Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:56:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.2

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.1%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,932.55
Current Value
$12,894.34
Period P&L
$961.76
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 / 23
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-1.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$967,154.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$961.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$961.76
Gross Return
+8.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,932.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $405.87 29 $11,770.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:25am ET $400.78 29 $11,622.62 $11,694.48 $-147.61
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $414.85 28 $11,615.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $422.23 28 $11,822.44 $11,901.12 +$206.64
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET $421.86 28 $11,812.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $418.26 28 $11,711.28 $11,800.32 $-100.80
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET $415.66 28 $11,638.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:50am ET $421.91 28 $11,813.48 $11,975.32 +$175.00
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $427.64 28 $11,973.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 28 $11,839.52 $11,840.92 $-134.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $426.42 27 $11,513.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:05am ET $433.45 27 $11,703.08 $12,030.63 +$189.71
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET $425.42 28 $11,911.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:10am ET $430.19 28 $12,045.32 $12,164.19 +$133.56
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET $426.65 28 $11,946.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $423.26 28 $11,851.28 $12,069.27 $-94.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET $418.39 28 $11,715.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $453.75 28 $12,705.00 $13,059.21 +$989.94
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $425.80 30 $12,774.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $432.81 30 $12,984.30 $13,269.51 +$210.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $420.56 31 $13,037.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $427.07 31 $13,239.17 $13,471.32 +$201.81
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:35am ET $432.91 31 $13,420.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $428.09 31 $13,270.79 $13,321.90 $-149.42
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:45am ET $422.42 31 $13,095.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $419.05 31 $12,990.55 $13,217.43 $-104.47
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $416.84 31 $12,922.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $424.17 31 $13,149.27 $13,444.66 +$227.23
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $424.99 31 $13,174.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $421.35 31 $13,061.85 $13,331.67 $-112.99
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $424.23 31 $13,151.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $421.00 31 $13,051.00 $13,231.54 $-100.13
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $414.42 31 $12,847.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $411.13 31 $12,745.03 $13,129.40 $-102.14
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $407.27 32 $13,032.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $413.38 32 $13,228.16 $13,324.92 +$195.52
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $404.02 32 $12,928.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET $410.17 32 $13,125.60 $13,521.88 +$196.96
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET $410.01 32 $13,120.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $405.27 32 $12,968.80 $13,370.36 $-151.52
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:50am ET $403.98 33 $13,331.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $400.86 33 $13,228.22 $13,267.24 $-103.13
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $401.67 33 $13,255.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $397.90 33 $13,130.70 $13,142.83 $-124.41
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $396.39 33 $13,081.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $392.44 33 $12,950.60 $13,012.40 $-130.43
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $388.55 33 $12,821.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $385.61 33 $12,725.13 $12,915.54 $-96.86
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $389.90 33 $12,866.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $397.76 33 $13,126.08 $13,174.76 +$259.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $396.18 33 $13,073.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $404.75 33 $13,356.75 $13,457.57 +$282.81
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $397.57 33 $13,119.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $394.42 33 $13,015.70 $13,353.41 $-104.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $393.86 33 $12,997.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $390.62 33 $12,890.46 $13,246.49 $-106.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $394.74 33 $13,026.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $400.76 33 $13,224.99 $13,445.06 +$198.57
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $403.86 33 $13,327.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $400.69 33 $13,222.77 $13,340.45 $-104.61
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $396.56 33 $13,086.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $392.55 33 $12,954.31 $13,208.28 $-132.17
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $391.42 33 $12,917.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 33 $12,734.86 $13,026.12 $-182.16
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET $389.84 33 $12,864.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $385.91 33 $12,735.03 $12,896.43 $-129.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $383.36 33 $12,651.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $378.32 33 $12,484.40 $12,729.78 $-166.65
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 34 $12,726.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $380.08 34 $12,922.55 $12,925.96 +$196.18
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:25am ET $376.97 34 $12,816.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $373.10 34 $12,685.23 $12,794.21 $-131.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $374.42 34 $12,730.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $380.52 34 $12,937.51 $13,001.44 +$207.23
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $370.19 35 $12,956.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $367.13 35 $12,849.55 $12,894.34 $-107.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,894.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,894.34
Total Return: +28.94%
Back to Nina Micro