MARA Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 49 trades in period
+7.96%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,354.95
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$6,812.60
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
5.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.7
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.4
Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,812.60
Current Value
$7,354.95
Period P&L
$542.36
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
19 /
30
Best Trade
+6.07%
Worst Trade
-3.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$651,043.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$542.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$542.36
Gross Return
+7.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.96%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,812.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.23 | 514 | $6,800.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $12.98 | 514 | $6,674.29 | $6,686.66 |
$-125.93 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $14.74 | 453 | $6,677.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $14.55 | 453 | $6,591.15 | $6,600.59 |
$-86.07 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.13 | 467 | $6,598.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.58 | 467 | $6,341.86 | $6,343.69 |
$-256.90 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.49 | 470 | $6,339.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $13.34 | 470 | $6,269.80 | $6,274.27 |
$-69.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $13.41 | 467 | $6,264.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.27 | 467 | $6,199.42 | $6,208.89 |
$-65.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $12.99 | 477 | $6,196.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $12.89 | 477 | $6,148.53 | $6,161.24 |
$-47.65 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $12.35 | 498 | $6,150.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $12.22 | 498 | $6,085.61 | $6,096.55 |
$-64.69 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $13.82 | 440 | $6,083.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $13.52 | 440 | $5,951.00 | $5,964.55 |
$-132.00 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $12.64 | 471 | $5,953.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $12.45 | 471 | $5,866.30 | $5,877.41 |
$-87.14 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $12.13 | 484 | $5,870.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $12.02 | 484 | $5,815.26 | $5,821.70 |
$-55.71 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $11.66 | 499 | $5,817.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $11.84 | 499 | $5,908.16 | $5,912.27 |
+$90.57 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $11.48 | 514 | $5,903.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $11.32 | 514 | $5,818.43 | $5,827.41 |
$-84.86 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $10.79 | 539 | $5,818.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $10.71 | 539 | $5,772.69 | $5,781.76 |
$-45.65 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.73 | 492 | $5,771.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.94 | 492 | $5,876.94 | $5,887.54 |
+$105.78 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.92 | 493 | $5,876.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.40 | 493 | $6,113.20 | $6,124.18 |
+$236.64 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $12.51 | 489 | $6,114.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $12.74 | 489 | $6,229.86 | $6,239.09 |
+$114.91 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $12.48 | 500 | $6,237.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $12.68 | 500 | $6,337.50 | $6,339.09 |
+$100.00 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $11.53 | 549 | $6,329.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $11.73 | 549 | $6,442.51 | $6,451.63 |
+$112.54 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.19 | 576 | $6,448.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $11.10 | 576 | $6,390.72 | $6,394.03 |
$-57.60 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $11.82 | 540 | $6,385.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.03 | 540 | $6,498.90 | $6,507.43 |
+$113.40 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.15 | 583 | $6,500.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $11.45 | 583 | $6,678.26 | $6,685.25 |
+$177.82 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $11.53 | 579 | $6,675.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.42 | 579 | $6,613.63 | $6,623.01 |
$-62.24 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.55 | 573 | $6,618.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $11.45 | 573 | $6,560.85 | $6,565.65 |
$-57.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $11.01 | 596 | $6,561.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.93 | 596 | $6,511.30 | $6,514.99 |
$-50.66 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.14 | 642 | $6,512.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $10.06 | 642 | $6,461.73 | $6,464.59 |
$-50.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.48 | 682 | $6,461.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.05 | 682 | $6,854.10 | $6,856.74 |
+$392.15 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.64 | 711 | $6,853.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.46 | 711 | $6,726.06 | $6,729.61 |
$-127.13 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.01 | 746 | $6,721.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.20 | 746 | $6,866.93 | $6,875.08 |
+$145.47 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $9.52 | 722 | $6,873.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $9.69 | 722 | $6,992.57 | $6,994.28 |
+$119.20 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.74 | 800 | $6,992.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.88 | 800 | $7,104.00 | $7,106.28 |
+$112.00 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.56 | 672 | $7,099.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $10.76 | 672 | $7,227.36 | $7,233.96 |
+$127.68 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $11.15 | 649 | $7,233.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $11.06 | 649 | $7,174.70 | $7,175.55 |
$-58.41 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $11.48 | 624 | $7,166.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $11.40 | 624 | $7,110.48 | $7,119.39 |
$-56.16 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $11.95 | 595 | $7,113.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $11.86 | 595 | $7,056.70 | $7,062.86 |
$-56.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $12.10 | 583 | $7,054.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $12.01 | 583 | $6,998.92 | $7,007.47 |
$-55.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $10.81 | 648 | $7,001.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $10.71 | 648 | $6,940.08 | $6,945.91 |
$-61.56 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.48 | 662 | $6,937.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.24 | 662 | $6,778.88 | $6,787.03 |
$-158.88 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.14 | 669 | $6,783.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.32 | 669 | $6,907.42 | $6,910.79 |
+$123.76 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $11.44 | 604 | $6,906.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.61 | 604 | $7,012.50 | $7,016.55 |
+$105.76 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $11.24 | 623 | $7,005.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.17 | 623 | $6,958.91 | $6,969.83 |
$-46.72 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $11.77 | 592 | $6,967.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $11.97 | 592 | $7,083.28 | $7,085.27 |
+$115.44 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $11.61 | 610 | $7,084.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.50 | 610 | $7,017.32 | $7,018.05 |
$-67.22 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.04 | 635 | $7,010.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.60 | 635 | $7,369.17 | $7,376.82 |
+$358.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.32 | 651 | $7,371.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.22 | 651 | $7,304.22 | $7,309.96 |
$-66.86 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $11.27 | 648 | $7,301.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $11.16 | 648 | $7,234.92 | $7,243.60 |
$-66.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $11.66 | 621 | $7,240.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $11.55 | 621 | $7,169.45 | $7,172.19 |
$-71.41 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $13.31 | 538 | $7,163.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $13.52 | 538 | $7,271.66 | $7,280.38 |
+$108.19 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $13.69 | 531 | $7,272.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.43 | 531 | $7,131.33 | $7,139.67 |
$-140.71 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.08 | 545 | $7,128.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.48 | 545 | $7,343.88 | $7,354.95 |
+$215.28 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,354.95
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,645.05
Total Return:
-26.45%