RIOT Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 49 trades in period
-31.10%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,449.47
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$15,166.92
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
14.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 14.8
30-Day Momentum
10
-8.2%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,166.92
Current Value
$10,449.47
Period P&L
$-4,717.52
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
10 /
39
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.74%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,211,991.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,717.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,717.52
Gross Return
-31.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $15,166.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $28.23 | 537 | $15,159.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.54 | 537 | $14,788.98 | $14,796.51 |
$-370.48 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.30 | 562 | $14,780.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.61 | 562 | $14,395.63 | $14,411.54 |
$-384.97 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $28.01 | 514 | $14,397.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $28.65 | 514 | $14,726.10 | $14,740.50 |
+$328.96 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $27.65 | 533 | $14,737.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $28.09 | 533 | $14,971.97 | $14,975.02 |
+$234.52 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.58 | 585 | $14,964.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.18 | 585 | $14,728.84 | $14,739.56 |
$-235.46 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.68 | 622 | $14,730.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $23.43 | 622 | $14,573.46 | $14,582.50 |
$-157.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $23.52 | 620 | $14,582.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.29 | 620 | $14,439.80 | $14,439.90 |
$-142.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $21.89 | 659 | $14,422.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $21.60 | 659 | $14,234.40 | $14,252.09 |
$-187.81 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $21.90 | 650 | $14,235.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $21.59 | 650 | $14,033.50 | $14,050.59 |
$-201.50 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $21.22 | 662 | $14,044.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $21.05 | 662 | $13,931.79 | $13,938.05 |
$-112.54 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $20.10 | 693 | $13,932.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $19.82 | 693 | $13,735.26 | $13,740.55 |
$-197.50 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $19.95 | 688 | $13,729.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.28 | 688 | $13,264.64 | $13,276.15 |
$-464.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.94 | 740 | $13,275.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.44 | 740 | $12,909.30 | $12,909.85 |
$-366.30 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $19.16 | 673 | $12,891.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $19.51 | 673 | $13,130.23 | $13,148.76 |
+$238.91 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $21.37 | 615 | $13,145.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $21.17 | 615 | $13,019.55 | $13,022.81 |
$-125.95 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $24.15 | 539 | $13,016.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $23.79 | 539 | $12,822.81 | $12,828.77 |
$-194.04 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $22.54 | 569 | $12,825.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $22.37 | 569 | $12,728.53 | $12,732.04 |
$-96.73 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.89 | 609 | $12,718.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.54 | 609 | $12,506.18 | $12,519.26 |
$-212.78 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $20.66 | 605 | $12,499.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.44 | 605 | $12,366.20 | $12,386.16 |
$-133.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $22.45 | 551 | $12,372.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $22.24 | 551 | $12,254.24 | $12,267.69 |
$-118.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $20.33 | 603 | $12,258.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.63 | 603 | $11,836.89 | $11,845.59 |
$-422.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $21.21 | 558 | $11,835.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $21.66 | 558 | $12,086.28 | $12,096.69 |
+$251.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.48 | 538 | $12,094.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $22.21 | 538 | $11,948.98 | $11,951.43 |
$-145.26 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $22.02 | 542 | $11,937.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $21.79 | 542 | $11,810.18 | $11,824.06 |
$-127.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $20.72 | 570 | $11,807.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $20.55 | 570 | $11,710.65 | $11,727.16 |
$-96.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $20.25 | 579 | $11,724.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $20.09 | 579 | $11,631.53 | $11,633.94 |
$-93.22 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $20.67 | 562 | $11,616.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $21.01 | 562 | $11,810.43 | $11,827.83 |
+$193.89 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $19.45 | 607 | $11,809.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $19.24 | 607 | $11,678.68 | $11,697.32 |
$-130.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $19.22 | 608 | $11,682.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $19.06 | 608 | $11,587.87 | $11,602.47 |
$-94.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.36 | 599 | $11,598.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $19.73 | 599 | $11,815.28 | $11,819.73 |
+$217.26 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.29 | 646 | $11,814.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.15 | 646 | $11,721.67 | $11,727.22 |
$-92.51 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $20.08 | 584 | $11,723.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $20.48 | 584 | $11,960.32 | $11,963.74 |
+$236.52 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $19.86 | 602 | $11,958.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $19.68 | 602 | $11,847.36 | $11,852.37 |
$-111.37 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $20.27 | 584 | $11,837.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $20.03 | 584 | $11,700.44 | $11,715.13 |
$-137.24 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $21.24 | 551 | $11,700.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.83 | 551 | $11,477.33 | $11,491.97 |
$-223.16 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $21.15 | 543 | $11,481.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $20.91 | 543 | $11,354.13 | $11,364.36 |
$-127.61 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $19.22 | 591 | $11,359.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $19.01 | 591 | $11,237.86 | $11,243.21 |
$-121.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $18.63 | 603 | $11,230.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $18.95 | 603 | $11,429.86 | $11,442.20 |
+$198.99 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $17.90 | 639 | $11,438.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.51 | 639 | $11,188.89 | $11,192.99 |
$-249.21 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $20.81 | 537 | $11,172.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $21.17 | 537 | $11,370.97 | $11,391.68 |
+$198.69 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $22.58 | 504 | $11,377.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $22.39 | 504 | $11,282.04 | $11,295.92 |
$-95.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $21.95 | 514 | $11,282.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.17 | 514 | $10,881.38 | $10,895.00 |
$-400.92 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.73 | 501 | $10,884.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $21.54 | 501 | $10,793.74 | $10,804.52 |
$-90.48 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $20.99 | 514 | $10,788.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.55 | 514 | $10,562.70 | $10,578.36 |
$-226.16 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $20.62 | 513 | $10,578.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $20.39 | 513 | $10,457.51 | $10,457.80 |
$-120.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $21.67 | 482 | $10,447.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.62 | 482 | $10,902.84 | $10,913.29 |
+$455.49 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.59 | 443 | $10,895.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.41 | 443 | $10,813.63 | $10,831.34 |
$-81.95 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $24.76 | 437 | $10,822.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $24.58 | 437 | $10,740.59 | $10,749.62 |
$-81.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $24.68 | 435 | $10,735.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.99 | 435 | $10,435.65 | $10,449.47 |
$-300.15 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,449.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$449.47
Total Return:
+4.49%