Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:55:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

73
+11.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
16
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.0 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+68 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,616.88
Current Value
$8,419.73
Period P&L
$-197.19
Max Drawdown
-26.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
18 / 25
Best Trade
+2.90%
Worst Trade
-5.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$673,635.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-197.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-197.19
Gross Return
-2.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,616.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $152.93 56 $8,564.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $150.02 56 $8,401.12 $8,453.96 $-162.96
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $148.42 56 $8,311.52
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $147.07 56 $8,235.92 $8,378.36 $-75.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET $144.76 57 $8,251.04
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $143.65 57 $8,188.05 $8,315.37 $-62.99
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $140.08 59 $8,264.72
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $138.64 59 $8,179.76 $8,230.41 $-84.96
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $146.15 56 $8,184.12
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $144.96 56 $8,117.76 $8,164.05 $-66.36
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $145.24 56 $8,133.72
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 56 $8,242.64 $8,272.97 +$108.92
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 57 $8,202.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $142.75 57 $8,136.75 $8,207.14 $-65.83
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $144.35 56 $8,083.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $143.21 56 $8,019.76 $8,143.30 $-63.84
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $136.55 59 $8,056.45
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $135.20 59 $7,976.80 $8,063.65 $-79.65
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $163.10 49 $7,991.90
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $161.60 49 $7,918.40 $7,990.15 $-73.50
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $170.55 46 $7,845.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $175.50 46 $8,073.00 $8,217.85 +$227.70
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $179.60 45 $8,082.22
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $177.39 45 $7,982.55 $8,118.18 $-99.67
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $182.39 44 $8,025.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.68 44 $7,949.92 $8,042.94 $-75.24
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.02 43 $8,041.86
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 43 $7,731.40 $7,732.48 $-310.46
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $172.48 44 $7,589.12
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $170.87 44 $7,518.28 $7,661.64 $-70.84
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $172.43 44 $7,586.92
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 44 $7,146.92 $7,221.64 $-440.00
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 44 $7,196.64
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $161.09 44 $7,087.96 $7,112.96 $-108.68
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $161.35 44 $7,099.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $164.53 44 $7,239.32 $7,252.88 +$139.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $172.50 42 $7,244.98
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $176.08 42 $7,395.30 $7,403.20 +$150.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $179.95 41 $7,377.95
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $183.24 41 $7,513.04 $7,538.29 +$135.09
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
21 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:25am ET $197.11 38 $7,490.18
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $194.81 38 $7,402.78 $7,450.89 $-87.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
22 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $195.95 38 $7,446.10
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $194.40 38 $7,387.20 $7,391.99 $-58.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $192.97 38 $7,332.86
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $189.53 38 $7,202.14 $7,261.27 $-130.72
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
24 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:35am ET $189.15 38 $7,187.89
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $186.42 38 $7,083.96 $7,157.34 $-103.93
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
25 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $190.54 37 $7,049.98
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:25am ET $193.45 37 $7,157.65 $7,265.01 +$107.67
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
26 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $184.49 39 $7,195.11
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $188.70 39 $7,359.30 $7,429.20 +$164.19
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
27 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:55am ET $180.65 41 $7,406.45
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:55am ET $184.10 41 $7,547.90 $7,570.65 +$141.45
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
28 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $190.72 39 $7,438.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $195.04 39 $7,606.37 $7,738.94 +$168.29
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
29 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $191.78 40 $7,671.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $194.76 40 $7,790.20 $7,857.94 +$119.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
30 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $189.12 41 $7,753.72
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $194.25 41 $7,964.25 $8,068.47 +$210.53
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
31 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $221.57 36 $7,976.52
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 36 $8,114.40 $8,206.35 +$137.88
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.76 33 $8,176.24
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $244.72 33 $8,075.76 $8,105.87 $-100.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $240.00 33 $7,920.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $236.12 33 $7,792.04 $7,977.91 $-127.96
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $225.75 35 $7,901.25
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $229.58 35 $8,035.30 $8,111.96 +$134.05
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $222.71 36 $8,017.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $220.89 36 $7,952.04 $8,046.26 $-65.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $209.90 38 $7,976.20
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $213.73 38 $8,121.74 $8,191.80 +$145.54
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $207.75 39 $8,102.25
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $205.38 39 $8,009.82 $8,099.37 $-92.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $205.69 39 $8,021.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $203.70 39 $7,944.30 $8,021.76 $-77.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $176.28 45 $7,932.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.94 45 $8,097.30 $8,186.46 +$164.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $181.15 45 $8,151.97
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.90 45 $8,275.50 $8,309.98 +$123.52
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $192.69 43 $8,285.67
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $188.88 43 $8,121.84 $8,146.15 $-163.83
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $184.90 44 $8,135.82
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $188.07 44 $8,275.08 $8,285.41 +$139.26
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $178.55 46 $8,213.53
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $181.48 46 $8,347.85 $8,419.73 +$134.32
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,419.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,580.27
Total Return: -15.80%
Back to Nina Micro