Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 17:39:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,651.90
Current Value
$10,845.24
Period P&L
$193.36
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
18 / 22
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-2.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$842,138.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$193.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$193.36
Gross Return
+1.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,651.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $164.60 64 $10,534.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $163.35 64 $10,454.40 $10,571.88 $-80.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $158.40 66 $10,454.73
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $156.87 66 $10,353.42 $10,470.57 $-101.31
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $154.52 67 $10,352.84
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $153.12 67 $10,259.04 $10,376.77 $-93.80
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 70 $10,313.10
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $145.43 70 $10,180.10 $10,243.77 $-133.00
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $157.10 65 $10,211.18
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $155.68 65 $10,119.52 $10,152.12 $-91.65
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:20pm ET $160.12 63 $10,087.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $158.17 63 $9,964.71 $10,029.58 $-122.54
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET $158.15 63 $9,963.45
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $160.61 63 $10,118.43 $10,184.56 +$154.98
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $160.82 63 $10,131.68
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $164.65 63 $10,372.95 $10,425.83 +$241.27
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $173.06 60 $10,383.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $169.73 60 $10,183.80 $10,226.03 $-199.80
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 63 $10,190.57
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $157.54 63 $9,924.71 $9,960.17 $-265.86
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $161.49 61 $9,850.89
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $164.97 61 $10,063.17 $10,172.45 +$212.28
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $161.88 62 $10,036.56
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $164.54 62 $10,201.17 $10,337.06 +$164.61
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $166.04 62 $10,294.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 62 $10,564.80 $10,607.38 +$270.32
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET $168.90 62 $10,471.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $171.67 62 $10,643.73 $10,779.30 +$171.92
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 62 $10,771.26
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $172.03 62 $10,665.86 $10,673.90 $-105.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:00am ET $174.67 61 $10,654.87
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $177.41 61 $10,822.01 $10,841.04 +$167.14
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $182.60 59 $10,773.40
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $179.52 59 $10,591.68 $10,659.32 $-181.72
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $179.08 59 $10,565.72
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $176.91 59 $10,437.69 $10,531.29 $-128.03
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $178.55 58 $10,356.19
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $181.29 58 $10,514.82 $10,689.92 +$158.63
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:55am ET $185.80 57 $10,590.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $182.76 57 $10,417.32 $10,516.64 $-173.28
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $179.57 58 $10,415.35
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $182.29 58 $10,573.11 $10,674.40 +$157.76
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
22 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:10am ET $197.20 54 $10,648.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $195.51 54 $10,557.81 $10,583.41 $-90.99
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
23 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $204.14 51 $10,411.02
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 51 $10,608.00 $10,780.39 +$196.98
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $212.13 50 $10,606.25
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:45am ET $215.92 50 $10,796.00 $10,970.14 +$189.75
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
25 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $236.03 46 $10,857.38
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.82 46 $10,755.72 $10,868.48 $-101.66
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
26 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $242.89 44 $10,687.16
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $238.20 44 $10,480.80 $10,662.12 $-206.36
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $243.68 43 $10,478.24
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $247.99 43 $10,663.57 $10,847.45 +$185.33
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
28 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $246.52 44 $10,846.93
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $241.46 44 $10,624.24 $10,624.76 $-222.69
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
29 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $259.72 40 $10,388.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $258.46 40 $10,338.60 $10,574.56 $-50.20
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $245.42 43 $10,553.15
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $249.63 43 $10,734.09 $10,755.50 +$180.94
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
31 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $257.74 41 $10,567.34
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $264.20 41 $10,832.20 $11,020.36 +$264.86
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $292.79 37 $10,833.23
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $298.36 37 $11,039.50 $11,226.63 +$206.27
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $285.74 39 $11,143.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 39 $10,881.39 $10,964.16 $-262.47
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 40 $10,906.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $277.50 40 $11,100.00 $11,158.16 +$194.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $274.82 40 $10,992.80
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $272.43 40 $10,897.20 $11,062.56 $-95.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $266.59 41 $10,930.19
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 41 $10,698.95 $10,831.32 $-231.24
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $262.98 41 $10,782.18
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $259.99 41 $10,659.59 $10,708.73 $-122.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $273.18 39 $10,654.02
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $277.64 39 $10,828.15 $10,882.86 +$174.13
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:45am ET $282.03 38 $10,717.14
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $276.27 38 $10,498.45 $10,664.17 $-218.69
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $278.00 38 $10,564.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $282.77 38 $10,745.07 $10,845.24 +$181.07
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,845.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$845.24
Total Return: +8.45%
Back to Nina Micro