Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.5%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,866.06
Current Value
$9,525.21
Period P&L
$-340.93
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
16 / 27
Best Trade
+3.21%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$801,811.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-340.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-340.93
Gross Return
-3.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,866.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.20 209 $9,864.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $46.83 209 $9,787.47 $9,788.81 $-77.33
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $55.20 177 $9,770.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $54.73 177 $9,687.21 $9,705.62 $-83.19
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.13 166 $9,650.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.81 166 $9,098.46 $9,153.87 $-551.75
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.74 158 $9,122.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $57.28 158 $9,051.03 $9,081.98 $-71.89
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $56.74 160 $9,077.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.51 160 $8,881.60 $8,885.98 $-196.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $55.61 159 $8,841.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 159 $9,125.81 $9,169.79 +$283.81
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $55.53 165 $9,162.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.60 165 $9,339.00 $9,346.34 +$176.55
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $54.60 171 $9,337.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $54.16 171 $9,261.36 $9,270.25 $-76.09
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.54 163 $9,216.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $55.94 163 $9,119.03 $9,172.45 $-97.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $51.25 178 $9,122.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $52.09 178 $9,272.02 $9,321.97 +$149.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.59 170 $9,280.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $54.08 170 $9,193.60 $9,235.27 $-86.70
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $52.94 174 $9,211.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 174 $9,141.09 $9,164.80 $-70.47
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.40 189 $9,147.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $48.03 189 $9,077.67 $9,094.87 $-69.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $47.26 192 $9,072.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $48.21 192 $9,256.32 $9,278.23 +$183.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $48.16 192 $9,246.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $47.72 192 $9,162.24 $9,193.94 $-84.29
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET $48.76 188 $9,166.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $49.71 188 $9,345.48 $9,372.54 +$178.60
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $47.69 196 $9,347.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $48.42 196 $9,489.34 $9,514.64 +$142.10
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $37.65 252 $9,487.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.29 252 $9,398.34 $9,425.18 $-89.46
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.49 251 $9,409.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $37.19 251 $9,333.44 $9,348.62 $-76.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $36.81 253 $9,313.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $36.50 253 $9,234.50 $9,269.96 $-78.66
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $36.85 251 $9,249.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $37.49 251 $9,408.74 $9,429.35 +$159.39
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $37.36 252 $9,414.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $36.48 252 $9,192.96 $9,207.59 $-221.76
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $36.39 253 $9,206.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:40am ET $36.00 253 $9,108.00 $9,108.92 $-98.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $36.10 252 $9,098.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $36.67 252 $9,240.31 $9,250.77 +$141.85
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.53 240 $9,247.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $38.13 240 $9,151.20 $9,154.77 $-96.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $37.65 243 $9,148.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET $38.44 243 $9,340.92 $9,347.20 +$192.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $39.70 235 $9,329.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $39.31 235 $9,239.02 $9,256.72 $-90.48
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $38.29 241 $9,227.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $39.31 241 $9,473.71 $9,502.54 +$245.82
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.97 243 $9,468.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $38.65 243 $9,391.95 $9,426.00 $-76.54
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $38.79 242 $9,387.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $38.32 242 $9,273.44 $9,311.73 $-114.27
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $37.88 245 $9,279.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.44 245 $9,419.02 $9,451.38 +$139.65
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.53 245 $9,438.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $38.07 245 $9,327.15 $9,339.90 $-111.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $39.87 234 $9,329.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:35am ET $40.47 234 $9,470.21 $9,480.53 +$140.63
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:05am ET $40.08 236 $9,458.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $39.67 236 $9,360.94 $9,382.59 $-97.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $41.65 225 $9,371.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $42.41 225 $9,542.25 $9,553.59 +$171.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $45.32 210 $9,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.93 210 $9,435.30 $9,471.69 $-81.90
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.69 211 $9,429.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $45.37 211 $9,573.77 $9,615.87 +$144.18
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $45.94 209 $9,600.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $45.54 209 $9,518.90 $9,534.36 $-81.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.38 189 $9,521.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $49.93 189 $9,436.77 $9,449.31 $-85.05
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:40am ET $47.65 198 $9,435.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.86 198 $9,278.28 $9,291.90 $-157.41
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $50.87 182 $9,257.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.84 182 $9,434.88 $9,469.35 +$177.45
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 190 $9,457.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $49.31 190 $9,367.95 $9,380.05 $-89.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:05am ET $48.95 191 $9,349.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.71 191 $9,494.61 $9,525.21 +$145.16
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,525.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-474.79
Total Return: -4.75%
Back to Nina Micro