SMCI Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 46 trades in period
-23.27%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,421.41
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$7,065.87
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,065.87
Current Value
$5,421.41
Period P&L
$-1,644.44
Max Drawdown
-49.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
14 /
32
Best Trade
+3.14%
Worst Trade
-8.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$580,852.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,644.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,644.44
Gross Return
-23.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,065.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.79 | 357 | $7,065.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.61 | 357 | $7,002.55 | $7,003.37 |
$-62.48 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $21.59 | 324 | $6,996.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.41 | 324 | $6,936.87 | $6,943.46 |
$-59.91 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.45 | 296 | $6,942.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.88 | 296 | $7,068.48 | $7,069.26 |
+$125.80 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $22.30 | 317 | $7,067.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $22.05 | 317 | $6,989.85 | $6,991.59 |
$-77.67 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.77 | 321 | $6,989.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.56 | 321 | $6,919.16 | $6,920.97 |
$-70.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.16 | 327 | $6,917.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $20.97 | 327 | $6,855.56 | $6,858.84 |
$-62.13 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.00 | 298 | $6,855.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $22.75 | 298 | $6,780.99 | $6,784.34 |
$-74.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $22.99 | 295 | $6,780.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.08 | 295 | $6,810.07 | $6,813.84 |
+$29.50 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.91 | 310 | $6,792.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.42 | 310 | $6,950.20 | $6,971.94 |
+$158.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.97 | 303 | $6,959.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.34 | 303 | $7,072.02 | $7,084.05 |
+$112.11 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.34 | 303 | $7,073.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $23.71 | 303 | $7,184.13 | $7,194.64 |
+$110.59 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.07 | 286 | $7,169.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.75 | 286 | $7,078.50 | $7,103.15 |
$-91.49 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.41 | 259 | $7,099.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $27.18 | 259 | $7,040.91 | $7,044.87 |
$-58.28 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.69 | 263 | $7,020.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.17 | 263 | $7,144.40 | $7,168.48 |
+$123.61 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $28.56 | 250 | $7,140.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $28.34 | 250 | $7,085.50 | $7,113.98 |
$-54.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $29.31 | 242 | $7,091.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $28.93 | 242 | $7,000.36 | $7,022.53 |
$-91.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.10 | 241 | $7,013.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 241 | $6,388.91 | $6,398.34 |
$-624.19 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $28.83 | 221 | $6,371.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $29.38 | 221 | $6,491.88 | $6,518.79 |
+$120.45 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $27.97 | 233 | $6,515.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 233 | $6,226.93 | $6,229.87 |
$-288.92 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 230 | $6,207.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.58 | 230 | $6,113.40 | $6,135.57 |
$-94.30 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.18 | 225 | $6,116.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.75 | 225 | $6,242.63 | $6,261.57 |
+$126.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.03 | 223 | $6,251.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $27.75 | 223 | $6,189.36 | $6,199.13 |
$-62.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.82 | 222 | $6,176.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $27.56 | 222 | $6,117.21 | $6,140.30 |
$-58.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $31.96 | 192 | $6,136.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $32.51 | 192 | $6,241.96 | $6,245.94 |
+$105.64 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $33.01 | 189 | $6,238.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $33.53 | 189 | $6,337.17 | $6,344.22 |
+$98.28 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $34.96 | 181 | $6,327.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $34.66 | 181 | $6,273.46 | $6,289.92 |
$-54.30 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $33.70 | 186 | $6,268.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.00 | 186 | $6,138.00 | $6,159.72 |
$-130.20 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $32.30 | 190 | $6,137.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.01 | 190 | $6,082.85 | $6,105.57 |
$-54.15 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $33.10 | 184 | $6,090.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $32.85 | 184 | $6,044.40 | $6,059.57 |
$-46.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $31.09 | 194 | $6,031.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $30.43 | 194 | $5,903.42 | $5,931.53 |
$-128.04 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.90 | 198 | $5,920.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $29.63 | 198 | $5,866.74 | $5,878.07 |
$-53.46 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $33.32 | 176 | $5,864.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $32.95 | 176 | $5,799.20 | $5,812.97 |
$-65.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $34.89 | 166 | $5,791.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $35.44 | 166 | $5,883.27 | $5,904.50 |
+$91.53 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $37.26 | 158 | $5,887.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $36.93 | 158 | $5,834.94 | $5,851.57 |
$-52.93 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $42.15 | 138 | $5,817.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $41.65 | 138 | $5,747.70 | $5,781.88 |
$-69.69 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $45.65 | 126 | $5,752.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.66 | 126 | $5,879.16 | $5,908.51 |
+$126.63 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $49.88 | 118 | $5,885.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $49.45 | 118 | $5,835.10 | $5,858.36 |
$-50.15 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $45.76 | 128 | $5,857.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $46.53 | 128 | $5,955.84 | $5,956.92 |
+$98.56 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $47.23 | 126 | $5,950.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.97 | 126 | $5,666.47 | $5,672.41 |
$-284.51 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $44.11 | 128 | $5,646.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $43.72 | 128 | $5,595.52 | $5,621.85 |
$-50.56 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.63 | 157 | $5,593.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.62 | 157 | $5,435.32 | $5,463.26 |
$-158.59 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.35 | 186 | $5,459.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $29.12 | 186 | $5,416.32 | $5,420.48 |
$-42.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $29.61 | 183 | $5,418.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $30.54 | 183 | $5,588.82 | $5,590.67 |
+$170.19 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $31.20 | 179 | $5,585.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $30.96 | 179 | $5,541.84 | $5,546.81 |
$-43.86 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $30.00 | 184 | $5,520.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $29.64 | 184 | $5,453.78 | $5,479.67 |
$-67.14 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $28.54 | 191 | $5,451.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.24 | 191 | $5,392.89 | $5,421.41 |
$-58.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,421.41
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,578.59
Total Return:
-45.79%