Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

27
+3.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.9 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,365.84
Current Value
$6,077.28
Period P&L
$711.43
Max Drawdown
-56.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
17 / 27
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
15.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$493,590.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$711.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$711.43
Gross Return
+13.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $5,365.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 293 $5,361.90
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $18.74 293 $5,490.82 $5,494.77 +$128.92
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $16.10 341 $5,491.80
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $15.93 341 $5,430.43 $5,433.39 $-61.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.11 337 $5,429.10
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $15.94 337 $5,373.46 $5,377.75 $-55.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.58 324 $5,373.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 324 $5,329.80 $5,334.01 $-43.74
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.16 330 $5,332.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $16.01 330 $5,284.95 $5,286.16 $-47.85
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:40am ET $16.18 326 $5,274.68
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $16.06 326 $5,233.93 $5,245.41 $-40.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $16.31 321 $5,233.91
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $16.15 321 $5,182.55 $5,194.05 $-51.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $15.60 332 $5,179.20
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $16.01 332 $5,316.98 $5,331.83 +$137.78
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $16.06 332 $5,330.26
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:55am ET $15.92 332 $5,285.44 $5,287.01 $-44.82
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $15.39 343 $5,278.77
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $15.27 343 $5,237.61 $5,245.85 $-41.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
11 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $15.47 339 $5,242.64
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $15.73 339 $5,332.47 $5,335.68 +$89.83
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $15.49 344 $5,330.28
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $15.36 344 $5,283.84 $5,289.24 $-46.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $15.27 346 $5,285.15
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $15.08 346 $5,217.68 $5,221.77 $-67.47
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:35am ET $15.49 336 $5,206.32
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.36 336 $5,162.64 $5,178.09 $-43.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $15.69 330 $5,176.05
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 330 $5,446.65 $5,448.69 +$270.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:15am ET $16.39 332 $5,439.82
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.24 332 $5,390.02 $5,398.89 $-49.80
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
17 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.36 294 $5,397.84
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.16 294 $5,337.57 $5,338.62 $-60.27
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.54 287 $5,320.98
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 287 $5,162.21 $5,179.85 $-158.77
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.33 298 $5,164.34
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $17.08 298 $5,091.33 $5,106.84 $-73.01
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $16.93 301 $5,097.43
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.74 301 $5,038.74 $5,048.15 $-58.69
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.49 306 $5,044.41
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $16.76 306 $5,127.40 $5,131.14 +$82.99
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $16.15 317 $5,119.61
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $16.62 317 $5,268.54 $5,280.07 +$148.93
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $15.74 335 $5,274.57
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.16 335 $5,413.60 $5,419.09 +$139.02
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $16.47 329 $5,416.99
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 329 $5,693.35 $5,695.45 +$276.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.17 331 $5,684.92
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $17.52 331 $5,800.77 $5,811.30 +$115.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.35 316 $5,800.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $18.67 316 $5,898.14 $5,909.26 +$97.96
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $17.71 333 $5,896.13
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.51 333 $5,830.83 $5,843.96 $-65.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.75 348 $5,829.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $17.06 348 $5,935.14 $5,950.10 +$106.14
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $18.01 330 $5,944.95
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.87 330 $5,897.10 $5,902.25 $-47.85
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.30 341 $5,899.30
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 341 $5,810.64 $5,813.59 $-88.66
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:55am ET $17.81 326 $5,805.83
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.10 326 $5,900.63 $5,908.39 +$94.80
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.06 327 $5,903.99
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.90 327 $5,852.12 $5,856.53 $-51.86
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.49 316 $5,842.81
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $18.98 316 $5,997.68 $6,011.40 +$154.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:05am ET $18.70 321 $6,002.67
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET $18.99 321 $6,095.79 $6,104.52 +$93.12
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.10 337 $6,099.70
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $17.96 337 $6,052.52 $6,057.34 $-47.18
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:45am ET $18.11 334 $6,050.41
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.44 334 $6,158.63 $6,165.56 +$108.22
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.82 327 $6,153.39
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $18.67 327 $6,105.09 $6,117.26 $-48.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.15 337 $6,116.72
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $18.55 337 $6,249.67 $6,250.21 +$132.95
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $18.30 341 $6,238.60
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $18.14 341 $6,184.04 $6,195.65 $-54.56
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $17.67 350 $6,186.25
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $17.52 350 $6,131.96 $6,141.37 $-54.28
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.33 354 $6,133.05
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $17.18 354 $6,083.49 $6,091.81 $-49.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.34 351 $6,086.37
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.18 351 $6,031.93 $6,037.37 $-54.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $16.87 357 $6,022.59
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $16.64 357 $5,941.19 $5,955.97 $-81.40
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET $16.41 362 $5,940.38
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET $16.75 362 $6,061.69 $6,077.28 +$121.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,077.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,922.72
Total Return: -39.23%
Back to Nina Micro