Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 69.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 69.3

30-Day Momentum

24
+1.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.3 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-46 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$46,814.90
Current Value
$42,909.50
Period P&L
$-3,905.41
Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
18 / 27
Best Trade
+3.82%
Worst Trade
-6.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
9.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,796,394.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,905.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,905.41
Gross Return
-8.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 45 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $46,814.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,214.87 38 $46,165.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,200.76 38 $45,628.88 $46,278.73 $-536.18
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,124.84 41 $46,118.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $1,114.50 41 $45,694.50 $45,854.79 $-423.94
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:30am ET $1,140.21 40 $45,608.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,160.82 40 $46,432.80 $46,679.19 +$824.40
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,052.93 44 $46,328.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,043.65 44 $45,920.38 $46,270.65 $-408.54
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $998.28 46 $45,920.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $986.00 46 $45,356.06 $45,705.83 $-564.82
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $928.57 49 $45,499.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $920.30 49 $45,094.70 $45,300.60 $-405.23
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:05am ET $1,018.60 44 $44,818.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,010.69 44 $44,470.36 $44,952.56 $-348.04
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $989.90 45 $44,545.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $981.03 45 $44,146.35 $44,553.41 $-399.15
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $983.49 45 $44,257.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $975.48 45 $43,896.60 $44,192.96 $-360.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $901.59 49 $44,177.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $869.27 49 $42,594.23 $42,609.52 $-1,583.44
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $825.00 51 $42,075.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $808.61 51 $41,239.36 $41,773.88 $-835.64
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $869.74 48 $41,747.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET $883.32 48 $42,399.36 $42,425.48 +$651.60
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $972.34 43 $41,810.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $964.27 43 $41,463.40 $42,078.25 $-347.23
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:45am ET $985.70 42 $41,399.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,003.40 42 $42,142.98 $42,821.83 +$743.58
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $936.00 45 $42,120.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $927.17 45 $41,722.65 $42,424.48 $-397.35
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $844.54 50 $42,227.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $831.36 50 $41,568.00 $41,765.48 $-659.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $813.37 51 $41,481.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $796.61 51 $40,627.36 $40,911.00 $-854.48
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $866.15 47 $40,709.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $879.71 47 $41,346.14 $41,547.90 +$636.90
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $827.68 50 $41,384.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 50 $39,134.75 $39,298.40 $-2,249.50
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $893.94 43 $38,439.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $883.10 43 $37,973.30 $38,832.28 $-466.12
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 46 $38,705.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:45am ET $865.68 46 $39,821.35 $39,947.85 +$1,115.57
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET $885.26 45 $39,836.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET $873.28 45 $39,297.60 $39,408.98 $-538.87
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $870.52 45 $39,173.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $884.56 45 $39,805.20 $40,041.00 +$632.02
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $848.30 47 $39,870.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $861.63 47 $40,496.82 $40,667.48 +$626.48
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $919.74 44 $40,468.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $911.95 44 $40,125.80 $40,324.72 $-342.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $947.58 42 $39,798.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.42 42 $41,051.64 $41,578.00 +$1,253.28
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,028.72 40 $41,148.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,019.54 40 $40,781.60 $41,210.80 $-367.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $935.11 44 $41,145.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $951.91 44 $41,884.26 $41,950.03 +$739.23
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $952.64 44 $41,915.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $967.21 44 $42,557.24 $42,591.33 +$641.30
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $964.54 44 $42,439.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $935.35 44 $41,155.40 $41,306.97 $-1,284.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $926.38 44 $40,760.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET $940.97 44 $41,402.52 $41,948.99 +$642.02
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $916.58 45 $41,246.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $908.64 45 $40,888.80 $41,591.79 $-357.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $926.09 44 $40,747.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $918.35 44 $40,407.40 $41,251.23 $-340.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $936.54 44 $41,207.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $951.29 44 $41,856.76 $41,900.22 +$648.99
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET $939.50 44 $41,338.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $953.86 44 $41,969.84 $42,532.06 +$631.84
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $999.11 42 $41,962.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,037.25 42 $43,564.67 $44,134.08 +$1,602.02
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $999.46 44 $43,976.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $1,020.13 44 $44,885.73 $45,043.78 +$909.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $991.28 45 $44,607.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:20am ET $982.89 45 $44,230.05 $44,666.01 $-377.77
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $971.60 45 $43,722.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 45 $40,935.60 $41,879.61 $-2,786.40
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $930.42 45 $41,868.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $922.30 45 $41,503.50 $41,514.21 $-365.40
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $928.43 44 $40,850.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $920.36 44 $40,496.06 $41,159.34 $-354.87
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:20am ET $990.90 41 $40,626.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,007.98 41 $41,327.38 $41,859.82 +$700.48
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,033.28 40 $41,331.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $1,053.63 40 $42,145.21 $42,673.82 +$814.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
44 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $1,088.68 39 $42,458.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $1,074.27 39 $41,896.61 $42,111.90 $-561.92
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
45 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET $1,052.69 40 $42,107.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,072.63 40 $42,905.20 $42,909.50 +$797.60
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,909.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,909.50
Total Return: +329.10%
Back to Nina Micro