SPXU Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 40 trades in period
-1.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,748.46
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$6,849.76
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
18
+1.1%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,849.76
Current Value
$6,748.46
Period P&L
$-101.32
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+3.81%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
18.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$537,952.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-101.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-101.32
Gross Return
-1.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,849.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.18 | 179 | $6,834.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $38.88 | 179 | $6,959.52 | $6,975.07 |
+$125.30 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $39.40 | 177 | $6,973.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $39.08 | 177 | $6,917.16 | $6,918.43 |
$-56.64 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $38.61 | 179 | $6,911.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $38.29 | 179 | $6,853.91 | $6,861.15 |
$-57.28 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $37.19 | 184 | $6,843.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $36.90 | 184 | $6,790.52 | $6,807.79 |
$-53.36 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.86 | 184 | $6,782.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.57 | 184 | $6,728.47 | $6,754.02 |
$-53.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.82 | 183 | $6,738.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $36.51 | 183 | $6,681.33 | $6,697.29 |
$-56.73 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $37.14 | 180 | $6,685.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $36.85 | 180 | $6,633.90 | $6,645.99 |
$-51.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $37.77 | 175 | $6,609.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $37.49 | 175 | $6,559.88 | $6,596.12 |
$-49.87 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $36.60 | 180 | $6,588.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.33 | 180 | $6,539.40 | $6,546.62 |
$-49.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $36.56 | 179 | $6,543.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.05 | 179 | $6,452.95 | $6,455.80 |
$-90.82 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $36.13 | 178 | $6,430.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $36.67 | 178 | $6,527.26 | $6,552.81 |
+$97.01 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.17 | 176 | $6,541.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $37.75 | 176 | $6,643.98 | $6,654.87 |
+$102.06 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $37.01 | 179 | $6,625.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.42 | 179 | $6,878.07 | $6,907.26 |
+$252.39 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.53 | 179 | $6,896.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $38.24 | 179 | $6,844.94 | $6,855.33 |
$-51.93 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $38.60 | 177 | $6,831.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $38.19 | 177 | $6,759.67 | $6,783.68 |
$-71.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $39.17 | 173 | $6,777.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $38.87 | 173 | $6,723.65 | $6,730.05 |
$-53.63 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $38.28 | 175 | $6,699.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $37.97 | 175 | $6,645.62 | $6,675.80 |
$-54.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:20pm ET | $37.19 | 179 | $6,656.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.81 | 179 | $6,588.99 | $6,608.68 |
$-67.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.21 | 187 | $6,584.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.94 | 187 | $6,532.85 | $6,557.26 |
$-51.42 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $33.21 | 197 | $6,541.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $33.72 | 197 | $6,642.80 | $6,658.68 |
+$101.42 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $34.08 | 195 | $6,644.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.81 | 195 | $6,592.95 | $6,607.01 |
$-51.67 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.63 | 196 | $6,591.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $33.37 | 196 | $6,540.52 | $6,556.05 |
$-50.96 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $33.49 | 195 | $6,530.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:30pm ET | $34.06 | 195 | $6,642.67 | $6,668.17 |
+$112.12 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $33.58 | 198 | $6,649.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.31 | 198 | $6,595.38 | $6,613.72 |
$-54.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $33.27 | 198 | $6,587.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $33.61 | 198 | $6,654.60 | $6,680.86 |
+$67.14 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.03 | 196 | $6,669.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.63 | 196 | $6,788.46 | $6,799.44 |
+$118.58 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.72 | 195 | $6,770.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $34.45 | 195 | $6,717.73 | $6,746.77 |
$-52.67 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $34.86 | 193 | $6,727.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $34.59 | 193 | $6,675.87 | $6,694.66 |
$-52.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $34.34 | 194 | $6,661.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $34.06 | 194 | $6,608.61 | $6,641.33 |
$-53.33 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $33.64 | 197 | $6,627.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $34.17 | 197 | $6,731.49 | $6,745.72 |
+$104.39 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:45pm ET | $34.73 | 194 | $6,737.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.40 | 194 | $6,866.63 | $6,874.75 |
+$129.03 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.31 | 194 | $6,850.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $35.03 | 194 | $6,794.85 | $6,819.46 |
$-55.29 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $34.47 | 197 | $6,789.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $34.17 | 197 | $6,730.51 | $6,760.36 |
$-59.10 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $34.25 | 197 | $6,747.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.38 | 197 | $6,772.86 | $6,785.42 |
+$25.06 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $35.23 | 192 | $6,764.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.92 | 192 | $6,896.62 | $6,917.86 |
+$132.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.06 | 197 | $6,906.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.84 | 197 | $7,060.48 | $7,071.52 |
+$153.66 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $36.10 | 195 | $7,039.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.79 | 195 | $6,979.05 | $7,011.07 |
$-60.45 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.28 | 198 | $6,986.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.58 | 198 | $6,847.83 | $6,872.47 |
$-138.60 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $33.63 | 204 | $6,861.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.37 | 204 | $6,807.46 | $6,818.39 |
$-54.08 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $34.27 | 198 | $6,786.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $33.92 | 198 | $6,716.16 | $6,748.46 |
$-69.93 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,748.46
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,251.54
Total Return:
-32.52%