XLE Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 35 trades in period
+1.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,084.45
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$13,903.47
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
38.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 38.1
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.9%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,903.47
Current Value
$14,084.45
Period P&L
$180.89
Max Drawdown
-8.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
14 /
21
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-1.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$987,921.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$180.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$180.89
Gross Return
+1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,903.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.15 | 261 | $13,872.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.96 | 261 | $14,083.56 | $14,114.97 |
+$211.41 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.89 | 261 | $14,065.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.87 | 261 | $14,060.07 | $14,109.75 |
$-5.22 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $53.53 | 263 | $14,078.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.12 | 263 | $13,969.25 | $14,000.61 |
$-109.14 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $53.27 | 262 | $13,956.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.13 | 262 | $13,920.06 | $13,963.93 |
$-36.68 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $54.04 | 258 | $13,942.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.32 | 258 | $14,272.56 | $14,294.14 |
+$330.21 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.06 | 259 | $14,261.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $54.65 | 259 | $14,153.06 | $14,185.36 |
$-108.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $56.78 | 249 | $14,139.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $56.34 | 249 | $14,028.66 | $14,074.56 |
$-110.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $56.13 | 250 | $14,031.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.12 | 250 | $14,278.75 | $14,322.06 |
+$247.50 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $57.58 | 248 | $14,278.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $58.26 | 248 | $14,449.72 | $14,493.18 |
+$171.12 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $58.24 | 248 | $14,442.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.25 | 248 | $14,694.00 | $14,744.90 |
+$251.72 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $60.08 | 245 | $14,718.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $59.60 | 245 | $14,603.22 | $14,629.75 |
$-115.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $59.63 | 245 | $14,609.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.72 | 245 | $14,386.40 | $14,406.80 |
$-222.95 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.40 | 246 | $14,366.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $57.79 | 246 | $14,216.34 | $14,256.74 |
$-150.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $58.90 | 242 | $14,255.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.13 | 242 | $14,067.46 | $14,069.19 |
$-187.55 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.72 | 239 | $14,034.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:45pm ET | $59.62 | 239 | $14,248.58 | $14,283.69 |
+$214.50 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.77 | 247 | $14,269.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.17 | 247 | $14,119.76 | $14,134.26 |
$-149.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.02 | 243 | $14,098.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $57.47 | 243 | $13,964.00 | $13,999.39 |
$-134.87 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $57.69 | 242 | $13,960.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $57.22 | 242 | $13,848.45 | $13,886.86 |
$-112.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $60.04 | 231 | $13,870.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $61.01 | 231 | $14,093.29 | $14,109.75 |
+$222.89 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $60.96 | 231 | $14,081.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.42 | 231 | $13,957.02 | $13,985.01 |
$-124.74 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $61.81 | 226 | $13,967.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $62.15 | 226 | $14,044.77 | $14,061.85 |
+$76.84 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $63.47 | 221 | $14,025.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $64.44 | 221 | $14,241.24 | $14,277.33 |
+$215.48 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $63.82 | 223 | $14,231.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.21 | 223 | $14,094.72 | $14,140.19 |
$-137.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $62.45 | 226 | $14,113.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.45 | 226 | $13,887.70 | $13,914.19 |
$-226.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.19 | 223 | $13,868.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $61.71 | 223 | $13,760.22 | $13,806.04 |
$-108.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $62.30 | 221 | $13,768.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.72 | 221 | $14,082.67 | $14,120.41 |
+$314.37 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $64.30 | 219 | $14,081.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $65.32 | 219 | $14,306.17 | $14,344.88 |
+$224.47 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $64.75 | 221 | $14,310.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.21 | 221 | $14,190.41 | $14,224.44 |
$-120.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $64.89 | 219 | $14,209.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $64.38 | 219 | $14,099.22 | $14,113.84 |
$-110.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $65.12 | 216 | $14,065.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $64.57 | 216 | $13,947.12 | $13,995.04 |
$-118.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $65.03 | 215 | $13,980.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $65.52 | 215 | $14,086.80 | $14,101.46 |
+$106.42 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $65.82 | 214 | $14,084.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.91 | 214 | $13,890.74 | $13,907.79 |
$-193.67 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 218 | $13,869.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $64.66 | 218 | $14,095.88 | $14,134.51 |
+$226.72 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $62.78 | 225 | $14,124.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.63 | 225 | $13,866.75 | $13,876.88 |
$-257.63 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $62.32 | 222 | $13,835.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $63.26 | 222 | $14,042.61 | $14,084.45 |
+$207.57 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,084.45
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,084.45
Total Return:
+40.84%