Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
7.9/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 19.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.2 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,310.07
Current Value
$10,662.53
Period P&L
$-647.58
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
11 / 17
Best Trade
+1.74%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$592,083.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-647.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-647.58
Gross Return
-5.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,310.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $714.67 15 $10,720.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $706.88 15 $10,603.13 $11,193.19 $-116.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $722.75 15 $10,841.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:35am ET $733.60 15 $11,004.00 $11,355.94 +$162.75
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:35am ET $728.83 15 $10,932.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $722.84 15 $10,842.60 $11,266.07 $-89.87
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $723.41 15 $10,851.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $713.74 15 $10,706.10 $11,121.02 $-145.05
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $705.84 15 $10,587.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $718.14 15 $10,772.14 $11,305.48 +$184.46
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $720.57 15 $10,808.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $718.09 15 $10,771.35 $11,268.28 $-37.20
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $718.18 15 $10,772.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $712.27 15 $10,683.98 $11,179.48 $-88.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $707.71 15 $10,615.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $692.25 15 $10,383.75 $10,947.58 $-231.90
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET $701.16 15 $10,517.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $695.55 15 $10,433.25 $10,863.43 $-84.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $704.18 15 $10,562.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $694.63 15 $10,419.45 $10,720.18 $-143.25
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $685.09 15 $10,276.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $688.54 15 $10,328.10 $10,771.93 +$51.75
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $669.79 16 $10,716.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $664.21 16 $10,627.36 $10,682.65 $-89.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET $684.64 15 $10,269.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $695.66 15 $10,434.90 $10,847.95 +$165.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $722.91 15 $10,843.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $711.64 15 $10,674.60 $10,678.89 $-169.06
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $719.60 14 $10,074.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $722.55 14 $10,115.70 $10,720.19 +$41.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $718.66 14 $10,061.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $730.25 14 $10,223.50 $10,882.45 +$162.26
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET $731.43 14 $10,240.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:45am ET $732.78 14 $10,258.92 $10,901.35 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:45am ET $718.30 15 $10,774.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $712.55 15 $10,688.25 $10,815.10 $-86.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $709.27 15 $10,639.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $703.41 15 $10,551.15 $10,727.20 $-87.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET $710.17 15 $10,652.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $721.02 15 $10,815.30 $10,889.92 +$162.72
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $714.53 15 $10,717.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $707.57 15 $10,613.55 $10,785.52 $-104.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $706.14 15 $10,592.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $717.48 15 $10,762.20 $10,955.62 +$170.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $717.23 15 $10,758.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $720.84 15 $10,812.58 $11,009.75 +$54.13
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $716.26 15 $10,743.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.65 15 $10,614.75 $10,880.60 $-129.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $714.17 15 $10,712.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $703.57 15 $10,553.48 $10,721.53 $-159.07
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $708.65 15 $10,629.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $702.57 15 $10,538.55 $10,630.33 $-91.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $716.80 14 $10,035.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $728.25 14 $10,195.50 $10,790.63 +$160.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $744.12 14 $10,417.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $734.97 14 $10,289.58 $10,662.53 $-128.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,662.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$662.53
Total Return: +6.63%
Back to Nina Micro