Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:21:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.2/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 33.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+2.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,713.24
Current Value
$13,158.16
Period P&L
$1,444.93
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
33 / 37
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-2.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,759,219.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,444.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,444.93
Gross Return
+12.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,713.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $136.23 85 $11,579.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $134.73 85 $11,452.05 $11,585.73 $-127.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $131.62 88 $11,582.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET $130.50 88 $11,484.00 $11,486.95 $-98.78
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $129.00 89 $11,481.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $128.03 89 $11,394.67 $11,400.62 $-86.33
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.67 84 $11,396.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $134.41 84 $11,290.44 $11,294.78 $-105.84
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $136.28 82 $11,174.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $135.03 82 $11,072.46 $11,192.28 $-102.50
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $141.53 79 $11,181.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $140.44 79 $11,094.76 $11,106.03 $-86.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.54 77 $10,975.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.61 77 $11,057.97 $11,188.42 +$82.39
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $147.13 76 $11,182.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $149.37 76 $11,351.74 $11,357.90 +$169.48
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $151.54 74 $11,213.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $154.01 74 $11,396.74 $11,540.68 +$182.78
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET $153.67 75 $11,525.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $156.41 75 $11,730.75 $11,746.18 +$205.50
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $156.57 75 $11,742.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $155.39 75 $11,654.25 $11,657.68 $-88.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $159.71 72 $11,498.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $159.83 72 $11,507.76 $11,666.68 +$9.00
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $157.89 73 $11,525.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $160.35 73 $11,705.55 $11,846.26 +$179.58
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $162.49 72 $11,699.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $161.10 72 $11,599.20 $11,746.18 $-100.08
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.70 70 $11,598.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $168.39 70 $11,787.30 $11,934.70 +$188.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $171.13 69 $11,807.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $169.45 69 $11,692.05 $11,818.78 $-115.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
17 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $174.97 67 $11,722.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $177.62 67 $11,900.54 $11,996.33 +$177.55
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:55am ET $174.41 68 $11,859.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:15am ET $173.07 68 $11,768.76 $11,905.21 $-91.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $175.74 67 $11,774.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $178.68 67 $11,971.56 $12,102.19 +$196.98
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $175.41 68 $11,927.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $178.17 68 $12,115.56 $12,289.87 +$187.68
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $172.94 71 $12,278.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $171.43 71 $12,171.53 $12,182.66 $-107.21
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
22 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $175.64 69 $12,119.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $178.31 69 $12,303.39 $12,366.90 +$184.24
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $181.12 68 $12,316.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 68 $12,447.40 $12,498.14 +$131.24
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $183.96 67 $12,325.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:10am ET $186.78 67 $12,514.26 $12,687.08 +$188.94
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $190.52 66 $12,574.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $193.81 66 $12,791.46 $12,904.22 +$217.14
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET $196.64 65 $12,781.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $194.66 65 $12,652.90 $12,775.51 $-128.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $190.64 67 $12,772.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $193.59 67 $12,970.53 $12,973.16 +$197.65
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $183.30 70 $12,831.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $181.85 70 $12,729.50 $12,871.66 $-101.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $184.88 69 $12,756.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $182.98 69 $12,625.28 $12,740.22 $-131.44
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $178.66 71 $12,684.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $177.30 71 $12,588.30 $12,643.66 $-96.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $177.79 71 $12,623.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $181.21 71 $12,865.91 $12,886.48 +$242.82
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $184.92 69 $12,759.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 69 $13,106.55 $13,233.55 +$347.07
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 69 $13,179.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $189.46 69 $13,072.74 $13,127.29 $-106.26
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $188.52 69 $13,007.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.72 69 $12,883.68 $13,003.09 $-124.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.13 68 $12,996.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $193.06 68 $13,128.08 $13,134.33 +$131.24
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $184.39 71 $13,091.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:20am ET $187.21 71 $13,291.91 $13,334.55 +$200.22
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $182.67 72 $13,152.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:00am ET $185.54 72 $13,358.88 $13,541.19 +$206.64
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $184.15 73 $13,442.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.05 73 $13,216.65 $13,314.89 $-226.30
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $178.80 74 $13,231.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $181.78 74 $13,451.72 $13,535.41 +$220.52
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $186.55 72 $13,431.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $184.80 72 $13,305.60 $13,409.41 $-126.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $184.49 72 $13,283.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $180.13 72 $12,969.00 $13,095.13 $-314.28
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.18 73 $13,007.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $180.90 73 $13,205.70 $13,293.69 +$198.56
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $185.77 71 $13,189.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $184.09 71 $13,070.39 $13,174.41 $-119.28
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $183.06 71 $12,997.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET $181.59 71 $12,893.19 $13,070.34 $-104.07
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $183.14 71 $13,002.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $181.57 71 $12,891.47 $12,958.87 $-111.47
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET $177.97 72 $12,813.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $176.58 72 $12,713.76 $12,858.79 $-100.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET $177.03 72 $12,746.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.59 72 $12,642.48 $12,755.12 $-103.67
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $178.72 71 $12,689.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $176.92 71 $12,561.32 $12,627.32 $-127.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $174.42 72 $12,558.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $172.89 72 $12,448.08 $12,517.16 $-110.16
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $168.48 74 $12,467.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $171.33 74 $12,678.42 $12,728.06 +$210.90
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:40am ET $168.08 75 $12,606.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:40pm ET $170.81 75 $12,810.75 $12,932.81 +$204.75
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $175.05 73 $12,778.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $178.54 73 $13,033.42 $13,187.58 +$254.77
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $173.63 75 $13,022.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $176.46 75 $13,234.50 $13,399.83 +$212.25
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $186.33 71 $13,229.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $183.29 71 $13,013.59 $13,183.99 $-215.84
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:40am ET $186.71 70 $13,069.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET $188.04 70 $13,162.80 $13,277.09 +$93.10
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET $186.31 71 $13,228.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $189.59 71 $13,460.89 $13,509.97 +$232.88
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:35am ET $190.98 70 $13,368.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $189.47 70 $13,262.90 $13,404.27 $-105.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $191.13 70 $13,379.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $186.53 70 $13,057.10 $13,081.92 $-322.35
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $183.75 71 $13,046.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $182.34 71 $12,946.14 $12,981.81 $-100.11
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:15am ET $179.12 72 $12,896.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $181.91 72 $13,097.52 $13,182.69 +$200.88
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.21 72 $13,047.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $186.42 72 $13,422.24 $13,557.81 +$375.12
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $187.11 72 $13,471.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $185.70 72 $13,370.40 $13,456.29 $-101.52
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.59 72 $13,362.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.78 72 $13,232.16 $13,325.97 $-130.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $182.94 72 $13,171.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:55am ET $185.71 72 $13,371.12 $13,525.41 +$199.44
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $186.94 72 $13,459.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $188.90 72 $13,600.80 $13,666.53 +$141.12
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $187.79 72 $13,520.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $185.39 72 $13,348.08 $13,493.73 $-172.80
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $187.82 71 $13,335.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $182.89 71 $12,985.19 $13,143.70 $-350.03
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $184.57 71 $13,104.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $183.13 71 $13,002.23 $13,041.11 $-102.59
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $187.81 69 $12,958.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $191.64 69 $13,223.16 $13,305.38 +$264.27
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
70 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET $195.09 68 $13,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 68 $13,118.90 $13,158.16 $-147.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,158.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,158.16
Total Return: +31.58%
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