XLF Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 49 trades in period
+2.15%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,505.31
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$13,221.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
43.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 43.0
30-Day Momentum
6
-2.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,221.37
Current Value
$13,505.31
Period P&L
$283.98
Max Drawdown
-6.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
23 /
26
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,314,021.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$283.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$283.98
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,221.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.87 | 265 | $12,950.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 265 | $13,197.00 | $13,209.40 |
+$246.45 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.22 | 268 | $13,190.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.64 | 268 | $13,035.52 | $13,053.96 |
$-155.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $48.58 | 268 | $13,018.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $48.19 | 268 | $12,915.00 | $12,950.86 |
$-103.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $49.38 | 262 | $12,938.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.80 | 262 | $12,785.60 | $12,797.59 |
$-153.27 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.83 | 256 | $12,755.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.24 | 256 | $13,117.41 | $13,159.80 |
+$362.21 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.87 | 258 | $13,124.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.53 | 258 | $13,036.74 | $13,072.08 |
$-87.72 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.79 | 252 | $13,052.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.58 | 252 | $13,251.42 | $13,271.16 |
+$199.08 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.54 | 252 | $13,240.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $52.15 | 252 | $13,140.54 | $13,171.62 |
$-99.54 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.88 | 253 | $13,124.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.46 | 253 | $13,018.12 | $13,065.36 |
$-106.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.47 | 253 | $13,021.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.79 | 253 | $13,102.87 | $13,146.32 |
+$80.96 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.90 | 253 | $13,129.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.47 | 253 | $13,021.91 | $13,038.80 |
$-107.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.38 | 248 | $12,990.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.72 | 248 | $12,826.56 | $12,875.12 |
$-163.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.44 | 250 | $12,860.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.68 | 250 | $12,920.00 | $12,935.12 |
+$60.00 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.97 | 253 | $12,895.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.38 | 253 | $13,000.40 | $13,040.11 |
+$104.99 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.26 | 254 | $13,020.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.49 | 254 | $13,079.73 | $13,099.80 |
+$59.69 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $51.51 | 254 | $13,084.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.10 | 254 | $12,978.13 | $12,993.12 |
$-106.68 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.44 | 252 | $12,961.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.02 | 252 | $13,109.04 | $13,140.54 |
+$147.42 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.74 | 253 | $13,091.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $51.35 | 253 | $12,991.55 | $13,040.60 |
$-99.94 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $51.19 | 254 | $13,000.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.23 | 254 | $13,012.42 | $13,052.03 |
+$11.43 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.33 | 254 | $13,039.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.94 | 254 | $12,940.03 | $12,952.97 |
$-99.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $52.07 | 248 | $12,913.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.24 | 248 | $12,955.52 | $12,995.13 |
+$42.16 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $52.21 | 248 | $12,946.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.02 | 248 | $13,148.96 | $13,197.25 |
+$202.12 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $53.85 | 245 | $13,193.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.72 | 245 | $13,405.18 | $13,409.27 |
+$212.02 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.15 | 247 | $13,373.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $53.74 | 247 | $13,272.55 | $13,308.00 |
$-101.27 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.72 | 247 | $13,270.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $54.63 | 247 | $13,494.84 | $13,532.77 |
+$224.77 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $53.69 | 252 | $13,530.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:40pm ET | $53.74 | 252 | $13,543.74 | $13,545.87 |
+$13.10 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $53.65 | 252 | $13,518.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.45 | 252 | $13,721.40 | $13,748.73 |
+$202.86 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $56.37 | 243 | $13,696.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.63 | 243 | $13,518.09 | $13,570.12 |
$-178.61 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $55.58 | 244 | $13,560.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.07 | 244 | $13,681.08 | $13,690.90 |
+$120.78 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.67 | 245 | $13,639.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.53 | 245 | $13,851.07 | $13,902.83 |
+$211.93 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $56.65 | 245 | $13,878.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $56.22 | 245 | $13,773.90 | $13,798.71 |
$-104.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $56.02 | 246 | $13,781.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.58 | 246 | $13,672.68 | $13,689.44 |
$-109.27 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $56.24 | 243 | $13,665.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.08 | 243 | $13,870.44 | $13,894.78 |
+$205.34 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $57.45 | 241 | $13,845.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.00 | 241 | $13,737.00 | $13,786.33 |
$-108.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $56.51 | 243 | $13,731.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.36 | 243 | $13,938.48 | $13,992.88 |
+$206.55 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.84 | 241 | $13,939.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.56 | 241 | $13,873.16 | $13,926.60 |
$-66.28 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.79 | 240 | $13,870.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.85 | 240 | $13,884.00 | $13,939.80 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.17 | 239 | $13,902.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $57.90 | 239 | $13,839.29 | $13,876.47 |
$-63.33 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $57.85 | 239 | $13,827.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.41 | 239 | $13,720.99 | $13,770.12 |
$-106.35 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.46 | 239 | $13,731.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $58.35 | 239 | $13,946.84 | $13,985.22 |
+$215.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.26 | 240 | $13,982.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $57.78 | 240 | $13,866.00 | $13,868.82 |
$-116.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $58.15 | 238 | $13,840.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $57.74 | 238 | $13,742.12 | $13,770.05 |
$-98.77 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $57.49 | 239 | $13,740.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.36 | 239 | $13,948.04 | $13,977.98 |
+$207.93 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.19 | 240 | $13,965.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.73 | 240 | $13,855.20 | $13,867.56 |
$-110.42 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.03 | 243 | $13,858.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.38 | 243 | $13,944.55 | $13,953.82 |
+$86.26 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $56.81 | 245 | $13,918.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $56.31 | 245 | $13,795.95 | $13,831.32 |
$-122.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $55.97 | 247 | $13,824.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.55 | 247 | $13,720.85 | $13,727.58 |
$-103.74 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.74 | 246 | $13,712.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $55.28 | 246 | $13,597.65 | $13,613.19 |
$-114.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $54.80 | 248 | $13,590.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.37 | 248 | $13,482.52 | $13,505.31 |
$-107.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,505.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,505.31
Total Return:
+35.05%