Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:41

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.7%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,316.17
Current Value
$6,855.33
Period P&L
$539.15
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
16 / 24
Best Trade
+3.81%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$508,732.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$539.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$539.15
Gross Return
+8.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,316.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $42.93 146 $6,267.78
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $42.76 146 $6,242.96 $6,285.52 $-24.82
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.50 144 $6,264.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $42.93 144 $6,181.92 $6,203.44 $-82.08
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $41.77 148 $6,181.96
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $41.35 148 $6,119.06 $6,140.54 $-62.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $41.61 147 $6,116.74
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $42.29 147 $6,216.64 $6,240.44 +$99.90
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:25am ET $41.39 150 $6,208.49
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $41.07 150 $6,160.50 $6,192.45 $-47.99
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $39.58 156 $6,174.48
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:55am ET $39.26 156 $6,124.56 $6,142.53 $-49.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $39.04 157 $6,129.31
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:20am ET $38.73 157 $6,080.61 $6,093.83 $-48.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $39.56 154 $6,092.55
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $39.26 154 $6,046.04 $6,047.32 $-46.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $38.17 158 $6,030.86
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $37.85 158 $5,980.30 $5,996.76 $-50.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
10 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:05am ET $38.58 155 $5,980.67
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $38.27 155 $5,931.85 $5,947.94 $-48.82
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $39.24 151 $5,925.24
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $39.84 151 $6,015.84 $6,038.54 +$90.60
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $39.08 154 $6,018.32
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:20am ET $38.60 154 $5,944.40 $5,964.62 $-73.92
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.74 153 $5,927.22
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $38.40 153 $5,875.20 $5,912.60 $-52.02
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $37.43 157 $5,876.51
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $37.21 157 $5,841.19 $5,877.28 $-35.32
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $37.13 158 $5,866.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $36.82 158 $5,817.56 $5,828.30 $-48.98
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $36.23 160 $5,796.80
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:15am ET $36.43 160 $5,828.78 $5,860.28 +$31.98
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $36.10 162 $5,848.20
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.76 162 $5,954.31 $5,966.39 +$106.11
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.38 164 $5,966.32
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $37.08 164 $6,081.12 $6,081.19 +$114.80
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 159 $6,078.57
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $38.83 159 $6,173.18 $6,175.80 +$94.61
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $39.38 156 $6,143.28
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $40.04 156 $6,246.24 $6,278.76 +$102.96
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $40.46 155 $6,271.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $41.23 155 $6,390.65 $6,398.11 +$119.35
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 167 $6,397.77
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $38.92 167 $6,499.64 $6,499.98 +$101.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $36.23 179 $6,485.17
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $36.81 179 $6,588.99 $6,603.80 +$103.82
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET $37.10 177 $6,567.58
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $37.97 177 $6,720.69 $6,756.91 +$153.11
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $37.33 181 $6,756.73
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $37.26 181 $6,744.06 $6,744.24 $-12.67
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $38.82 173 $6,715.86
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $39.43 173 $6,821.39 $6,849.77 +$105.53
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $38.18 179 $6,834.22
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $38.88 179 $6,959.52 $6,975.07 +$125.30
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $39.40 177 $6,973.80
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET $39.08 177 $6,917.16 $6,918.43 $-56.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $38.61 179 $6,911.19
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $38.29 179 $6,853.91 $6,861.15 $-57.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $37.19 184 $6,843.88
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $36.90 184 $6,790.52 $6,807.79 $-53.36
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $36.86 184 $6,782.24
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET $36.57 184 $6,728.47 $6,754.02 $-53.77
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $36.82 183 $6,738.06
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:30am ET $36.51 183 $6,681.33 $6,697.29 $-56.73
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:50am ET $37.14 180 $6,685.20
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.85 180 $6,633.90 $6,645.99 $-51.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $37.77 175 $6,609.75
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.49 175 $6,559.88 $6,596.12 $-49.87
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $36.60 180 $6,588.90
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $36.33 180 $6,539.40 $6,546.62 $-49.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $36.56 179 $6,543.77
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $36.05 179 $6,452.95 $6,455.80 $-90.82
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET $36.13 178 $6,430.25
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $36.67 178 $6,527.26 $6,552.81 +$97.01
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $37.17 176 $6,541.92
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $37.75 176 $6,643.98 $6,654.87 +$102.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $37.01 179 $6,625.68
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $38.42 179 $6,878.07 $6,907.26 +$252.39
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $38.53 179 $6,896.87
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET $38.24 179 $6,844.94 $6,855.33 $-51.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,855.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,144.67
Total Return: -31.45%
Back to Nina Micro