Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:40

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 17.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-11.5%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,453.02
Current Value
$11,468.12
Period P&L
$-1,984.96
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
16 / 30
Best Trade
+6.53%
Worst Trade
-11.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,135,906.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,984.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,984.96
Gross Return
-14.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 46 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,453.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $84.18 158 $13,300.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:05am ET $83.50 158 $13,192.21 $13,240.56 $-108.23
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $81.69 162 $13,233.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 162 $11,687.93 $11,694.71 $-1,545.85
(-11.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $72.96 160 $11,674.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $72.29 160 $11,565.92 $11,586.23 $-108.48
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.69 155 $11,576.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $74.07 155 $11,480.08 $11,489.36 $-96.88
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.81 149 $11,444.67
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:05am ET $78.19 149 $11,650.31 $11,695.00 +$205.64
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $76.71 152 $11,659.16
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $78.02 152 $11,859.04 $11,894.88 +$199.88
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
7 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $75.96 156 $11,849.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $75.38 156 $11,759.28 $11,804.40 $-90.48
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $75.10 157 $11,790.15
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $77.33 157 $12,140.81 $12,155.06 +$350.66
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $78.74 154 $12,125.96
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $78.11 154 $12,028.17 $12,057.27 $-97.79
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:00am ET $75.71 159 $12,038.68
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:25am ET $77.21 159 $12,276.39 $12,294.98 +$237.71
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
11 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $80.74 152 $12,272.48
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $77.85 152 $11,833.20 $11,855.70 $-439.28
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $75.97 156 $11,850.85
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $77.77 156 $12,132.12 $12,136.97 +$281.27
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $75.15 161 $12,099.15
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $74.43 161 $11,984.03 $12,021.85 $-115.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $73.91 162 $11,973.42
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $75.34 162 $12,205.08 $12,253.51 +$231.66
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
15 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:25am ET $75.12 163 $12,244.56
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $76.33 163 $12,441.79 $12,450.74 +$197.23
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $74.20 167 $12,391.40
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $73.58 167 $12,287.86 $12,347.20 $-103.54
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $73.74 167 $12,314.58
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $74.85 167 $12,499.95 $12,532.57 +$185.37
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.86 134 $12,443.24
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.13 134 $12,345.42 $12,434.75 $-97.82
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $90.83 136 $12,352.88
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $88.68 136 $12,059.80 $12,141.67 $-293.08
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 142 $12,085.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $84.01 142 $11,929.42 $11,985.47 $-156.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $86.35 138 $11,916.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $84.93 138 $11,719.65 $11,788.82 $-196.65
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $84.36 139 $11,726.04
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $86.00 139 $11,954.00 $12,016.78 +$227.96
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $88.08 136 $11,978.89
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $87.11 136 $11,846.96 $11,884.85 $-131.93
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $88.96 133 $11,831.68
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $88.11 133 $11,718.63 $11,771.80 $-113.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $92.82 126 $11,695.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.89 126 $12,459.51 $12,535.99 +$764.19
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $96.95 129 $12,506.55
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $96.21 129 $12,411.73 $12,441.17 $-94.82
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $108.03 115 $12,423.45
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $109.66 115 $12,611.19 $12,628.91 +$187.74
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $105.56 119 $12,561.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.09 119 $12,862.71 $12,929.98 +$301.07
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.79 127 $12,927.01
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $103.67 127 $13,166.09 $13,169.06 +$239.08
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $98.64 133 $13,118.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $97.77 133 $13,003.41 $13,054.01 $-115.05
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:40am ET $94.70 137 $12,973.90
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $93.98 137 $12,875.26 $12,955.37 $-98.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $97.09 133 $12,912.97
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.33 133 $12,811.89 $12,854.29 $-101.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.81 126 $12,828.06
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $100.16 126 $12,620.16 $12,646.39 $-207.90
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.97 117 $12,632.49
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $112.83 117 $13,201.58 $13,215.48 +$569.09
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $111.64 118 $13,174.11
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $113.73 118 $13,420.14 $13,461.51 +$246.03
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.10 114 $13,349.40
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $114.86 114 $13,094.05 $13,206.16 $-255.35
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $111.95 117 $13,098.15
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $110.77 117 $12,960.24 $13,068.25 $-137.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $116.56 112 $13,054.72
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $115.52 112 $12,938.24 $12,951.77 $-116.48
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.39 115 $12,924.85
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.44 115 $12,815.60 $12,842.52 $-109.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $110.30 116 $12,794.80
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $111.99 116 $12,990.84 $13,038.56 +$196.04
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $115.41 112 $12,925.92
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $114.53 112 $12,827.35 $12,939.99 $-98.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.43 121 $12,878.03
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.80 121 $12,196.80 $12,258.76 $-681.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $100.29 122 $12,235.38
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $99.43 122 $12,130.46 $12,153.84 $-104.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $107.04 113 $12,096.08
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $106.16 113 $11,995.58 $12,053.34 $-100.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $105.28 114 $12,001.35
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.77 114 $11,601.78 $11,653.77 $-399.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 119 $11,606.07
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $95.97 119 $11,420.42 $11,468.12 $-185.65
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,468.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,468.12
Total Return: +14.68%
Back to Nina Micro