Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 22:27:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 33.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,147.05
Current Value
$14,142.81
Period P&L
$-1,004.32
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
10 / 26
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
19.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,002,415.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,004.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,004.32
Gross Return
-6.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $15,147.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $757.29 20 $15,145.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $750.13 20 $15,002.60 $15,003.83 $-143.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $749.95 20 $14,999.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $761.56 20 $15,231.20 $15,236.03 +$232.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET $775.17 19 $14,728.32
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $767.21 19 $14,576.99 $15,084.70 $-151.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $763.20 19 $14,500.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $753.66 19 $14,319.63 $14,903.53 $-181.17
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $773.68 19 $14,700.01
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $764.15 19 $14,518.85 $14,722.37 $-181.16
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $760.59 19 $14,451.21
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $754.49 19 $14,335.40 $14,606.56 $-115.81
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $746.95 19 $14,192.05
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $741.26 19 $14,083.94 $14,498.45 $-108.11
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $753.49 19 $14,316.31
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $747.48 19 $14,202.12 $14,384.26 $-114.19
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $750.49 19 $14,259.31
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $742.95 19 $14,116.05 $14,241.00 $-143.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $746.03 19 $14,174.57
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $740.28 19 $14,065.41 $14,131.84 $-109.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET $748.82 18 $13,478.67
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $742.72 18 $13,369.05 $14,022.22 $-109.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $746.78 18 $13,442.11
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $739.80 18 $13,316.40 $13,896.51 $-125.71
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET $748.80 18 $13,478.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $742.37 18 $13,362.66 $13,780.77 $-115.74
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $677.79 20 $13,555.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $670.61 20 $13,412.20 $13,637.07 $-143.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $703.10 19 $13,358.99
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $702.56 19 $13,348.64 $13,626.72 $-10.35
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $704.09 19 $13,377.71
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $715.23 19 $13,589.42 $13,838.43 +$211.71
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:10am ET $715.32 19 $13,591.17
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $709.61 19 $13,482.59 $13,729.85 $-108.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $713.73 19 $13,560.87
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $724.92 19 $13,773.48 $13,942.46 +$212.61
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $719.07 19 $13,662.33
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:55am ET $712.62 19 $13,539.78 $13,819.91 $-122.55
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $717.28 19 $13,628.32
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $710.83 19 $13,505.77 $13,697.36 $-122.55
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $612.01 22 $13,464.22
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $625.37 22 $13,758.14 $13,991.28 +$293.92
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
22 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $619.39 22 $13,626.50
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $629.58 22 $13,850.65 $14,215.43 +$224.15
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
23 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:05am ET $638.16 22 $14,039.41
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $648.71 22 $14,271.51 $14,447.53 +$232.10
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $637.31 22 $14,020.82
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $641.13 22 $14,104.86 $14,531.57 +$84.04
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
25 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $632.62 22 $13,917.64
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $627.12 22 $13,796.64 $14,410.57 $-121.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
26 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $622.71 23 $14,322.33
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:40am ET $617.78 23 $14,208.94 $14,297.18 $-113.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:50am ET $603.13 23 $13,871.99
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $597.41 23 $13,740.54 $14,165.73 $-131.45
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $621.29 22 $13,668.38
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $632.50 22 $13,915.00 $14,412.35 +$246.62
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET $631.52 22 $13,893.33
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET $626.32 22 $13,778.93 $14,297.95 $-114.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $617.07 23 $14,192.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:40am ET $612.41 23 $14,085.32 $14,190.67 $-107.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET $610.30 23 $14,037.01
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $604.67 23 $13,907.41 $14,061.06 $-129.61
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $614.55 22 $13,520.10
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $608.97 22 $13,397.23 $13,938.19 $-122.87
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $611.75 22 $13,458.50
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $606.46 22 $13,342.12 $13,821.81 $-116.38
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $598.04 23 $13,754.92
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:40am ET $607.46 23 $13,971.58 $14,038.47 +$216.66
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:40am ET $615.55 22 $13,542.10
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $625.54 22 $13,761.88 $14,258.25 +$219.78
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:35am ET $626.27 22 $13,777.94
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $621.02 22 $13,662.50 $14,142.81 $-115.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,142.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,142.81
Total Return: +41.43%
Back to Nina Micro