MSFT Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 36 trades in period
+8.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,717.91
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$8,059.37
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.4
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,059.37
Current Value
$8,717.91
Period P&L
$658.52
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
17 /
19
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
22.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$588,192.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$658.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$658.52
Gross Return
+8.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,059.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $382.57 | 21 | $8,033.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.52 | 21 | $7,906.92 | $7,932.44 |
$-126.95 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $373.47 | 21 | $7,842.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $370.56 | 21 | $7,781.76 | $7,871.33 |
$-61.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $370.13 | 21 | $7,772.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $367.35 | 21 | $7,714.35 | $7,812.95 |
$-58.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $359.38 | 21 | $7,546.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $364.79 | 21 | $7,660.59 | $7,926.67 |
+$113.72 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $363.42 | 21 | $7,631.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $368.87 | 21 | $7,746.27 | $8,041.22 |
+$114.55 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $372.05 | 21 | $7,813.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $369.08 | 21 | $7,750.70 | $7,978.87 |
$-62.35 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $371.02 | 21 | $7,791.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.18 | 21 | $7,836.78 | $8,024.23 |
+$45.36 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.46 | 21 | $7,779.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $367.15 | 21 | $7,710.25 | $7,954.83 |
$-69.40 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $377.73 | 21 | $7,932.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $374.26 | 21 | $7,859.46 | $7,881.86 |
$-72.97 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $369.38 | 21 | $7,756.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $374.96 | 21 | $7,874.16 | $7,999.04 |
+$117.18 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $392.90 | 20 | $7,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.89 | 20 | $8,017.80 | $8,158.84 |
+$159.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $418.78 | 19 | $7,956.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $425.86 | 19 | $8,091.34 | $8,293.36 |
+$134.52 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $418.70 | 19 | $7,955.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $425.60 | 19 | $8,086.40 | $8,424.46 |
+$131.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $431.19 | 19 | $8,192.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 19 | $7,963.57 | $8,195.42 |
$-229.04 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $418.16 | 19 | $7,945.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $424.59 | 19 | $8,067.21 | $8,317.59 |
+$122.17 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.60 | 19 | $8,048.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.24 | 19 | $7,794.56 | $8,063.75 |
$-253.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $411.86 | 19 | $7,825.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $419.72 | 19 | $7,974.68 | $8,213.18 |
+$149.43 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $410.85 | 19 | $7,806.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.51 | 19 | $7,742.69 | $8,149.72 |
$-63.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $423.38 | 19 | $8,044.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 19 | $7,914.45 | $8,019.95 |
$-129.77 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.79 | 19 | $7,747.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.39 | 19 | $7,873.41 | $8,145.45 |
+$125.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.38 | 20 | $8,047.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $408.71 | 20 | $8,174.20 | $8,272.05 |
+$126.60 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $420.55 | 19 | $7,990.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $427.52 | 19 | $8,122.97 | $8,404.58 |
+$132.53 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $422.26 | 19 | $8,022.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $429.97 | 19 | $8,169.43 | $8,551.07 |
+$146.49 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.81 | 20 | $8,276.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $420.37 | 20 | $8,407.40 | $8,682.27 |
+$131.20 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $418.66 | 20 | $8,373.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 20 | $8,331.10 | $8,640.17 |
$-42.10 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $411.05 | 21 | $8,632.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $419.24 | 21 | $8,804.04 | $8,812.16 |
+$171.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $443.30 | 19 | $8,422.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.57 | 19 | $8,826.74 | $9,216.20 |
+$404.04 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.97 | 20 | $8,939.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $443.11 | 20 | $8,862.20 | $9,139.00 |
$-77.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $428.41 | 21 | $8,996.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $425.19 | 21 | $8,928.99 | $9,071.35 |
$-67.65 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $427.94 | 21 | $8,986.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $423.26 | 21 | $8,888.46 | $8,973.07 |
$-98.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $412.25 | 21 | $8,657.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $408.87 | 21 | $8,586.27 | $8,902.09 |
$-70.98 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $402.40 | 22 | $8,852.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.06 | 22 | $8,757.32 | $8,806.61 |
$-95.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.54 | 22 | $8,679.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $391.57 | 22 | $8,614.54 | $8,741.27 |
$-65.34 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $384.35 | 22 | $8,455.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $390.26 | 22 | $8,585.72 | $8,871.29 |
+$130.02 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.99 | 22 | $8,689.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $391.59 | 22 | $8,614.98 | $8,796.45 |
$-74.84 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $384.66 | 22 | $8,462.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $381.09 | 22 | $8,383.98 | $8,717.91 |
$-78.54 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,717.91
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,282.09
Total Return:
-12.82%