Compendium › Nina Micro › TLT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TLT
Alpaca Tradeable

Nina Micro's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 24 trades in period

-6.22%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,181.87
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,790.50
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 5.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

4
-2.4%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,790.50
Current Value
$9,181.87
Period P&L
$-608.60
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
10 / 14
Best Trade
+1.57%
Worst Trade
-1.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$453,864.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-608.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-608.60
Gross Return
-6.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,790.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET $86.29 111 $9,577.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $87.63 111 $9,726.38 $9,795.82 +$148.53
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $87.07 112 $9,751.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $87.41 112 $9,789.92 $9,834.46 +$38.64
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET $87.11 112 $9,756.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $85.49 112 $9,574.32 $9,652.46 $-182.00
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $85.38 113 $9,647.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $85.44 113 $9,654.72 $9,659.24 +$6.78
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 113 $9,617.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $84.32 113 $9,527.60 $9,569.41 $-89.83
(-0.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $84.28 113 $9,523.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $84.19 113 $9,513.47 $9,559.81 $-9.60
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:40am ET $84.21 113 $9,516.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET $84.61 113 $9,560.93 $9,604.45 +$44.64
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:40am ET $83.99 114 $9,574.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $82.98 114 $9,459.72 $9,489.88 $-114.57
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $83.53 113 $9,438.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $83.79 113 $9,468.83 $9,519.82 +$29.94
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $84.24 113 $9,518.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $83.57 113 $9,443.97 $9,445.24 $-74.58
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $82.71 114 $9,429.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $82.09 114 $9,358.26 $9,373.99 $-71.25
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET $82.25 113 $9,293.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET $82.69 113 $9,343.97 $9,424.27 +$50.28
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:20am ET $82.56 114 $9,411.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:20am ET $82.20 114 $9,370.80 $9,383.80 $-40.47
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:55am ET $82.23 114 $9,374.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:55am ET $81.89 114 $9,334.89 $9,344.47 $-39.33
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:55am ET $81.65 114 $9,308.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET $82.94 114 $9,455.16 $9,490.96 +$146.49
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $82.39 115 $9,475.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.49 115 $9,486.35 $9,501.89 +$10.93
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $83.30 114 $9,496.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.98 114 $9,459.72 $9,465.41 $-36.48
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.29 115 $9,463.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.24 115 $9,457.61 $9,459.67 $-5.74
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.30 114 $9,382.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $82.44 114 $9,398.16 $9,475.61 +$15.94
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $82.04 115 $9,434.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $81.00 115 $9,315.00 $9,356.01 $-119.60
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $81.25 115 $9,344.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:20am ET $80.60 115 $9,268.43 $9,280.11 $-75.90
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $80.65 115 $9,274.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $81.22 115 $9,340.30 $9,345.66 +$65.55
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $81.72 114 $9,316.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $81.07 114 $9,241.98 $9,271.56 $-74.10
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET $80.34 115 $9,238.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $79.56 115 $9,148.92 $9,181.87 $-89.69
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,181.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-818.13
Total Return: -8.18%
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