TQQQ Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 42 trades in period
-0.06%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,837.08
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$12,845.31
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
23.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 23.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-4.3%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,845.31
Current Value
$12,837.08
Period P&L
$-8.23
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
18 /
24
Best Trade
+2.46%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,114,888.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8.23
Gross Return
-0.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.06%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,845.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $73.50 | 174 | $12,789.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $74.62 | 174 | $12,983.88 | $13,040.17 |
+$194.86 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $74.64 | 174 | $12,987.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $74.07 | 174 | $12,888.65 | $12,941.60 |
$-98.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $76.75 | 168 | $12,894.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.64 | 168 | $13,210.68 | $13,257.44 |
+$315.84 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.73 | 170 | $13,214.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.16 | 170 | $13,457.18 | $13,500.52 |
+$243.08 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $76.48 | 176 | $13,460.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $75.62 | 176 | $13,309.12 | $13,349.16 |
$-151.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $76.57 | 174 | $13,323.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $75.92 | 174 | $13,210.08 | $13,236.06 |
$-113.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $73.03 | 181 | $13,218.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $72.32 | 181 | $13,090.82 | $13,108.45 |
$-127.61 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $76.32 | 171 | $13,050.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.56 | 171 | $12,920.76 | $12,978.49 |
$-129.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.70 | 173 | $12,923.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $73.72 | 173 | $12,753.54 | $12,808.93 |
$-169.56 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $74.58 | 171 | $12,754.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.42 | 171 | $13,067.77 | $13,122.66 |
+$313.73 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.97 | 179 | $13,061.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.26 | 179 | $12,933.82 | $12,994.85 |
$-127.81 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.31 | 198 | $12,930.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $66.45 | 198 | $13,157.10 | $13,221.56 |
+$226.71 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $68.57 | 192 | $13,165.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $69.68 | 192 | $13,377.60 | $13,433.72 |
+$212.16 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $71.46 | 187 | $13,363.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.03 | 187 | $13,095.44 | $13,166.14 |
$-267.58 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.06 | 196 | $13,143.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $66.56 | 196 | $13,044.78 | $13,067.16 |
$-98.98 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $64.25 | 203 | $13,041.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $65.46 | 203 | $13,289.39 | $13,314.82 |
+$247.66 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $62.16 | 214 | $13,301.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $63.22 | 214 | $13,529.08 | $13,542.43 |
+$227.61 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.28 | 220 | $13,481.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $60.12 | 220 | $13,226.40 | $13,287.23 |
$-255.20 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $62.01 | 214 | $13,269.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $62.94 | 214 | $13,469.16 | $13,487.32 |
+$200.09 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $64.73 | 208 | $13,463.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $65.86 | 208 | $13,698.88 | $13,722.36 |
+$235.04 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $74.62 | 183 | $13,655.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $74.00 | 183 | $13,542.91 | $13,609.80 |
$-112.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $72.13 | 188 | $13,559.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.61 | 188 | $13,838.68 | $13,888.98 |
+$279.18 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $74.24 | 187 | $13,881.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.58 | 187 | $13,759.46 | $13,766.50 |
$-122.48 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $74.74 | 184 | $13,751.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $76.03 | 184 | $13,988.60 | $14,003.86 |
+$237.36 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $76.91 | 182 | $13,997.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $76.10 | 182 | $13,849.29 | $13,855.55 |
$-148.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $77.32 | 179 | $13,839.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $76.64 | 179 | $13,718.56 | $13,734.72 |
$-120.83 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $72.61 | 189 | $13,724.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.66 | 189 | $13,543.74 | $13,554.23 |
$-180.49 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $70.98 | 190 | $13,486.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.33 | 190 | $13,362.70 | $13,430.73 |
$-123.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $71.08 | 188 | $13,363.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.86 | 188 | $13,133.68 | $13,201.11 |
$-229.62 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $69.75 | 189 | $13,183.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $70.89 | 189 | $13,397.27 | $13,414.68 |
+$213.57 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $72.18 | 185 | $13,354.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $73.68 | 185 | $13,629.88 | $13,690.33 |
+$275.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.06 | 192 | $13,643.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.14 | 192 | $13,274.88 | $13,321.71 |
$-368.62 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $68.71 | 193 | $13,261.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.20 | 193 | $13,548.60 | $13,609.28 |
+$287.57 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $72.17 | 188 | $13,567.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.92 | 188 | $13,708.02 | $13,750.28 |
+$141.00 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.50 | 192 | $13,728.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $70.95 | 192 | $13,622.40 | $13,644.68 |
$-105.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $69.73 | 195 | $13,597.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $69.19 | 195 | $13,492.05 | $13,539.38 |
$-105.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.06 | 190 | $13,500.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.60 | 190 | $12,844.00 | $12,882.93 |
$-656.45 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.05 | 186 | $12,843.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $68.43 | 186 | $12,728.91 | $12,768.54 |
$-114.39 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $69.52 | 183 | $12,722.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $68.66 | 183 | $12,564.76 | $12,610.96 |
$-157.58 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $71.14 | 177 | $12,591.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $72.35 | 177 | $12,805.07 | $12,824.25 |
+$213.29 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $79.79 | 160 | $12,767.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $78.64 | 160 | $12,581.98 | $12,639.03 |
$-185.22 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $77.25 | 163 | $12,592.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $78.47 | 163 | $12,790.61 | $12,837.08 |
+$198.05 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,837.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,837.08
Total Return:
+28.37%