ISRG Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
-6.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,503.54
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$10,172.62
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
4.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-8.0%
30d Return
8%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,172.62
Current Value
$9,503.54
Period P&L
$-669.12
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
11 /
26
Best Trade
+2.55%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$737,141.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-669.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-669.12
Gross Return
-6.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,172.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $403.31 | 25 | $10,082.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $411.00 | 25 | $10,275.00 | $10,364.91 |
+$192.25 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $406.63 | 25 | $10,165.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $403.30 | 25 | $10,082.50 | $10,281.70 |
$-83.21 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $407.13 | 25 | $10,178.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.74 | 25 | $10,043.62 | $10,147.07 |
$-134.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:40am ET | $403.97 | 25 | $10,099.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $410.55 | 25 | $10,263.75 | $10,311.57 |
+$164.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $421.85 | 24 | $10,124.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $428.35 | 24 | $10,280.40 | $10,467.57 |
+$156.00 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $425.75 | 24 | $10,218.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $421.90 | 24 | $10,125.60 | $10,375.17 |
$-92.40 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $410.36 | 25 | $10,258.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $407.20 | 25 | $10,180.12 | $10,296.37 |
$-78.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $409.28 | 25 | $10,231.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.31 | 25 | $9,907.75 | $9,972.19 |
$-324.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $390.98 | 25 | $9,774.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.96 | 25 | $10,024.00 | $10,221.81 |
+$249.62 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $359.24 | 28 | $10,058.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $355.28 | 28 | $9,947.84 | $10,110.93 |
$-110.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $344.60 | 29 | $9,993.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $350.36 | 29 | $10,160.44 | $10,277.97 |
+$167.04 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $357.70 | 28 | $10,015.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $354.01 | 28 | $9,912.28 | $10,174.65 |
$-103.32 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $341.83 | 29 | $9,913.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.35 | 29 | $9,754.15 | $10,015.73 |
$-158.92 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $340.20 | 29 | $9,865.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $337.25 | 29 | $9,780.25 | $9,930.18 |
$-85.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $357.46 | 27 | $9,651.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.35 | 27 | $9,891.34 | $10,170.10 |
+$239.92 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.70 | 28 | $9,959.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $352.80 | 28 | $9,878.54 | $10,089.04 |
$-81.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $349.39 | 28 | $9,783.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 1:55pm ET | $354.64 | 28 | $9,930.06 | $10,236.04 |
+$147.00 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $373.80 | 27 | $10,092.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.87 | 27 | $10,013.49 | $10,156.93 |
$-79.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $371.82 | 27 | $10,039.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $377.69 | 27 | $10,197.63 | $10,315.56 |
+$158.63 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $389.55 | 26 | $10,128.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.70 | 26 | $10,314.20 | $10,501.46 |
+$185.90 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $397.27 | 26 | $10,329.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:25pm ET | $403.58 | 26 | $10,493.08 | $10,665.39 |
+$163.93 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $399.13 | 26 | $10,377.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $395.86 | 26 | $10,292.49 | $10,580.50 |
$-84.89 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:15pm ET | $398.61 | 26 | $10,363.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $395.58 | 26 | $10,285.08 | $10,501.72 |
$-78.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $399.89 | 26 | $10,397.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $396.41 | 26 | $10,306.66 | $10,411.11 |
$-90.61 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $380.12 | 27 | $10,263.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $377.21 | 27 | $10,184.67 | $10,332.54 |
$-78.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $370.95 | 27 | $10,015.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $367.98 | 27 | $9,935.46 | $10,252.22 |
$-80.32 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $368.34 | 27 | $9,945.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.72 | 27 | $9,901.44 | $10,208.48 |
$-43.74 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $372.54 | 27 | $10,058.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $367.43 | 27 | $9,920.61 | $10,070.64 |
$-137.84 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $376.32 | 26 | $9,784.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $372.87 | 26 | $9,694.62 | $9,980.94 |
$-89.70 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $368.98 | 27 | $9,962.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $365.51 | 27 | $9,868.77 | $9,887.25 |
$-93.69 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $354.34 | 27 | $9,567.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $349.58 | 27 | $9,438.79 | $9,758.86 |
$-128.39 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $352.40 | 27 | $9,514.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $348.96 | 27 | $9,422.05 | $9,666.12 |
$-92.74 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $367.57 | 26 | $9,556.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.80 | 26 | $9,718.80 | $9,828.10 |
+$161.98 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.46 | 26 | $9,684.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $368.85 | 26 | $9,590.10 | $9,734.11 |
$-93.99 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $385.42 | 25 | $9,635.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $382.36 | 25 | $9,559.12 | $9,657.61 |
$-76.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $385.18 | 25 | $9,629.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.80 | 25 | $9,545.00 | $9,573.11 |
$-84.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $399.40 | 23 | $9,186.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $396.38 | 23 | $9,116.63 | $9,503.54 |
$-69.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,503.54
Net Profit/Loss:
$-496.46
Total Return:
-4.96%