TSLA Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 35 trades in period
-16.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,338.18
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$8,778.23
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
21
+2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.6
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,778.23
Current Value
$7,338.18
Period P&L
$-1,440.06
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
10 /
25
Best Trade
+4.27%
Worst Trade
-9.23%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
17.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,066.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,440.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,440.06
Gross Return
-16.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,778.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $374.00 | 23 | $8,602.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.72 | 23 | $8,526.56 | $8,702.80 |
$-75.44 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.24 | 21 | $8,531.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $413.20 | 21 | $8,677.20 | $8,848.96 |
+$146.16 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $428.20 | 20 | $8,564.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $424.70 | 20 | $8,493.90 | $8,778.76 |
$-70.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $415.23 | 21 | $8,719.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $410.96 | 21 | $8,630.16 | $8,688.98 |
$-89.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $395.54 | 21 | $8,306.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $392.10 | 21 | $8,234.10 | $8,616.85 |
$-72.13 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $405.45 | 21 | $8,514.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $411.60 | 21 | $8,643.60 | $8,746.00 |
+$129.15 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $394.49 | 22 | $8,678.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.61 | 22 | $8,813.42 | $8,880.64 |
+$134.64 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $396.15 | 22 | $8,715.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $392.84 | 22 | $8,642.48 | $8,807.71 |
$-72.93 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $388.56 | 22 | $8,548.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.29 | 22 | $8,388.38 | $8,647.77 |
$-159.94 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $379.07 | 22 | $8,339.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $375.36 | 22 | $8,257.92 | $8,566.15 |
$-81.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $380.95 | 22 | $8,381.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $377.79 | 22 | $8,311.38 | $8,496.52 |
$-69.63 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $374.77 | 22 | $8,244.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.16 | 22 | $7,483.52 | $7,735.10 |
$-761.42 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $315.30 | 24 | $7,567.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $312.55 | 24 | $7,501.20 | $7,669.22 |
$-65.88 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $306.70 | 25 | $7,667.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $303.77 | 25 | $7,594.13 | $7,595.72 |
$-73.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $304.66 | 24 | $7,311.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $302.36 | 24 | $7,256.64 | $7,540.49 |
$-55.23 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $304.62 | 24 | $7,310.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $309.71 | 24 | $7,433.16 | $7,662.77 |
+$122.28 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:10pm ET | $310.14 | 24 | $7,443.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $317.58 | 24 | $7,621.92 | $7,841.33 |
+$178.56 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.95 | 24 | $7,726.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.32 | 24 | $7,615.56 | $7,730.09 |
$-111.24 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $328.50 | 23 | $7,555.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $330.48 | 23 | $7,601.04 | $7,775.63 |
+$45.54 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $331.52 | 23 | $7,625.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $327.96 | 23 | $7,543.19 | $7,693.75 |
$-81.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $341.47 | 22 | $7,512.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $338.43 | 22 | $7,445.46 | $7,626.87 |
$-66.88 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $339.90 | 22 | $7,477.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.45 | 22 | $7,313.90 | $7,462.97 |
$-163.90 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $346.82 | 21 | $7,283.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $344.11 | 21 | $7,226.31 | $7,406.06 |
$-56.91 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $363.06 | 20 | $7,261.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.27 | 20 | $7,105.40 | $7,250.26 |
$-155.80 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $352.20 | 20 | $7,044.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.60 | 20 | $6,872.00 | $7,078.26 |
$-172.00 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $351.11 | 20 | $7,022.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.43 | 20 | $7,128.60 | $7,184.61 |
+$106.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $365.80 | 19 | $6,950.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.63 | 19 | $6,870.97 | $7,105.38 |
$-79.23 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $351.62 | 20 | $7,032.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.65 | 20 | $7,333.00 | $7,405.98 |
+$300.60 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.78 | 20 | $7,255.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $359.52 | 20 | $7,190.40 | $7,340.78 |
$-65.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $367.22 | 19 | $6,977.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $374.22 | 19 | $7,110.18 | $7,473.78 |
+$133.00 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $366.88 | 20 | $7,337.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $364.00 | 20 | $7,280.00 | $7,416.26 |
$-57.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.79 | 20 | $7,195.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.54 | 20 | $7,310.70 | $7,531.16 |
+$114.90 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $357.50 | 21 | $7,507.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $354.60 | 21 | $7,446.50 | $7,470.16 |
$-61.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $366.55 | 20 | $7,331.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $362.91 | 20 | $7,258.20 | $7,397.36 |
$-72.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $379.55 | 19 | $7,211.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $376.43 | 19 | $7,152.26 | $7,338.18 |
$-59.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,338.18
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,661.82
Total Return:
-26.62%