Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:46:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

54
+7.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+50 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,424.65
Current Value
$7,876.04
Period P&L
$1,451.38
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 / 17
Best Trade
+10.41%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$455,207.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,451.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,451.38
Gross Return
+22.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,424.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 13 $6,332.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $495.90 13 $6,446.70 $6,538.80 +$114.14
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $508.36 12 $6,100.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET $504.54 12 $6,054.42 $6,492.84 $-45.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:55am ET $503.70 12 $6,044.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET $499.17 12 $5,990.04 $6,438.42 $-54.42
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $517.05 12 $6,204.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $512.92 12 $6,155.04 $6,388.80 $-49.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $513.83 12 $6,165.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $509.39 12 $6,112.68 $6,335.52 $-53.28
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $518.22 12 $6,218.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $514.31 12 $6,171.72 $6,288.60 $-46.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $510.44 12 $6,125.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $519.43 12 $6,233.16 $6,396.48 +$107.88
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:50am ET $525.82 12 $6,309.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $531.56 12 $6,378.72 $6,465.36 +$68.88
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $535.38 12 $6,424.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $529.94 12 $6,359.28 $6,400.14 $-65.22
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $500.18 12 $6,002.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $511.29 12 $6,135.48 $6,533.46 +$133.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET $518.99 12 $6,227.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $573.00 12 $6,876.00 $7,181.58 +$648.12
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $568.72 12 $6,824.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $560.23 12 $6,722.76 $7,079.76 $-101.82
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $563.14 12 $6,757.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $558.10 12 $6,697.20 $7,019.28 $-60.48
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET $577.41 12 $6,928.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $572.26 12 $6,867.12 $6,957.42 $-61.86
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $571.36 12 $6,856.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $566.04 12 $6,792.45 $6,893.55 $-63.87
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $578.30 11 $6,361.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:35am ET $573.84 11 $6,312.29 $6,844.54 $-49.01
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:40am ET $564.13 12 $6,769.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET $573.11 12 $6,877.32 $6,952.30 +$107.76
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET $571.94 12 $6,863.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET $580.52 12 $6,966.26 $7,055.28 +$102.98
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $593.28 11 $6,526.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $602.76 11 $6,630.31 $7,159.50 +$104.22
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:00am ET $599.68 11 $6,596.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $593.80 11 $6,531.80 $7,094.82 $-64.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $591.70 11 $6,508.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $583.07 11 $6,413.72 $6,999.83 $-94.99
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $586.58 11 $6,452.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $597.53 11 $6,572.88 $7,120.39 +$120.56
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $610.55 11 $6,716.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET $621.98 11 $6,841.78 $7,246.06 +$125.67
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $619.45 11 $6,813.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $628.94 11 $6,918.34 $7,350.45 +$104.39
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $620.17 11 $6,821.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $631.49 11 $6,946.39 $7,474.97 +$124.52
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $630.38 11 $6,934.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $623.80 11 $6,861.85 $7,402.64 $-72.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $613.73 12 $7,364.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:40am ET $608.23 12 $7,298.76 $7,336.64 $-66.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:10am ET $608.17 12 $7,298.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $619.26 12 $7,431.12 $7,469.72 +$133.08
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $607.90 12 $7,294.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $602.18 12 $7,226.16 $7,401.08 $-68.64
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $600.38 12 $7,204.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $609.45 12 $7,313.38 $7,509.90 +$108.82
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $610.48 12 $7,325.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $626.83 12 $7,521.96 $7,706.10 +$196.20
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:50am ET $643.62 11 $7,079.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $653.84 11 $7,192.29 $7,818.57 +$112.47
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $655.80 11 $7,213.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $649.72 11 $7,146.92 $7,751.63 $-66.94
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $655.35 11 $7,208.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $666.66 11 $7,333.26 $7,876.04 +$124.41
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,876.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,123.96
Total Return: -21.24%
Back to Nina Micro