Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 25.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

69
+10.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.5 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,053.95
Current Value
$13,979.83
Period P&L
$925.82
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
20 / 27
Best Trade
+7.29%
Worst Trade
-5.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,201,511.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$925.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$925.82
Gross Return
+7.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 47 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,053.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:40am ET $94.70 137 $12,973.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $93.98 137 $12,875.26 $12,955.37 $-98.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $97.09 133 $12,912.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.33 133 $12,811.89 $12,854.29 $-101.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.81 126 $12,828.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $100.16 126 $12,620.16 $12,646.39 $-207.90
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.97 117 $12,632.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $112.83 117 $13,201.58 $13,215.48 +$569.09
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $111.64 118 $13,174.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $113.73 118 $13,420.14 $13,461.51 +$246.03
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.10 114 $13,349.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $114.86 114 $13,094.05 $13,206.16 $-255.35
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $111.95 117 $13,098.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $110.77 117 $12,960.24 $13,068.25 $-137.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $116.56 112 $13,054.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $115.52 112 $12,938.24 $12,951.77 $-116.48
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.39 115 $12,924.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.44 115 $12,815.60 $12,842.52 $-109.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $110.30 116 $12,794.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $111.99 116 $12,990.84 $13,038.56 +$196.04
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $115.41 112 $12,925.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $114.53 112 $12,827.35 $12,939.99 $-98.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.43 121 $12,878.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.80 121 $12,196.80 $12,258.76 $-681.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $100.29 122 $12,235.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $99.43 122 $12,130.46 $12,153.84 $-104.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $107.04 113 $12,096.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $106.16 113 $11,995.58 $12,053.34 $-100.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $105.28 114 $12,001.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.77 114 $11,601.78 $11,653.77 $-399.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 119 $11,606.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $95.97 119 $11,420.42 $11,468.12 $-185.65
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $93.82 122 $11,446.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $95.33 122 $11,630.87 $11,652.95 +$184.83
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $92.57 125 $11,571.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $91.87 125 $11,483.75 $11,565.45 $-87.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $89.11 129 $11,495.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $90.57 129 $11,683.53 $11,753.79 +$188.34
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $86.23 136 $11,727.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $88.66 136 $12,057.76 $12,083.73 +$329.94
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $86.18 140 $12,064.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $88.25 140 $12,355.00 $12,373.74 +$290.01
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $91.22 135 $12,315.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $92.87 135 $12,537.45 $12,595.82 +$222.08
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $93.34 134 $12,507.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $90.85 134 $12,173.90 $12,262.16 $-333.66
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:55am ET $94.24 130 $12,251.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $93.29 130 $12,127.70 $12,138.66 $-123.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $93.75 129 $12,093.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 129 $12,510.87 $12,555.78 +$417.12
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET $98.65 127 $12,528.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:50am ET $97.71 127 $12,408.54 $12,435.77 $-120.01
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $96.97 128 $12,412.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $96.19 128 $12,312.96 $12,336.57 $-99.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $96.40 127 $12,242.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 127 $11,792.29 $11,886.06 $-450.51
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $97.74 121 $11,826.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $96.88 121 $11,722.49 $11,782.00 $-104.06
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $94.26 124 $11,688.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $101.13 124 $12,540.12 $12,633.88 +$851.88
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $104.75 120 $12,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $106.45 120 $12,774.00 $12,837.88 +$204.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $110.48 116 $12,815.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $112.31 116 $13,027.96 $13,050.16 +$212.28
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $109.04 119 $12,975.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $110.90 119 $13,197.10 $13,271.50 +$221.34
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.95 121 $13,182.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $107.27 121 $12,979.66 $13,068.22 $-203.28
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:05am ET $101.62 128 $13,007.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:45am ET $103.25 128 $13,216.64 $13,277.50 +$209.28
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $104.58 126 $13,177.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $103.52 126 $13,043.52 $13,143.94 $-133.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:50am ET $121.89 107 $13,042.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $124.29 107 $13,299.03 $13,400.74 +$256.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $123.14 108 $13,298.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $122.10 108 $13,186.80 $13,288.96 $-111.78
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.56 113 $13,284.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $120.81 113 $13,650.97 $13,655.65 +$366.69
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 121 $13,612.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $114.44 121 $13,847.24 $13,890.39 +$234.74
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $112.08 123 $13,785.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $115.08 123 $14,154.84 $14,259.82 +$369.43
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET $113.90 125 $14,237.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 125 $13,937.50 $13,959.82 $-300.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $106.78 130 $13,881.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET $105.90 130 $13,767.00 $13,845.42 $-114.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
44 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $106.65 129 $13,758.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $108.87 129 $14,044.23 $14,131.16 +$285.74
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $124.46 113 $14,063.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $122.48 113 $13,840.24 $13,907.97 $-223.19
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $122.77 113 $13,873.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $125.11 113 $14,137.43 $14,172.39 +$264.42
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
47 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $121.29 116 $14,069.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $119.63 116 $13,877.08 $13,979.83 $-192.56
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,979.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,979.83
Total Return: +39.80%
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