Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.0%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,287.08
Current Value
$9,278.23
Period P&L
$-8.93
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
17 / 27
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$830,848.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8.93
Gross Return
-0.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,287.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.30 162 $9,282.32
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $58.28 162 $9,441.36 $9,446.19 +$159.03
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $54.09 174 $9,411.68
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:30am ET $55.00 174 $9,570.00 $9,604.51 +$158.32
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $55.97 171 $9,571.72
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET $55.42 171 $9,476.82 $9,509.60 $-94.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $45.59 208 $9,482.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $45.22 208 $9,405.76 $9,432.64 $-76.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $47.99 196 $9,406.04
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $47.60 196 $9,329.60 $9,356.20 $-76.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $43.94 212 $9,315.28
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 212 $9,487.00 $9,527.92 +$171.72
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.79 217 $9,502.43
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $43.40 217 $9,417.80 $9,443.29 $-84.63
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $41.43 227 $9,404.61
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:25am ET $42.14 227 $9,565.78 $9,604.46 +$161.17
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $42.85 224 $9,598.40
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $42.43 224 $9,504.32 $9,510.38 $-94.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
10 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:50am ET $41.64 228 $9,493.92
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:55am ET $42.39 228 $9,664.92 $9,681.38 +$171.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $42.38 228 $9,662.64
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $43.07 228 $9,819.96 $9,838.70 +$157.32
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.81 210 $9,831.15
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $46.01 210 $9,661.05 $9,668.60 $-170.10
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $43.95 219 $9,625.05
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $44.69 219 $9,786.02 $9,829.57 +$160.97
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:45am ET $46.40 211 $9,789.35
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $45.99 211 $9,703.89 $9,744.12 $-85.45
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $46.10 211 $9,727.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $45.13 211 $9,523.48 $9,540.50 $-203.62
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $46.60 204 $9,506.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $46.21 204 $9,426.84 $9,460.94 $-79.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $46.92 201 $9,430.92
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.44 201 $9,335.44 $9,365.47 $-95.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $46.62 200 $9,324.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $45.99 200 $9,197.00 $9,238.47 $-127.00
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:05am ET $45.18 204 $9,216.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $44.80 204 $9,139.20 $9,160.95 $-77.52
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:10am ET $42.97 213 $9,152.61
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.64 213 $9,295.32 $9,303.66 +$142.71
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.29 214 $9,264.72
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $42.85 214 $9,168.83 $9,207.77 $-95.89
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $42.46 216 $9,171.38
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $43.28 216 $9,348.48 $9,384.87 +$177.10
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $42.27 222 $9,383.94
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $43.05 222 $9,557.10 $9,558.03 +$173.16
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $41.49 230 $9,542.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $42.13 230 $9,691.05 $9,706.38 +$148.35
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $42.96 225 $9,666.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.64 225 $9,819.00 $9,859.38 +$153.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $45.52 216 $9,832.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $45.17 216 $9,756.72 $9,783.78 $-75.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $48.67 201 $9,782.17
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $48.24 201 $9,695.24 $9,696.85 $-86.93
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.63 187 $9,653.88
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $51.17 187 $9,569.72 $9,612.70 $-84.15
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $46.37 207 $9,598.59
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $48.07 207 $9,950.49 $9,964.60 +$351.90
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $48.86 203 $9,918.58
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $48.38 203 $9,820.13 $9,866.14 $-98.46
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.20 209 $9,864.80
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $46.83 209 $9,787.47 $9,788.81 $-77.33
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $55.20 177 $9,770.40
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $54.73 177 $9,687.21 $9,705.62 $-83.19
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.13 166 $9,650.21
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.81 166 $9,098.46 $9,153.87 $-551.75
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.74 158 $9,122.92
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $57.28 158 $9,051.03 $9,081.98 $-71.89
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $56.74 160 $9,077.60
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.51 160 $8,881.60 $8,885.98 $-196.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $55.61 159 $8,841.99
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 159 $9,125.81 $9,169.79 +$283.81
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $55.53 165 $9,162.45
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.60 165 $9,339.00 $9,346.34 +$176.55
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $54.60 171 $9,337.45
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $54.16 171 $9,261.36 $9,270.25 $-76.09
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.54 163 $9,216.83
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $55.94 163 $9,119.03 $9,172.45 $-97.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $51.25 178 $9,122.50
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $52.09 178 $9,272.02 $9,321.97 +$149.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.59 170 $9,280.30
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $54.08 170 $9,193.60 $9,235.27 $-86.70
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $52.94 174 $9,211.56
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 174 $9,141.09 $9,164.80 $-70.47
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.40 189 $9,147.60
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $48.03 189 $9,077.67 $9,094.87 $-69.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $47.26 192 $9,072.96
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $48.21 192 $9,256.32 $9,278.23 +$183.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,278.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-721.77
Total Return: -7.22%
Back to Nina Micro