IBM Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-5.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,484.03
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$15,279.60
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-4.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,279.60
Current Value
$14,484.03
Period P&L
$-795.55
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
13 /
25
Best Trade
+2.62%
Worst Trade
-2.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
19.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,142,624.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-795.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-795.55
Gross Return
-5.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $15,279.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $263.44 | 58 | $15,279.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $258.52 | 58 | $14,994.45 | $14,994.51 |
$-285.07 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $270.40 | 55 | $14,872.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $274.58 | 55 | $15,102.17 | $15,224.41 |
+$229.90 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $291.79 | 52 | $15,173.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $289.47 | 52 | $15,052.34 | $15,103.66 |
$-120.75 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $298.17 | 50 | $14,908.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.99 | 50 | $15,299.50 | $15,494.66 |
+$391.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.16 | 51 | $15,206.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $302.81 | 51 | $15,443.31 | $15,731.87 |
+$237.21 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $294.61 | 53 | $15,614.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $292.05 | 53 | $15,478.65 | $15,595.92 |
$-135.95 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $292.80 | 53 | $15,518.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:20pm ET | $290.52 | 53 | $15,397.56 | $15,475.08 |
$-120.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $218.97 | 70 | $15,327.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $217.09 | 70 | $15,196.31 | $15,343.49 |
$-131.59 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.16 | 74 | $15,256.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $209.38 | 74 | $15,494.39 | $15,581.68 |
+$238.19 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $213.93 | 72 | $15,402.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $211.48 | 72 | $15,226.56 | $15,405.28 |
$-176.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $214.71 | 71 | $15,244.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.00 | 71 | $14,981.00 | $15,141.52 |
$-263.76 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.03 | 72 | $15,050.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $207.24 | 72 | $14,920.92 | $15,012.28 |
$-129.24 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $204.54 | 73 | $14,931.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.03 | 73 | $15,259.19 | $15,340.05 |
+$327.77 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $216.34 | 70 | $15,143.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.05 | 70 | $15,473.50 | $15,669.75 |
+$329.70 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.65 | 69 | $15,638.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $224.30 | 69 | $15,476.70 | $15,507.60 |
$-162.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $222.45 | 69 | $15,348.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $220.61 | 69 | $15,222.09 | $15,380.98 |
$-126.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $217.86 | 70 | $15,250.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $221.57 | 70 | $15,509.55 | $15,640.32 |
+$259.34 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $227.19 | 68 | $15,448.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.61 | 68 | $15,205.48 | $15,396.88 |
$-243.44 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $236.77 | 65 | $15,389.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.79 | 65 | $15,001.35 | $15,008.31 |
$-388.57 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:35am ET | $234.74 | 63 | $14,788.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $238.88 | 63 | $15,049.75 | $15,269.44 |
+$261.13 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $239.92 | 63 | $15,114.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $237.76 | 63 | $14,978.57 | $15,133.05 |
$-136.39 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $237.01 | 63 | $14,931.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $234.75 | 63 | $14,789.25 | $14,990.36 |
$-142.69 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $234.18 | 64 | $14,987.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.62 | 64 | $14,823.68 | $14,826.20 |
$-164.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $231.03 | 64 | $14,785.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $234.70 | 64 | $15,020.48 | $15,060.76 |
+$234.56 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $234.55 | 64 | $15,011.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $238.15 | 64 | $15,241.60 | $15,291.16 |
+$230.40 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $232.82 | 65 | $15,133.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.52 | 65 | $14,918.81 | $15,076.89 |
$-214.27 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.68 | 65 | $14,994.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $234.66 | 65 | $15,252.90 | $15,335.59 |
+$258.70 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $236.74 | 64 | $15,151.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.35 | 64 | $14,934.36 | $15,118.59 |
$-217.00 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.16 | 65 | $15,025.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.21 | 65 | $14,898.65 | $14,991.84 |
$-126.75 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $233.60 | 64 | $14,950.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.72 | 64 | $14,830.08 | $14,871.52 |
$-120.32 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $230.74 | 64 | $14,767.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $234.90 | 64 | $15,033.60 | $15,137.44 |
+$265.92 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $236.98 | 63 | $14,929.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $234.88 | 63 | $14,797.13 | $15,005.14 |
$-132.30 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $249.57 | 60 | $14,974.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.20 | 60 | $14,772.00 | $14,802.94 |
$-202.20 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.02 | 61 | $14,641.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $238.03 | 61 | $14,520.09 | $14,681.81 |
$-121.13 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.23 | 61 | $14,471.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $234.15 | 61 | $14,282.85 | $14,493.63 |
$-188.18 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $230.34 | 62 | $14,281.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $228.39 | 62 | $14,160.18 | $14,372.72 |
$-120.91 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $231.11 | 62 | $14,328.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $234.77 | 62 | $14,556.05 | $14,599.95 |
+$227.23 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.13 | 63 | $14,435.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $227.29 | 63 | $14,319.27 | $14,484.03 |
$-115.92 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,484.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,484.03
Total Return:
+44.84%