LLY Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-26 to present • 38 trades in period
+5.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,972.06
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$11,327.87
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
19.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 19.2
30-Day Momentum
26
+2.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,327.87
Current Value
$11,972.06
Period P&L
$644.14
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+3.85%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$831,682.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$644.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$644.14
Gross Return
+5.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,327.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $916.59 | 12 | $10,999.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $908.22 | 12 | $10,898.58 | $11,337.10 |
$-100.56 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $895.77 | 12 | $10,749.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $887.85 | 12 | $10,654.20 | $11,242.06 |
$-95.04 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $886.99 | 12 | $10,643.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $909.15 | 12 | $10,909.80 | $11,507.97 |
+$265.91 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $961.21 | 11 | $10,573.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.00 | 11 | $10,340.00 | $11,274.71 |
$-233.26 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $928.72 | 12 | $11,144.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $921.44 | 12 | $11,057.28 | $11,187.34 |
$-87.37 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $927.17 | 12 | $11,126.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $941.59 | 12 | $11,299.08 | $11,360.38 |
+$173.04 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $943.91 | 12 | $11,326.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $958.09 | 12 | $11,497.14 | $11,530.60 |
+$170.22 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $939.07 | 12 | $11,268.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $930.56 | 12 | $11,166.72 | $11,428.48 |
$-102.12 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $934.84 | 12 | $11,218.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $927.04 | 12 | $11,124.54 | $11,334.88 |
$-93.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $906.58 | 12 | $10,878.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $925.41 | 12 | $11,104.92 | $11,560.84 |
+$225.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $917.47 | 12 | $11,009.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $890.01 | 12 | $10,680.12 | $11,231.38 |
$-329.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $915.73 | 12 | $10,988.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $900.42 | 12 | $10,805.04 | $11,047.60 |
$-183.78 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $879.79 | 12 | $10,557.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $872.84 | 12 | $10,474.08 | $10,964.14 |
$-83.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $860.49 | 12 | $10,325.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $854.00 | 12 | $10,248.00 | $10,886.26 |
$-77.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $937.90 | 11 | $10,316.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $973.99 | 11 | $10,713.94 | $11,283.36 |
+$397.10 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $961.35 | 11 | $10,574.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $980.29 | 11 | $10,783.19 | $11,491.70 |
+$208.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $990.81 | 11 | $10,898.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $983.36 | 11 | $10,816.96 | $11,409.75 |
$-81.95 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $967.59 | 11 | $10,643.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $959.04 | 11 | $10,549.44 | $11,315.75 |
$-94.00 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $978.26 | 11 | $10,760.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $970.91 | 11 | $10,680.01 | $11,234.85 |
$-80.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $991.21 | 11 | $10,903.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,006.18 | 11 | $11,067.98 | $11,399.57 |
+$164.72 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,006.96 | 11 | $11,076.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $999.23 | 11 | $10,991.53 | $11,314.54 |
$-85.03 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $988.39 | 11 | $10,872.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,006.07 | 11 | $11,066.77 | $11,509.07 |
+$194.53 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,020.62 | 11 | $11,226.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,010.67 | 11 | $11,117.37 | $11,399.62 |
$-109.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,040.53 | 10 | $10,405.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,057.20 | 10 | $10,572.00 | $11,566.32 |
+$166.70 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,078.77 | 10 | $10,787.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,070.40 | 10 | $10,704.00 | $11,482.62 |
$-83.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,128.02 | 10 | $11,280.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,117.90 | 10 | $11,178.95 | $11,381.42 |
$-101.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,092.91 | 10 | $10,929.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,082.49 | 10 | $10,824.90 | $11,277.27 |
$-104.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,055.58 | 10 | $10,555.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,071.96 | 10 | $10,719.56 | $11,441.03 |
+$163.76 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,089.21 | 10 | $10,892.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,106.52 | 10 | $11,065.20 | $11,614.13 |
+$173.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,151.39 | 10 | $11,513.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,142.39 | 10 | $11,423.85 | $11,524.08 |
$-90.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,156.33 | 9 | $10,406.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,147.55 | 9 | $10,327.95 | $11,445.06 |
$-79.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,143.34 | 10 | $11,433.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,162.38 | 10 | $11,623.80 | $11,635.46 |
+$190.40 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,160.25 | 10 | $11,602.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,151.50 | 10 | $11,515.00 | $11,547.96 |
$-87.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,121.14 | 10 | $11,211.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,143.64 | 10 | $11,436.35 | $11,772.91 |
+$224.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,113.86 | 10 | $11,138.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,104.83 | 10 | $11,048.30 | $11,682.61 |
$-90.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,096.34 | 10 | $10,963.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,113.33 | 10 | $11,133.30 | $11,852.51 |
+$169.90 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,112.38 | 10 | $11,123.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,103.38 | 10 | $11,033.75 | $11,762.46 |
$-90.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,124.51 | 10 | $11,245.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,145.46 | 10 | $11,454.65 | $11,972.06 |
+$209.60 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,972.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,972.06
Total Return:
+19.72%