Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:07:01

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

33
+3.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,411.17
Current Value
$12,404.10
Period P&L
$992.93
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 / 23
Best Trade
+2.83%
Worst Trade
-2.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$938,985.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$992.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$992.93
Gross Return
+8.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,411.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $45.36 251 $11,385.39
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $44.73 251 $11,227.23 $11,253.00 $-158.16
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $43.85 256 $11,226.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $43.49 256 $11,133.44 $11,159.56 $-93.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $44.49 250 $11,122.47
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $43.20 250 $10,800.00 $10,837.09 $-322.47
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $40.44 267 $10,797.48
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $40.00 267 $10,680.00 $10,719.61 $-117.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $38.81 276 $10,711.53
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.44 276 $10,608.06 $10,616.14 $-103.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.54 243 $10,581.43
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.18 243 $10,492.76 $10,527.47 $-88.67
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $42.72 246 $10,509.12
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $43.69 246 $10,747.74 $10,766.09 +$238.62
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $43.68 246 $10,745.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $43.34 246 $10,661.64 $10,682.45 $-83.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $47.71 223 $10,639.33
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $47.31 223 $10,550.15 $10,593.27 $-89.18
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $48.58 218 $10,590.46
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $49.49 218 $10,788.82 $10,791.63 +$198.36
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $48.75 221 $10,773.57
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $49.53 221 $10,946.26 $10,964.32 +$172.69
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $52.75 207 $10,919.25
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.65 207 $11,106.58 $11,151.65 +$187.33
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.31 198 $11,148.39
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $55.88 198 $11,064.24 $11,067.50 $-84.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $58.31 189 $11,020.76
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $57.73 189 $10,910.50 $10,957.24 $-110.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $57.90 189 $10,942.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $57.37 189 $10,842.95 $10,858.03 $-99.21
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $59.71 181 $10,807.51
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:25am ET $60.62 181 $10,971.97 $11,022.49 +$164.46
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $62.30 176 $10,965.22
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $61.71 176 $10,860.96 $10,918.23 $-104.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $60.69 179 $10,862.62
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $59.99 179 $10,739.10 $10,794.72 $-123.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $61.01 176 $10,736.88
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $62.73 176 $11,040.48 $11,098.32 +$303.60
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $64.96 170 $11,043.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $66.00 170 $11,220.85 $11,275.97 +$177.65
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $67.22 167 $11,225.74
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.05 167 $11,531.35 $11,581.58 +$305.61
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $72.50 159 $11,527.50
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $71.93 159 $11,436.89 $11,490.97 $-90.61
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
23 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $75.73 151 $11,435.23
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $76.96 151 $11,620.21 $11,675.94 +$184.97
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:30am ET $72.65 160 $11,624.80
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $72.10 160 $11,535.89 $11,587.03 $-88.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
25 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $77.50 149 $11,548.24
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $78.76 149 $11,735.98 $11,774.77 +$187.74
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
26 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $74.72 157 $11,731.82
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:20am ET $76.25 157 $11,971.25 $12,014.20 +$239.43
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
27 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $73.68 163 $12,009.84
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $72.35 163 $11,793.07 $11,797.43 $-216.77
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
28 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $73.80 159 $11,734.25
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $73.24 159 $11,645.16 $11,708.34 $-89.09
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
29 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.17 155 $11,651.35
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.86 155 $11,913.32 $11,970.31 +$261.97
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
30 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.51 152 $11,934.28
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $77.81 152 $11,826.36 $11,862.39 $-107.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
31 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $81.00 146 $11,826.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $82.57 146 $12,054.49 $12,090.88 +$228.49
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
32 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $83.69 144 $12,052.08
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $84.86 144 $12,219.84 $12,258.64 +$167.76
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.81 141 $12,240.20
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $85.70 141 $12,083.60 $12,102.05 $-156.59
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $83.29 145 $12,076.41
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $84.78 145 $12,293.14 $12,318.78 +$216.73
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:15am ET $78.96 156 $12,316.98
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $78.21 156 $12,201.54 $12,203.34 $-115.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.39 157 $12,149.45
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.73 157 $12,046.61 $12,100.51 $-102.83
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $71.50 169 $12,083.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $73.14 169 $12,360.74 $12,377.75 +$277.24
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET $70.22 176 $12,358.72
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET $71.39 176 $12,564.75 $12,583.78 +$206.03
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $75.89 165 $12,521.85
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.40 165 $12,771.00 $12,832.93 +$249.15
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $84.54 151 $12,764.79
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $83.66 151 $12,632.66 $12,700.81 $-132.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:50am ET $80.60 157 $12,654.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 157 $12,357.47 $12,404.10 $-296.71
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,404.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,404.10
Total Return: +24.04%
Back to Nina Micro