Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,015.70
Current Value
$13,303.26
Period P&L
$287.51
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
14 / 23
Best Trade
+5.36%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
17.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$972,926.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$287.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$287.51
Gross Return
+2.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,015.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $195.05 66 $12,872.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $192.94 66 $12,734.04 $12,876.81 $-138.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $190.46 67 $12,761.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $193.99 67 $12,997.00 $13,112.72 +$235.91
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $197.74 66 $13,050.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $195.77 66 $12,920.82 $12,982.70 $-130.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $198.28 65 $12,888.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $196.66 65 $12,782.90 $12,877.40 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $195.71 65 $12,721.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $192.15 65 $12,489.75 $12,646.00 $-231.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $195.68 64 $12,523.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:00am ET $198.93 64 $12,731.20 $12,853.68 +$207.68
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $202.04 63 $12,728.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $206.37 63 $13,001.31 $13,126.47 +$272.79
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $208.57 62 $12,931.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:55am ET $206.72 62 $12,816.64 $13,012.08 $-114.39
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $211.21 61 $12,883.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:05am ET $209.54 61 $12,782.24 $12,910.51 $-101.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:05am ET $206.11 62 $12,778.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $202.99 62 $12,585.38 $12,717.08 $-193.43
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $204.93 62 $12,705.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $203.15 62 $12,594.99 $12,606.72 $-110.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $206.15 61 $12,574.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $209.85 61 $12,801.15 $12,833.03 +$226.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET $206.88 62 $12,826.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $210.26 62 $13,036.43 $13,042.90 +$209.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $209.75 62 $13,004.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $207.80 62 $12,883.91 $12,922.31 $-120.59
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $194.85 66 $12,860.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET $193.35 66 $12,761.10 $12,823.31 $-99.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:20am ET $192.05 66 $12,675.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $195.59 66 $12,908.94 $13,056.93 +$233.62
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $195.61 66 $12,910.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.74 66 $13,116.51 $13,263.18 +$206.25
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $207.69 63 $13,084.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.95 63 $13,352.85 $13,531.56 +$268.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET $219.02 61 $13,360.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 61 $13,579.21 $13,750.55 +$218.99
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $222.72 61 $13,585.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET $220.40 61 $13,444.10 $13,608.73 $-141.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $219.09 62 $13,583.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $217.35 62 $13,475.97 $13,501.26 $-107.47
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $223.58 60 $13,414.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $227.00 60 $13,620.00 $13,706.62 +$205.36
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $226.88 60 $13,612.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.16 60 $13,509.60 $13,603.72 $-102.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.55 61 $13,392.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $217.84 61 $13,288.24 $13,499.41 $-104.31
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $217.97 61 $13,296.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET $216.18 61 $13,186.98 $13,390.23 $-109.18
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $215.62 62 $13,368.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $213.09 62 $13,211.57 $13,233.36 $-156.87
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $210.76 62 $13,067.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $222.06 62 $13,767.72 $13,933.95 +$700.59
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $224.83 61 $13,714.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:45am ET $223.02 61 $13,604.52 $13,823.84 $-110.11
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $219.39 63 $13,821.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $216.93 63 $13,666.90 $13,669.17 $-154.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $226.01 60 $13,560.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.21 60 $13,452.30 $13,560.57 $-108.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $229.08 59 $13,515.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $233.35 59 $13,767.65 $13,812.34 +$251.77
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET $228.09 60 $13,685.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:55am ET $226.29 60 $13,577.40 $13,704.34 $-108.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $224.12 61 $13,671.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $220.55 61 $13,453.55 $13,486.57 $-217.77
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $219.42 61 $13,384.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 61 $12,883.20 $12,985.15 $-501.42
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $212.74 61 $12,976.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $216.21 61 $13,188.51 $13,196.82 +$211.67
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET $218.85 60 $13,131.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.34 60 $13,340.40 $13,406.22 +$209.40
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.04 59 $13,395.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $225.29 59 $13,292.11 $13,303.26 $-102.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,303.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,303.26
Total Return: +33.03%
Back to Nina Micro