65
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $29.59 390 $11,540.10 $11,542.34 +$177.45
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $29.44 392 $11,539.93
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $29.17 392 $11,432.68 $11,435.09 $-107.25
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET $28.59 399 $11,407.41
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET $29.02 399 $11,578.98 $11,606.66 +$171.57
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $28.45 407 $11,579.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $28.22 407 $11,485.54 $11,513.05 $-93.61
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $25.67 448 $11,501.73
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $26.10 448 $11,692.80 $11,704.12 +$191.07
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,704.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,704.12
Total Return: +17.04%
Back to Nina Micro