Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 36.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,189.31
Current Value
$15,182.66
Period P&L
$993.27
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 / 20
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,022,350.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$993.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$993.27
Gross Return
+7.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $14,189.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:40am ET $615.55 22 $13,542.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $625.54 22 $13,761.88 $14,258.25 +$219.78
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:35am ET $626.27 22 $13,777.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $621.02 22 $13,662.50 $14,142.81 $-115.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $632.86 22 $13,923.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $627.84 22 $13,812.48 $14,032.26 $-110.55
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $626.22 22 $13,776.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $637.56 22 $14,026.32 $14,281.74 +$249.48
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET $640.98 22 $14,101.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $650.63 22 $14,313.75 $14,493.82 +$212.08
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $669.18 21 $14,052.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:25am ET $663.68 21 $13,937.28 $14,378.32 $-115.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $662.99 21 $13,922.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $661.63 21 $13,894.23 $14,349.76 $-28.56
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $656.39 21 $13,784.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $650.66 21 $13,663.76 $14,229.33 $-120.43
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $676.71 21 $14,210.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $687.77 21 $14,443.07 $14,461.48 +$232.15
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET $671.99 21 $14,111.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET $665.70 21 $13,979.70 $14,329.39 $-132.09
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $651.74 21 $13,686.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:05am ET $662.74 21 $13,917.54 $14,560.39 +$231.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $673.59 21 $14,145.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $684.56 21 $14,375.76 $14,790.76 +$230.37
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:25am ET $696.54 21 $14,627.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:00am ET $710.22 21 $14,914.67 $15,078.09 +$287.33
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:55am ET $738.52 20 $14,770.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $752.74 20 $15,054.90 $15,362.59 +$284.50
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $762.46 20 $15,249.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $754.30 20 $15,086.00 $15,199.39 $-163.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET $773.71 19 $14,700.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $767.88 19 $14,589.72 $15,088.62 $-110.77
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:10am ET $776.26 19 $14,748.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $790.70 19 $15,023.30 $15,363.08 +$274.46
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET $805.34 19 $15,301.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $790.55 19 $15,020.45 $15,082.07 $-281.01
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:45am ET $798.03 18 $14,364.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:45am ET $811.17 18 $14,601.06 $15,318.59 +$236.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $801.76 19 $15,233.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $814.67 19 $15,478.73 $15,563.88 +$245.29
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:25am ET $839.08 18 $15,103.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET $832.17 18 $14,979.06 $15,439.59 $-124.29
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $842.29 18 $15,161.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $835.63 18 $15,041.34 $15,319.71 $-119.88
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $827.18 18 $14,889.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:20am ET $839.82 18 $15,116.76 $15,547.14 +$227.43
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $818.91 18 $14,740.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $804.65 18 $14,483.70 $15,290.46 $-256.68
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $797.55 19 $15,153.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $790.80 19 $15,025.20 $15,162.21 $-128.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $797.31 19 $15,148.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $813.04 19 $15,447.76 $15,461.08 +$298.87
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $846.27 18 $15,232.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $838.92 18 $15,100.56 $15,328.87 $-132.21
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $833.77 18 $15,007.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $826.91 18 $14,884.38 $15,205.39 $-123.48
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $810.17 18 $14,583.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $803.83 18 $14,468.94 $15,091.27 $-114.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $803.90 18 $14,470.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:15am ET $797.25 18 $14,350.50 $14,971.57 $-119.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:20am ET $784.44 19 $14,904.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:20am ET $782.73 19 $14,871.87 $14,939.08 $-32.49
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $775.50 19 $14,734.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $787.43 19 $14,961.17 $15,165.75 +$226.67
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $784.37 19 $14,903.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $798.34 19 $15,168.46 $15,431.18 +$265.43
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $808.16 19 $15,355.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $802.04 19 $15,238.76 $15,314.90 $-116.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:00am ET $799.17 19 $15,184.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:35am ET $792.21 19 $15,051.99 $15,182.66 $-132.24
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,182.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,182.66
Total Return: +51.83%
Back to Nina Micro