Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:20:39

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 23.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.2

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.5 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,805.98
Current Value
$11,359.61
Period P&L
$553.59
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
14 / 15
Best Trade
+2.34%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$616,085.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$553.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$553.59
Gross Return
+5.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,805.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $590.24 18 $10,624.41
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $584.83 18 $10,526.94 $10,708.55 $-97.47
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $586.87 18 $10,563.66
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $581.53 18 $10,467.54 $10,612.43 $-96.12
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $568.35 18 $10,230.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $563.95 18 $10,151.01 $10,533.14 $-79.29
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $559.90 18 $10,078.20
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET $568.54 18 $10,233.72 $10,688.66 +$155.52
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $585.78 18 $10,544.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 18 $10,341.54 $10,486.16 $-202.50
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $587.24 17 $9,983.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $582.53 17 $9,902.93 $10,406.01 $-80.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $604.45 17 $10,275.65
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $609.78 17 $10,366.26 $10,496.62 +$90.61
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $625.82 16 $10,013.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $635.23 16 $10,163.76 $10,647.26 +$150.64
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $638.59 16 $10,217.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $648.53 16 $10,376.48 $10,806.30 +$159.04
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $646.27 16 $10,340.32
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET $653.93 16 $10,462.88 $10,928.86 +$122.56
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $662.92 16 $10,606.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $663.65 16 $10,618.40 $10,940.46 +$11.60
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $656.82 16 $10,509.04
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $667.20 16 $10,675.20 $11,106.62 +$166.16
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $674.11 16 $10,785.76
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $672.30 16 $10,756.80 $11,077.66 $-28.96
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $682.06 16 $10,912.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $692.38 16 $11,078.08 $11,242.78 +$165.12
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $698.69 16 $11,179.04
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $693.33 16 $11,093.28 $11,157.02 $-85.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $709.40 15 $10,641.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $713.69 15 $10,705.35 $11,221.37 +$64.35
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $715.22 15 $10,728.23
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $709.03 15 $10,635.45 $11,128.60 $-92.77
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $710.46 15 $10,656.90
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $703.98 15 $10,559.70 $11,031.40 $-97.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $696.48 15 $10,447.20
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $707.20 15 $10,608.00 $11,192.20 +$160.80
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $709.40 15 $10,641.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $721.12 15 $10,816.80 $11,368.00 +$175.80
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:30am ET $728.35 15 $10,925.25
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $739.34 15 $11,090.10 $11,532.85 +$164.85
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $744.07 15 $11,160.98
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $735.25 15 $11,028.75 $11,400.62 $-132.23
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $729.51 15 $10,942.65
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $723.98 15 $10,859.70 $11,317.67 $-82.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $719.53 15 $10,792.95
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $712.71 15 $10,690.65 $11,215.37 $-102.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $702.11 15 $10,531.65
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $696.22 15 $10,443.30 $11,127.02 $-88.35
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $699.26 15 $10,488.96
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $710.19 15 $10,652.85 $11,290.91 +$163.89
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $721.19 15 $10,817.85
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $738.03 15 $11,070.45 $11,543.51 +$252.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $742.47 15 $11,137.05
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $736.29 15 $11,044.35 $11,450.81 $-92.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $732.70 15 $10,990.50
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $726.62 15 $10,899.30 $11,359.61 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,359.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,359.61
Total Return: +13.60%
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