TLT Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 44 trades in period
-5.86%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,181.87
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,753.61
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
5.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 5.3
30-Day Momentum
4
-2.4%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,753.61
Current Value
$9,181.87
Period P&L
$-571.71
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
18 /
26
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-1.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$841,139.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-571.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-571.71
Gross Return
-5.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,753.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $86.35 | 113 | $9,756.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.69 | 113 | $9,683.53 | $9,745.67 |
$-73.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $86.66 | 112 | $9,705.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $86.01 | 112 | $9,633.12 | $9,672.87 |
$-72.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $85.80 | 112 | $9,609.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $86.78 | 112 | $9,718.80 | $9,782.07 |
+$109.20 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.28 | 113 | $9,749.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.51 | 113 | $9,775.63 | $9,808.06 |
+$25.99 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.54 | 113 | $9,779.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.63 | 113 | $9,788.96 | $9,818.00 |
+$9.94 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.43 | 113 | $9,766.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.90 | 113 | $9,819.70 | $9,871.11 |
+$53.11 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $87.03 | 113 | $9,834.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $86.91 | 113 | $9,820.59 | $9,857.31 |
$-13.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $86.71 | 113 | $9,798.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $86.71 | 113 | $9,798.23 | $9,856.75 |
$-0.56 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $86.28 | 114 | $9,835.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $85.57 | 114 | $9,754.41 | $9,775.24 |
$-81.51 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $85.68 | 114 | $9,768.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.35 | 114 | $9,729.90 | $9,737.05 |
$-38.19 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $85.36 | 114 | $9,730.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $86.08 | 114 | $9,813.69 | $9,820.27 |
+$83.22 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $85.59 | 114 | $9,757.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $84.94 | 114 | $9,683.73 | $9,746.74 |
$-73.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $85.28 | 114 | $9,721.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.86 | 114 | $9,560.04 | $9,585.43 |
$-161.31 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $83.52 | 114 | $9,521.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $82.80 | 114 | $9,439.50 | $9,503.65 |
$-81.78 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $83.79 | 113 | $9,467.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.33 | 113 | $9,642.29 | $9,678.23 |
+$174.58 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $85.32 | 113 | $9,640.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.92 | 113 | $9,596.19 | $9,633.82 |
$-44.41 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $85.71 | 112 | $9,600.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.97 | 112 | $9,517.20 | $9,550.94 |
$-82.88 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $84.98 | 112 | $9,517.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $85.31 | 112 | $9,554.73 | $9,587.91 |
+$36.97 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $85.54 | 112 | $9,581.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $86.10 | 112 | $9,643.20 | $9,650.07 |
+$62.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $86.32 | 111 | $9,580.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.29 | 111 | $9,578.19 | $9,647.29 |
$-2.78 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $86.29 | 111 | $9,577.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.63 | 111 | $9,726.38 | $9,795.82 |
+$148.53 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.07 | 112 | $9,751.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.41 | 112 | $9,789.92 | $9,834.46 |
+$38.64 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.11 | 112 | $9,756.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.49 | 112 | $9,574.32 | $9,652.46 |
$-182.00 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.38 | 113 | $9,647.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 113 | $9,654.72 | $9,659.24 |
+$6.78 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.11 | 113 | $9,617.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.32 | 113 | $9,527.60 | $9,569.41 |
$-89.83 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.28 | 113 | $9,523.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.19 | 113 | $9,513.47 | $9,559.81 |
$-9.60 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $84.21 | 113 | $9,516.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $84.61 | 113 | $9,560.93 | $9,604.45 |
+$44.64 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $83.99 | 114 | $9,574.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.98 | 114 | $9,459.72 | $9,489.88 |
$-114.57 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $83.53 | 113 | $9,438.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $83.79 | 113 | $9,468.83 | $9,519.82 |
+$29.94 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $84.24 | 113 | $9,518.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $83.57 | 113 | $9,443.97 | $9,445.24 |
$-74.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $82.71 | 114 | $9,429.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $82.09 | 114 | $9,358.26 | $9,373.99 |
$-71.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $82.25 | 113 | $9,293.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $82.69 | 113 | $9,343.97 | $9,424.27 |
+$50.28 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $82.56 | 114 | $9,411.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $82.20 | 114 | $9,370.80 | $9,383.80 |
$-40.47 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $82.23 | 114 | $9,374.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $81.89 | 114 | $9,334.89 | $9,344.47 |
$-39.33 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $81.65 | 114 | $9,308.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $82.94 | 114 | $9,455.16 | $9,490.96 |
+$146.49 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $82.39 | 115 | $9,475.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.49 | 115 | $9,486.35 | $9,501.89 |
+$10.93 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET | $83.30 | 114 | $9,496.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.98 | 114 | $9,459.72 | $9,465.41 |
$-36.48 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $82.29 | 115 | $9,463.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $82.24 | 115 | $9,457.61 | $9,459.67 |
$-5.74 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $82.30 | 114 | $9,382.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.44 | 114 | $9,398.16 | $9,475.61 |
+$15.94 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $82.04 | 115 | $9,434.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.00 | 115 | $9,315.00 | $9,356.01 |
$-119.60 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $81.25 | 115 | $9,344.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.60 | 115 | $9,268.43 | $9,280.11 |
$-75.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.65 | 115 | $9,274.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $81.22 | 115 | $9,340.30 | $9,345.66 |
+$65.55 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $81.72 | 114 | $9,316.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $81.07 | 114 | $9,241.98 | $9,271.56 |
$-74.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.34 | 115 | $9,238.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $79.56 | 115 | $9,148.92 | $9,181.87 |
$-89.69 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,181.87
Net Profit/Loss:
$-818.13
Total Return:
-8.18%