MSFT Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+12.94%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,844.16
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$8,716.51
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
6.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 6.1
30-Day Momentum
31
+3.1%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.3
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,716.51
Current Value
$9,844.16
Period P&L
$1,127.62
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-2.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$642,482.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,127.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,127.62
Gross Return
+12.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,716.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $373.13 | 23 | $8,581.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $369.29 | 23 | $8,493.67 | $8,566.69 |
$-88.32 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $352.53 | 24 | $8,460.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $358.19 | 24 | $8,596.56 | $8,702.53 |
+$135.84 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $374.04 | 23 | $8,602.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:45am ET | $371.14 | 23 | $8,536.22 | $8,635.83 |
$-66.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:45am ET | $370.20 | 23 | $8,514.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.39 | 23 | $8,748.97 | $8,870.20 |
+$234.37 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.53 | 23 | $8,844.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $390.84 | 23 | $8,989.32 | $9,015.33 |
+$145.13 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $383.98 | 23 | $8,831.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $392.18 | 23 | $9,020.14 | $9,203.82 |
+$188.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $383.75 | 23 | $8,826.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.20 | 23 | $8,606.60 | $8,984.17 |
$-219.65 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $382.52 | 23 | $8,797.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $389.35 | 23 | $8,955.05 | $9,141.27 |
+$157.10 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $382.14 | 23 | $8,789.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $390.24 | 23 | $8,975.52 | $9,327.57 |
+$186.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $392.62 | 23 | $9,030.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $398.76 | 23 | $9,171.54 | $9,468.85 |
+$141.28 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $390.29 | 24 | $9,366.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $396.56 | 24 | $9,517.44 | $9,619.33 |
+$150.48 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $398.67 | 24 | $9,568.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $392.97 | 24 | $9,431.28 | $9,482.53 |
$-136.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $387.15 | 24 | $9,291.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $383.63 | 24 | $9,207.18 | $9,398.11 |
$-84.42 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $383.97 | 24 | $9,215.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.23 | 24 | $9,365.52 | $9,548.35 |
+$150.24 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $398.06 | 23 | $9,155.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $394.29 | 23 | $9,068.67 | $9,461.64 |
$-86.71 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $395.54 | 23 | $9,097.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $392.18 | 23 | $9,020.25 | $9,384.47 |
$-77.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $454.82 | 20 | $9,096.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.00 | 20 | $9,000.00 | $9,288.07 |
$-96.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $482.68 | 19 | $9,170.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $490.67 | 19 | $9,322.82 | $9,439.97 |
+$151.90 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $496.37 | 19 | $9,431.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $492.62 | 19 | $9,359.78 | $9,368.66 |
$-71.31 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.63 | 19 | $9,283.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $496.55 | 19 | $9,434.45 | $9,519.14 |
+$150.48 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:35am ET | $502.38 | 18 | $9,042.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $510.40 | 18 | $9,187.20 | $9,663.50 |
+$144.36 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $501.55 | 19 | $9,529.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $497.77 | 19 | $9,457.72 | $9,591.68 |
$-71.82 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $496.45 | 19 | $9,432.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.54 | 19 | $9,339.26 | $9,498.39 |
$-93.29 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $481.66 | 19 | $9,151.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $484.30 | 19 | $9,201.61 | $9,548.46 |
+$50.07 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $488.15 | 19 | $9,274.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $497.05 | 19 | $9,443.95 | $9,717.46 |
+$169.00 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $501.25 | 19 | $9,523.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $511.13 | 19 | $9,711.47 | $9,905.18 |
+$187.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $509.01 | 19 | $9,671.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.89 | 19 | $9,459.82 | $9,693.81 |
$-211.38 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.88 | 19 | $9,497.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $495.90 | 19 | $9,422.10 | $9,618.19 |
$-75.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $511.40 | 18 | $9,205.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $506.41 | 18 | $9,115.38 | $9,528.37 |
$-89.82 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $494.21 | 19 | $9,389.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $490.40 | 19 | $9,317.60 | $9,455.98 |
$-72.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $492.08 | 19 | $9,349.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.45 | 19 | $9,451.55 | $9,558.01 |
+$102.03 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.61 | 19 | $9,511.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $496.75 | 19 | $9,438.25 | $9,484.67 |
$-73.34 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $489.34 | 19 | $9,297.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $496.83 | 19 | $9,439.68 | $9,626.84 |
+$142.17 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $493.49 | 19 | $9,376.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $493.68 | 19 | $9,380.01 | $9,630.55 |
+$3.71 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $496.62 | 19 | $9,435.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $507.86 | 19 | $9,649.34 | $9,844.16 |
+$213.61 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,844.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-155.84
Total Return:
-1.56%