Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:17

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.7%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,487.01
Current Value
$12,922.31
Period P&L
$-564.75
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
14 / 29
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-1.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,128,484.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-564.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-564.75
Gross Return
-4.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,487.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $209.37 63 $13,190.31
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 63 $13,407.97 $13,611.57 +$217.67
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $212.49 64 $13,599.04
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $210.50 64 $13,472.00 $13,484.53 $-127.04
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $208.24 64 $13,327.55
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $206.49 64 $13,215.68 $13,372.66 $-111.87
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $199.76 66 $13,184.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $197.61 66 $13,042.26 $13,230.44 $-142.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $197.81 66 $13,055.46
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $195.86 66 $12,926.76 $13,101.74 $-128.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:30am ET $197.02 66 $13,003.32
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $200.76 66 $13,250.16 $13,348.58 +$246.84
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
7 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $212.12 62 $13,151.44
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $215.79 62 $13,378.86 $13,576.00 +$227.42
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $220.57 61 $13,454.77
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $218.75 61 $13,343.75 $13,464.98 $-111.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
9 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $227.13 59 $13,400.67
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $230.69 59 $13,610.71 $13,675.02 +$210.04
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $227.34 60 $13,640.40
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $225.62 60 $13,537.20 $13,571.82 $-103.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $226.04 60 $13,562.70
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $223.94 60 $13,436.16 $13,445.28 $-126.54
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $218.88 61 $13,351.38
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $222.81 61 $13,591.41 $13,685.31 +$240.03
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $224.38 60 $13,462.80
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $222.67 60 $13,360.20 $13,582.71 $-102.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $219.66 61 $13,399.56
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:00am ET $217.60 61 $13,273.30 $13,456.44 $-126.27
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:20am ET $214.60 62 $13,305.51
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $212.84 62 $13,196.08 $13,347.01 $-109.43
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $212.43 62 $13,170.97
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $216.22 62 $13,405.47 $13,581.51 +$234.50
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $219.16 61 $13,368.77
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $222.68 61 $13,583.48 $13,796.22 +$214.71
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $222.96 61 $13,600.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $220.11 61 $13,426.71 $13,622.07 $-174.15
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $214.41 63 $13,508.14
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $212.40 63 $13,381.20 $13,495.13 $-126.94
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $213.13 63 $13,427.19
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $211.51 63 $13,325.13 $13,393.07 $-102.06
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $207.87 64 $13,303.68
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $206.17 64 $13,194.98 $13,284.37 $-108.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $203.71 65 $13,241.47
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $202.02 65 $13,131.30 $13,174.20 $-110.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET $201.36 65 $13,088.40
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $199.77 65 $12,985.37 $13,071.17 $-103.03
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $204.48 63 $12,881.93
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $208.99 63 $13,166.37 $13,355.61 +$284.44
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $211.18 63 $13,304.03
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $209.06 63 $13,170.78 $13,222.36 $-133.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $207.32 63 $13,061.47
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $205.66 63 $12,956.89 $13,117.78 $-104.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $209.76 62 $13,005.12
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $211.38 62 $13,105.56 $13,218.22 +$100.44
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 65 $13,130.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $200.46 65 $13,029.58 $13,117.80 $-100.42
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $200.70 65 $13,045.50
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $199.13 65 $12,943.45 $13,015.75 $-102.05
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $195.05 66 $12,872.98
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $192.94 66 $12,734.04 $12,876.81 $-138.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $190.46 67 $12,761.09
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $193.99 67 $12,997.00 $13,112.72 +$235.91
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $197.74 66 $13,050.84
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $195.77 66 $12,920.82 $12,982.70 $-130.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $198.28 65 $12,888.20
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $196.66 65 $12,782.90 $12,877.40 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $195.71 65 $12,721.15
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $192.15 65 $12,489.75 $12,646.00 $-231.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $195.68 64 $12,523.52
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:00am ET $198.93 64 $12,731.20 $12,853.68 +$207.68
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $202.04 63 $12,728.52
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $206.37 63 $13,001.31 $13,126.47 +$272.79
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $208.57 62 $12,931.03
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:55am ET $206.72 62 $12,816.64 $13,012.08 $-114.39
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $211.21 61 $12,883.81
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:05am ET $209.54 61 $12,782.24 $12,910.51 $-101.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:05am ET $206.11 62 $12,778.81
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $202.99 62 $12,585.38 $12,717.08 $-193.43
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $204.93 62 $12,705.35
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $203.15 62 $12,594.99 $12,606.72 $-110.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $206.15 61 $12,574.85
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $209.85 61 $12,801.15 $12,833.03 +$226.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET $206.88 62 $12,826.56
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $210.26 62 $13,036.43 $13,042.90 +$209.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $209.75 62 $13,004.50
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $207.80 62 $12,883.91 $12,922.31 $-120.59
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,922.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,922.31
Total Return: +29.22%
Back to Nina Micro