Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:20:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,833
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,884.17
Current Value
$8,717.91
Period P&L
$-1,166.28
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
24 / 40
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-9.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,082,847.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,166.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,166.28
Gross Return
-11.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,884.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET $485.19 20 $9,703.70
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $483.34 20 $9,666.73 $9,877.90 $-36.97
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $470.32 21 $9,876.72
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $477.59 21 $10,029.39 $10,030.57 +$152.67
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $484.39 20 $9,687.80
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $478.93 20 $9,578.60 $9,921.37 $-109.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $473.00 20 $9,459.90
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET $480.60 20 $9,612.00 $10,073.47 +$152.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $473.00 21 $9,933.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET $468.65 21 $9,841.55 $9,982.01 $-91.46
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $465.34 21 $9,772.14
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET $461.79 21 $9,697.59 $9,907.46 $-74.55
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $459.98 21 $9,659.58
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $456.53 21 $9,587.13 $9,835.01 $-72.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $461.72 21 $9,696.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $451.40 21 $9,479.30 $9,618.19 $-216.83
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $450.65 21 $9,463.65
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $446.16 21 $9,369.37 $9,523.91 $-94.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $451.14 21 $9,473.84
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $459.67 21 $9,652.97 $9,703.04 +$179.13
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $472.28 20 $9,445.60
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET $479.42 20 $9,588.40 $9,845.84 +$142.80
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $478.35 20 $9,567.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $432.00 20 $8,640.00 $8,918.84 $-927.00
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $431.04 20 $8,620.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $427.64 20 $8,552.80 $8,850.84 $-68.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 21 $8,747.65
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $412.62 21 $8,665.11 $8,768.29 $-82.55
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET $415.08 21 $8,716.58
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $405.70 21 $8,519.70 $8,571.42 $-196.88
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $395.30 21 $8,301.30
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.74 21 $8,436.54 $8,706.66 +$135.24
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $421.05 20 $8,421.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $417.62 20 $8,352.40 $8,638.06 $-68.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $398.99 21 $8,378.89
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $395.52 21 $8,305.92 $8,565.08 $-72.98
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $401.04 21 $8,421.84
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $397.87 21 $8,355.33 $8,498.57 $-66.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $397.46 21 $8,346.76
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $392.93 21 $8,251.53 $8,403.33 $-95.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $386.11 21 $8,108.25
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $392.96 21 $8,252.16 $8,547.24 +$143.91
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:50am ET $402.07 21 $8,443.47
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $390.58 21 $8,202.18 $8,305.95 $-241.29
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $399.90 20 $7,998.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $392.75 20 $7,855.00 $8,162.95 $-143.00
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $400.68 20 $8,013.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $407.93 20 $8,158.60 $8,307.95 +$145.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $408.40 20 $8,168.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $407.44 20 $8,148.84 $8,288.79 $-19.16
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $404.56 20 $8,091.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $401.00 20 $8,020.00 $8,217.59 $-71.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $398.17 20 $7,963.40
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET $394.61 20 $7,892.30 $8,146.49 $-71.10
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET $388.77 20 $7,775.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $384.42 20 $7,688.30 $8,059.39 $-87.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $382.57 21 $8,033.87
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $376.52 21 $7,906.92 $7,932.44 $-126.95
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $373.47 21 $7,842.87
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $370.56 21 $7,781.76 $7,871.33 $-61.11
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $370.13 21 $7,772.73
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $367.35 21 $7,714.35 $7,812.95 $-58.38
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $359.38 21 $7,546.88
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET $364.79 21 $7,660.59 $7,926.67 +$113.72
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET $363.42 21 $7,631.72
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $368.87 21 $7,746.27 $8,041.22 +$114.55
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $372.05 21 $7,813.05
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $369.08 21 $7,750.70 $7,978.87 $-62.35
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $371.02 21 $7,791.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $373.18 21 $7,836.78 $8,024.23 +$45.36
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $370.46 21 $7,779.66
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $367.15 21 $7,710.25 $7,954.83 $-69.40
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $377.73 21 $7,932.43
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $374.26 21 $7,859.46 $7,881.86 $-72.97
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $369.38 21 $7,756.98
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $374.96 21 $7,874.16 $7,999.04 +$117.18
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $392.90 20 $7,858.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $400.89 20 $8,017.80 $8,158.84 +$159.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $418.78 19 $7,956.82
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $425.86 19 $8,091.34 $8,293.36 +$134.52
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $418.70 19 $7,955.30
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $425.60 19 $8,086.40 $8,424.46 +$131.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $431.19 19 $8,192.61
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 19 $7,963.57 $8,195.42 $-229.04
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $418.16 19 $7,945.04
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $424.59 19 $8,067.21 $8,317.59 +$122.17
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $423.60 19 $8,048.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $410.24 19 $7,794.56 $8,063.75 $-253.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
45 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:45am ET $411.86 19 $7,825.25
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $419.72 19 $7,974.68 $8,213.18 +$149.43
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
46 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $410.85 19 $7,806.15
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $407.51 19 $7,742.69 $8,149.72 $-63.46
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
47 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $423.38 19 $8,044.22
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 19 $7,914.45 $8,019.95 $-129.77
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
48 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $407.79 19 $7,747.92
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $414.39 19 $7,873.41 $8,145.45 +$125.50
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $402.38 20 $8,047.60
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:30am ET $408.71 20 $8,174.20 $8,272.05 +$126.60
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
50 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $420.55 19 $7,990.45
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $427.52 19 $8,122.97 $8,404.58 +$132.53
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
51 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $422.26 19 $8,022.94
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $429.97 19 $8,169.43 $8,551.07 +$146.49
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
52 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $413.81 20 $8,276.20
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $420.37 20 $8,407.40 $8,682.27 +$131.20
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
53 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $418.66 20 $8,373.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 20 $8,331.10 $8,640.17 $-42.10
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held
54 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $411.05 21 $8,632.05
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $419.24 21 $8,804.04 $8,812.16 +$171.99
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
55 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $443.30 19 $8,422.70
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $464.57 19 $8,826.74 $9,216.20 +$404.04
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 20 $8,939.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $443.11 20 $8,862.20 $9,139.00 $-77.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:45am ET $428.41 21 $8,996.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $425.19 21 $8,928.99 $9,071.35 $-67.65
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $427.94 21 $8,986.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $423.26 21 $8,888.46 $8,973.07 $-98.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $412.25 21 $8,657.25
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $408.87 21 $8,586.27 $8,902.09 $-70.98
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $402.40 22 $8,852.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $398.06 22 $8,757.32 $8,806.61 $-95.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $394.54 22 $8,679.88
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $391.57 22 $8,614.54 $8,741.27 $-65.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $384.35 22 $8,455.70
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $390.26 22 $8,585.72 $8,871.29 +$130.02
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 22 $8,689.82
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $391.59 22 $8,614.98 $8,796.45 $-74.84
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $384.66 22 $8,462.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $381.09 22 $8,383.98 $8,717.91 $-78.54
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,717.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,282.09
Total Return: -12.82%
Back to Nina Micro