Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 17.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,471.22
Current Value
$10,752.79
Period P&L
$-718.41
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
9 / 23
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$714,564.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-718.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-718.41
Gross Return
-6.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,471.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $487.84 23 $11,220.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:05am ET $495.63 23 $11,399.38 $11,664.06 +$179.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:20am ET $498.01 23 $11,454.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $493.92 23 $11,360.27 $11,570.10 $-93.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $502.36 23 $11,554.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $498.35 23 $11,462.05 $11,477.98 $-92.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET $508.76 22 $11,192.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $517.66 22 $11,388.52 $11,673.78 +$195.80
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $531.83 21 $11,168.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $526.33 21 $11,052.93 $11,558.27 $-115.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET $535.12 21 $11,237.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $530.51 21 $11,140.70 $11,461.45 $-96.82
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $517.82 22 $11,392.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $526.41 22 $11,580.91 $11,650.32 +$188.87
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $537.53 21 $11,288.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $533.28 21 $11,198.78 $11,560.98 $-89.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $531.57 21 $11,162.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $540.04 21 $11,340.84 $11,738.85 +$177.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $546.72 21 $11,481.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:15am ET $541.29 21 $11,367.09 $11,624.92 $-113.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $546.21 21 $11,470.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $540.86 21 $11,358.16 $11,512.78 $-112.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $536.46 21 $11,265.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $532.03 21 $11,172.64 $11,419.76 $-93.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $535.50 21 $11,245.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $544.39 21 $11,432.19 $11,606.45 +$186.69
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $560.71 20 $11,214.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $569.40 20 $11,387.90 $11,780.15 +$173.70
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $575.49 20 $11,509.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $568.53 20 $11,370.60 $11,640.95 $-139.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $574.72 20 $11,494.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $566.67 20 $11,333.40 $11,479.85 $-161.10
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $572.78 20 $11,455.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET $567.86 20 $11,357.20 $11,381.55 $-98.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:50am ET $570.30 19 $10,835.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:50am ET $565.64 19 $10,747.21 $11,293.06 $-88.49
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:55am ET $563.35 20 $11,267.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $558.15 20 $11,163.00 $11,189.06 $-104.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET $559.36 20 $11,187.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $567.83 20 $11,356.50 $11,358.26 +$169.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $568.91 19 $10,809.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:05am ET $564.16 19 $10,719.04 $11,267.91 $-90.35
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 19 $10,916.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $587.00 19 $11,153.00 $11,504.84 +$236.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:20am ET $597.20 19 $11,346.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $592.40 19 $11,255.60 $11,413.64 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $596.04 19 $11,324.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $589.86 19 $11,207.43 $11,296.36 $-117.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $589.28 19 $11,196.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $584.81 19 $11,111.39 $11,211.34 $-85.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $587.85 19 $11,169.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $581.58 19 $11,050.02 $11,092.12 $-119.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $572.50 19 $10,877.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:35am ET $567.90 19 $10,790.10 $11,004.72 $-87.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $568.80 19 $10,807.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $564.00 19 $10,716.00 $10,913.43 $-91.29
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $570.46 19 $10,838.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $572.34 19 $10,874.46 $10,949.15 +$35.72
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $570.04 19 $10,830.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $565.32 19 $10,741.08 $10,859.47 $-89.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $563.60 19 $10,708.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $562.83 19 $10,693.77 $10,844.84 $-14.63
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $564.53 19 $10,726.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET $559.69 19 $10,634.11 $10,752.79 $-92.05
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,752.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$752.79
Total Return: +7.53%
Back to Nina Micro