RIVN Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 44 trades in period
+2.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,410.07
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$12,059.64
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
21.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.5
30-Day Momentum
10
-3.0%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,059.64
Current Value
$12,410.07
Period P&L
$350.36
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
18 /
26
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,092,018.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$350.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$350.36
Gross Return
+2.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,059.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $14.48 | 832 | $12,047.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $14.71 | 832 | $12,238.72 | $12,250.99 |
+$191.28 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $15.48 | 791 | $12,241.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.78 | 791 | $12,481.98 | $12,491.85 |
+$240.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.48 | 758 | $12,491.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.85 | 758 | $12,768.59 | $12,768.60 |
+$276.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $17.56 | 727 | $12,766.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $17.37 | 727 | $12,631.48 | $12,633.96 |
$-134.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $19.65 | 642 | $12,615.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $20.12 | 642 | $12,917.10 | $12,935.70 |
+$301.74 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.41 | 788 | $12,927.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.65 | 788 | $12,328.26 | $12,336.82 |
$-598.88 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $17.81 | 692 | $12,324.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $18.09 | 692 | $12,521.74 | $12,534.04 |
+$197.22 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $18.14 | 691 | $12,531.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $18.00 | 691 | $12,434.55 | $12,437.30 |
$-96.74 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $17.18 | 723 | $12,424.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.50 | 723 | $12,652.50 | $12,665.05 |
+$227.75 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $18.22 | 695 | $12,659.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $18.03 | 695 | $12,530.85 | $12,536.48 |
$-128.57 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $16.90 | 742 | $12,536.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $16.71 | 742 | $12,398.82 | $12,399.21 |
$-137.27 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $17.26 | 718 | $12,390.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.61 | 718 | $12,643.98 | $12,653.17 |
+$253.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $17.53 | 721 | $12,642.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $17.81 | 721 | $12,837.41 | $12,847.84 |
+$194.67 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.75 | 766 | $12,834.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $16.58 | 766 | $12,700.28 | $12,713.79 |
$-134.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $16.04 | 792 | $12,703.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $15.90 | 792 | $12,596.76 | $12,606.95 |
$-106.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $16.62 | 758 | $12,600.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.27 | 758 | $12,332.66 | $12,338.62 |
$-268.33 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $16.34 | 754 | $12,324.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $16.19 | 754 | $12,207.26 | $12,221.75 |
$-116.87 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $16.34 | 747 | $12,205.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $16.66 | 747 | $12,441.29 | $12,457.06 |
+$235.31 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:15pm ET | $15.52 | 802 | $12,451.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.38 | 802 | $12,330.75 | $12,336.76 |
$-120.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.51 | 795 | $12,326.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.35 | 795 | $12,207.22 | $12,217.51 |
$-119.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.58 | 784 | $12,214.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.46 | 784 | $12,118.68 | $12,121.47 |
$-96.04 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $15.64 | 775 | $12,120.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $15.52 | 775 | $12,028.08 | $12,028.70 |
$-92.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $16.06 | 748 | $12,012.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.94 | 748 | $11,919.38 | $11,935.20 |
$-93.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $16.20 | 736 | $11,926.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.53 | 736 | $12,166.08 | $12,174.40 |
+$239.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.89 | 766 | $12,169.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.70 | 766 | $12,026.28 | $12,031.46 |
$-142.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $14.91 | 806 | $12,021.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $14.80 | 806 | $11,928.80 | $11,938.77 |
$-92.69 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $14.68 | 813 | $11,930.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.97 | 813 | $12,170.61 | $12,178.61 |
+$239.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $15.56 | 782 | $12,171.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.85 | 782 | $12,398.61 | $12,405.39 |
+$226.78 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $16.89 | 734 | $12,393.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $17.15 | 734 | $12,584.43 | $12,596.23 |
+$190.84 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $16.69 | 754 | $12,584.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.45 | 754 | $12,403.30 | $12,414.89 |
$-181.34 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $16.62 | 746 | $12,401.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.89 | 746 | $12,596.21 | $12,609.15 |
+$194.26 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET | $16.16 | 780 | $12,604.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET | $16.03 | 780 | $12,507.30 | $12,511.57 |
$-97.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $15.49 | 807 | $12,504.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.74 | 807 | $12,702.18 | $12,709.28 |
+$197.71 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $15.72 | 808 | $12,701.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $15.96 | 808 | $12,895.68 | $12,903.20 |
+$193.92 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $15.70 | 821 | $12,893.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.57 | 821 | $12,787.07 | $12,796.47 |
$-106.73 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $16.11 | 794 | $12,795.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $15.95 | 794 | $12,664.38 | $12,665.54 |
$-130.93 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.24 | 780 | $12,663.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.04 | 780 | $12,511.12 | $12,513.36 |
$-152.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.71 | 796 | $12,505.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.38 | 796 | $12,241.13 | $12,249.33 |
$-264.03 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.52 | 789 | $12,241.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.27 | 789 | $12,048.03 | $12,056.03 |
$-193.30 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $15.86 | 759 | $12,041.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $15.74 | 759 | $11,946.74 | $11,961.23 |
$-94.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $15.03 | 795 | $11,952.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.60 | 795 | $12,403.03 | $12,411.44 |
+$450.21 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.35 | 808 | $12,406.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $15.23 | 808 | $12,309.88 | $12,314.48 |
$-96.96 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $14.94 | 824 | $12,310.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $14.82 | 824 | $12,215.80 | $12,219.72 |
$-94.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.09 | 810 | $12,218.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $15.32 | 810 | $12,409.20 | $12,410.07 |
+$190.35 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,410.07
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,410.07
Total Return:
+24.10%